Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s Belmont meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Rail Position: Out 3m entire circuit
Did not mind the run of THE FRONT BAR on the heavy here last start. Raced on the speed and it took what looks a smart galloper to see her off final stages. Happy to have something each way on her.
STATE OF POWER jumped to the front and just kept running winning as she liked on the heavy ground last start. If she can control this from the front she will take catching.
HE’S A SIZZLER resumes from spell. Just missed at Ascot on debut then had tough run before break and was beaten less than 2 lengths. Will give this a shake fresh.
SIMPLE LOGIC is the debutant to keep an eye on. Won recent Belmont trial 1000m (1:02.88) 13/7 on heavy ground with ease and if any money about must consider.
Tip: THE FRONT BAR
OHBEEH found the front and controlled the race for strong win here two starts back then had torrid run here last start but still held close placing. He gets chance to return to winners stall.
SNIPPY MISS stacked them up in front here two back and had enough in hand to hold them all off final stages then she battled on well enough last start. She has place claims.
MR MT WALKER was dominant at Pinjarra first-up then raced on the speed before fading late here last start. Will make own luck going forward and a must for multiples.
BLACK COMET caught the eye when came from the back to win at Kalgoorlie first-up. This a harder affair but he will be fitter and watch for him last 200m.
SPEED DREAM deserves a win this prep. Comes into this off three solid placings and he looks well placed to salute in this field.
SPECIAL VIEW found the front and held off all challengers to win on the heavy ground here first-up from a spell. Drawn to drive through and lead these and no reason he cannot make it two in a row.
JEDI MIND started this campaign in winning form with two sound wins then he has not been beaten all that far in two runs since and he will be competitive in this field.
PRECAUTIONARY looks the likely leader from her inside gate and if she can get her own way in front will take running down from the corner.
Tip: SPEED DREAM
ZARATITE is an exciting staying prospect who has finished off both races this time in hard but just found one better each time. Out to his preferred distance range and third-up should win this.
SECRET PEARL has had little luck in her last couple of starts covering plenty of ground before sticking on bravely. If she gets a better run in transit she can be right in the finish.
KERMAN ROCK was placed in a W.A. Derby and although he has not won for a long time he is never far away and would not shock to see him give this a real shake.
TREASURED CROWN was impressive when powering away to win in a canter here last start. Gets into a harder race her but has sharp turn-of-hoof and would not leave out of exotics.
DUNBAR comes into this ready to win third-up from spell. He just left run fraction too late fresh then raced tight last start and arguably should have been right in finish. This his race to win.
Don’t be concerned about where ROCKY PATH gets to in the run because she will be clear last but is rider can get her wide and going before the corner she will be powering home and sure to get close.
PEPPIJACK will be at the other end of the spectrum to Rocky Path and will probably cross and lead these. Just has not been finishing races off but if he gets own way may hold a placing.
LITTLE FLIRT has been dominant winning her last two starts by a big space and although she will find this a touch harder no reason she will not measure up again.
VITAL FLIRT won with something in hand here last start when pounced on leader straightening and went to line under a hold. She will come across and make own luck sitting forward and can win again.
GINGER BAKER is another in winning form. Won at Northam two starts back then came to town and was again too smart final stages. He can make it three in a row.
SENTIMENTAL QUEEN kept finding the line last 200m when placed here first-up. She will be better from that outing and sure to be in the mix again.
BEAT THE BRO has been threatening to win a race like this this prep but just seems to find trouble at the wrong time. If he gets right run he could surprise these.
Tip: VITAL FLIRT
COMES A TIME gets his chance to return to the winners stall after four straight placings since last win. Expect he will be ridden a little quieter than last start and this a nice race for him.
BAD WOLF was placed behind a couple of smart ones here last start although a long way off them. Looks well placed in this and a definite place chance again.
NOTORIOUS ONE finished the race off strongly to win on the heavy ground here first-up. He will be much better from that outing and no reason cannot win again.
VITAL BLAST worked into the clear and finished off strongly for a last stride win on heavy here last start. If they go too hard up front he will be the one to watch late.
Tip: COMES A TIME
Looking for AMASENUS to return to her winning ways in this. Just had to change course when running on late here last start but still found minor placing. She gets back out to the 1200m and top pick in this.
NERODIO just keeps improving and winning. Finished too well to beat similar field in the Beaufine and would be a brave punter to dismiss him as winning chance again.
MONTELENA is a class mare resuming from spell. She will be much better when she gets over further but has won fresh and will be hitting the line as well as any other runner.
WESTERN TEMPLE is another that resumes. Has not won fresh but likes running into a placing (9:0-5-0) and would include in all exotics.
Going to finish the day with something each way on EEYORE WAYZ. He has been competitive in all starts this time in and if he can get a nice run in transit should have last crack at these.
AGENT JAY jumped to the front and gave nothing else a chance here last start with a soft all the way win. Drawn to drive through and control this again and will take catching.
SILKINIZE just missed here two back then may not have handled the heavy last start. If he gets a firmer track he can sneak into a minor spot.
MISS FROST is ready to find best form third-up from spell. She has not been beaten all that far in her two runs back and would not be surprised to see her figure.