Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, takes a looks at Wednesdsay’s Randwick Kensington meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all seven races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: Out 2m, entire circuit
Track Condition: Soft 5
Tough choice for leading rider James McDonald to make. He rode both PETRONIUS and PROMOTIONS at their last starts and was 2nd on both of them in this grade. He’s chosen to ride Promotions in this. But both rate highly. The Tulloch Lodge runners have a chance but their unraced Dundeel galloper ENTENTE looked very strong winning a recent trial. Good contest.
Wow, what a strong race. All of them are budding Saturday grade gallopers. Eight of the 12 are last start winners! DRESDEN GREEN is top-flight and has a top-flight horse’s weight her which is an issue. But he won this grade when last in work. HIT THE RIM led all the way to win at the provincials on debut but the horse he beat won easily yesterday. POINT OF INTEREST resumes and rises in grade here but won only start and trial recently was first rate.
Tip: DRESDEN GREEN
An even bunch here. ROYAL WITNESS the track record holder here this trip, gets a 3kg weight allowance here and that is critical as he’s in terrific form. Beat similar field last start and can finish his races off. COLUMBINA resumes here but last campaign was most consistent and honest and was well up to this grade. Was runner up in similar race when resuming last prep. HUMAN NATURE won on debut, then was put away and useful 3rd when resuming. Team Hawkes gallopers nearly always improve a great deal 2nd up.
Tip: HUMAN NATURE
Very even field. CASTEL SANT ‘ANGELO is on a massive improvement curve. Ran in this grade last start with 56.5kg and led all way winning stylishly. Clearly can stay but carries 59kg this time. Outside draw is not an issue as he charges across. BREAKDANCE was a strong winner last start too. Drawn to sit just off the strong tempo and should come home hard. HE’S IMPOSING is honest in this grade over this trip and can box on gamely.
Tip: CASTEL SANT’ANGELO
FALCON ISLAND is 2nd up here following a handy 8th in tougher grade when resuming. Is on home track here and do not be the least bit surprised if he doesn’t jump, lead and run them off their legs. STRYKE ROCK seems to be getting better with racing. has won two of past 3 starts and has been hitting the line hard. Is very fit. DUCHESS OF LENNOX will probably need this run. Will be out the back door early but has an x-factor about her. May finish like a train. Watch betting.
Tip: DUCHESS OF LENNOX
This fellow ROCK might be a grade or two above these – that despite the fact it is a strong BM 74 race. He can sit behind a hot pace and from this gate should get the luxury with cover. And he can come home very fast. Won easily and impressively when resuming last start and is fitter now. LENINGRAD is lightly raced but has a lot of talent. Good 2nd in a similar race (BM 72) when resuming last start after being on pace all the way. This is home track. DEFEAT just keeps winning as he keeps climbing the ladder. Going for 3 straight here! Good match up here.
HIGH LOW BET has the rails draw here and is very fit. Should sit back in about 6th spot and if Hughie gets her out, she does have a strong finish in this grade. EXOTIC RUBY is up[ in grade but her form in just 2 starts has been excellent for this. Is on home track. SUBPOENAED has a touch of class about her. Got back and rattled home for 2nd this grade last start. Fitter now and looms largest. Good race.