Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s Caulfield meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 6
Rail Position: Out 12m, entire circuit
Tough opening race to honour the work of the late Graham Salisbury and his partner Subzero within the racing industry.
Really liked the way that SALTPETER attacked the line when he finally got some clear room at Geelong last start. Yes that was just his maiden win but Ollie stays aboard hime and although drawn bit wide he can measure up to city class.
DIAMONDESQUE resumes from spell. She took on a couple of hot races at her only two starts last time in work and could not measure up. Had a break since and although she is another drawn out wide she finds a winnable race fresh.
EUPHORIC SUMMER was only claimed last couple of strides first-up at Mornington. She is sure to be better from that outing and her only win did come second-up at first prep.
YULONG ISLAND showed plenty of speed at The Valley on debut before knocking up from the corner. Went straight to the paddock after that run and looking for him to come back bigger and stronger for this campaign.
KAPLUMPICH is overdue for a win this prep. Two solid placings this track before an enormous effort at The Valley after racing wide he only faded final stages. Should get the right run in behind the speed and this looks a winnable race for him.
THOUGHT OF THAT just failed to show anything in his two runs last time in work and was quickly sent for a break. No doubting he is the best horse in the race and from his inside gate should get all the favours and prove hard to hold out.
Not sure HEAVENLY EMPEROR was all that comfortable at The Valley last start as he was scrubbed along on the tight track and did not finish race off. Comes into this third-up from spell and must include in multiples.
Forget the run of NO SAY IN IT at Flemington last start. He was never on the track at any stage and entitled to tire as he did. Two placings to begin this campaign and despite wide gate can see him bouncing back in this.
Really looking forward to this with a couple of promising three-year-olds meeting.
Banking on the fillies to play a significant role in this. SELICA was luckless at The Valley last start when held-up from the 400m to the 200m and only saw clear room final stages. She was placed in Group 3 company three back before competitive run in the G1 Schweppes Oaks prior. She will be nice each way odds and happy to play.
SPLENDORONTHEGRASS is in wining form and she was strong on the heavy ground last start despite a tough run. Bit concerned about her drawing out in the car park but a filly in form must always be respected.
ARCTIC WOLF was long odds on at Ballarat last start but got his maiden out of the way albeit in a tight go. Rails draw looks perfect for him and with an ounce of luck from the corner can see him being in the finish.
MYSTERY SHOT looks city class. Dominant winning his maiden at Warrnambool on debut then finished the race off powerfully first-up at Ballarat. Has untapped ability and can measure up to these.
GODODDIN was too bad to be true here last start when did not finish the race off as favourite. Two previous placings were solid and if she can find her best form here will go close to winning in this field.
Did not think SAKURA had all that much luck when wide at The Valley last start but she did battle on well enough and not disgraced. Drawn to get the perfect run in behind the speed and expect she will look a chance at some stage in the straight.
ZABELARINA gave them a galloping lesson first-up at Ballarat on the synthetic. Has the speed to work across and sit close. If she can get some cover in the early stages she could threaten last 200m.
RIVER JEWEL showed good speed to lead at The Valley last start and she gave them a fright at big odds when only claimed final 100m. Expect she will go forward again and if she gets a breather middle stages is sure to give this a shake.
Bunch of fairly even three-year-old fillies meet in this one. Would have preferred FELICIA to have drawn a touch closer but it is a long run down the side at Caulfield and if Willo can show some magic and get her into a position early her recent form suggests she can get away with this.
MERITED wes enormous chasing home the boom horse Front Page in Listed company last start. Back to her own sex looks ideal at this stage in her preparation and despite her also drawing out in the car park cannot leave her out of chances.
POWER BOOM won on the synthetic two starts back then she went to The Valley and made good late ground into minor spot. Comes into this third-up from spell and although this looks a little harder cannot leave her out of multiples.
LEALE is the big query resuming from spell. She won here two starts at big odds then chased home the smart Florent to end campaign last start. She will be better when gets over further than she has here but look for cheeky run first-up.
Big fan of MS CATHERINE. She won the G3 Typhoon Tracy at her third start to finish last campaign. Showed her usual speed to lead first-up but race fitness told final 200m and she was overran. She will be much better from that hit out and with the advantage of talented apprentice Georgina Cartwrights 2kg claim she can cross and lead this and will be the one to run down from the corner.
Looking forward to the return of WILMOT PASS. Been taken along slowly but his three runs last time in work suggest he is above average and if any stable support would follow.
WIDESPREAD was sent out favourite at Geelong first-up and thought he was good final stages running into a clear second spot. Stable thought enough of him to take on some Stakes races last time in work and second-up from spell must include in multiples.
PROPER ROGUE is another resuming. He worked through his classes with authority winning both starts last time in work and from ideal barrier draw he should get all the favours.
Tip: MS CATHERINE
ALFA ORO just keeps stepping up to the mark in whatever Matt Laurie throws him in. Makes his own luck sitting in the first couple and no reason he will not again prove too good for them over last 200m.
SANSOM is such a stocky, honest little fellow who rarely runs a bad race. Has to overcome a slightly awkward draw but he is sure to strip fitter from his first-up outing and will be in finish again.
RUBAN BLEU broke through for a well deserved win here last start. Does get back to the 1100m but now he has won he may string a few together.
LIM’S LIGHTNING had some support here last start at longer odds but may have found the 1400m a little beyond him. Gets back to his right distance range and from ideal barrier draw would be looking for him to return to form.
Tip: ALFA ORO
Still a long way off seeing the best of HARBOUR VIEWS. He was much too good for them around The Valley last start and getting to a spacious track like Caulfield should really suit him and can visualize him getting to the middle track on the corner and powering away from these. He looks the best for me on the program
NOBU is going to be big overs in this. He was placed in three starts back in a race that suited those up on the speed then was competitive on the heavy at next start. Forget he went around last start as pulled up lame and would be throwing him in all multiples.
DOUBLE YOU TEE came from well back to chase home Harbour Views at The Valley last start. May need some luck to weave a passage from his inside draw but if leaders stop he will be running on solidly.
MAHAMEDEIS won this track and distance two starts back then ran a competitive race at Flemington last start. Hard to fault him of late and cannot leave him out of trifectas.
Tip: HARBOUR VIEWS
Was keen to have a play with VICTORIA STAR last week but unfortunately he did not get a run when emergency. He is first emergency again at acceptance time but with the big field here hoping he can get in the field. Thought he should have finished much closer to the in form Heptagon here last start when held up last 200m. Finds what looks an easier assignment and going with him each way.
SALON DU CHEVAL was brave winning at Warrnambool two starts back then pay to forget his finishing position here last start when raced wide and entitled to tire final stages as he did. Has a horrible barrier to contend with but looking for him to figure in the placings.
SONDELON resumes from spell. His first-up record (3:2-0-1) suggests that he will find his best form when fresh. Started favourite at Canterbury to begin last campaign and proved too strong. Must include at each way odds.
SCOTTISH ROGUE was placed here in similar race last start. Should get ideal run in behind the speed and with ounce of luck from the corner can sneak into a placing.
Tip: VICTORIA STAR