Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Friday’s Canterbury meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all eight races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: Out 3m, entire circuit
JERLE will go very close to winning this. He was a good thing beaten in a similar race last start when 2nd. Experienced and very fit now. DUBAI STAR has a bit of a boom on him and trialled impressively recently. Respect all that. CASTLECOMER was plain last start but it was a tough field. Can improve.
Big weight for QUIET RIOT but he snares the inside gate so sits up in a perfect spot from the outset. Was 4th this grade here last start but is better than that. Can atone. AESOP’S FABLE is resuming here but last campaign, which was a while back, she looked pretty handy winning 3 in a row. ELECTRIC GIRL is getting going through the grades. Is honest and will be in this finish.
Tip: QUIET RIOT
Around this track and in this grade I can’t believe they’ve served up $8.50 for ASSAULT’N’BATHORY. He is so gutsy he’s really a $4.30 chance. Will probably lead and will take an enormous amount of catching. YONKERS showed his class winning while fresh last start this trip too. He might be back in terrific shape. NORDIC LOVER has talent and this field should help him showcase it a bit. Placed this grade last start. Can show up.
A very even affair. I like the look of front-runner FRENZIED here. Should just explode from the gates and lead. Is very fit now and was a good 4th this grade last start.IMPACTFUL has been set a task but he won so well last start at just his 2nd start that he might be very handy. watch market. BEDIVERE has a bit of staying talent and it started to show out last start when a solid 2nd this grade here.
IMPAVIDO looks very well placed in this. He hasn’t won for a while, a long while, and the track doesn’t suit his style, but he has performed at a level way higher than his rivals. SEEINGISBELIEVING has the bad draw but is very fit and seems to shine at this level. Chance if he can slot in with cover. OPACITY, by contrast, is rising a long way in class in this but after 3 starts has already shown a great deal of talent. Looks hard to beat.
DIO D’ORO is racing so well and with a renewed zest these days. Carries weight well and is very fit. Won this grade 2 starts back. Blinkers come off for this assignment. JUVENTUS resumes here but last campaign showed he was a threat in this grade. Has the good draw and is really well weighted on best form. Is racing strongly. Off the inside here old ISORICH who has found a new lease on life, should make himself a threat. He is racing near his peek again.
I think if NICTOCK can find his best he might frighten these. He is very fast and has left the care of Cameron Crockett. Mark Conners trains him now and he resumes from a long spell. BUCKIN’ BEAUTY will go hard and try to keep him out. Led and won a BM 70 last start and is very fit. Great draw. PERIGORD has won past 2 and seems to be getting better with racing. Will be running on.
KAWAIKINI has the perfect draw and is very fit. Has the ability to just go bang when she is in the mood. As she is ageing, however, those moods don’t come on as often. Place. SAAS FEE is engaged at Randwick on Sat in a Gr 1 so connections must think she is flying. Is much better suited in this. If she runs she will go very close. VALDOSTANA has had 3 runs this time up in weaker grade but has performed very well in each of them. Drawn to get a cushy run. Chance.