Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, looks at Saturday’s Moonee Valley meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
Track Condition: Good 4
What a tough way to start the day. This bloke THE HOLY ONE could be special. He certainly suggested that with his powerhouse win in a similar race last start. Going for 3 straight here. Respect. His stablemate CHEPTEGEI is unbeaten and his only start win was impressive in weaker company. They can quinella this. OLYMPIC OATH looks one on the rise after winning mdn in a smart manner last start.
Tip: THE HOLY ONE
He’s up in weight here but gee this is a drop in grade for JUNIPAL. And he’s in career-best form too. Drawn well enough and looks too good. FRENCH GIRL hasn’t looked good this time up but last campaign she was impressive against these types. Is fit now. SATORI is overdue for a win placing a few times of late this grade and has the rails draw here.
Open grade race over the Cox Plate trip. DURETTO has the best career stats but was plain when resuming last start. Is better suited this trip though so expect improvement. DOUGLAS MACARTHUR and his imported stablemate KING OF LEOGRANCE look nicely in. Both have had one start this time up and gave the impression better things were in store. Especially King Of Leogrance who may well develop into a Cups horse this campaign. Good race.
Tip: KING OF LEOGRANCE
Chris Waller brings his emerging sprint star HAUT BRION HER to Melbourne to show how good she is. Big weight and awkward track but she has drawn well. Going for 4 on the trot here. MYSTERY LOVE similarly has won 3 straight including the Bendigo Guineas last start. Can lead but probably sits off them and charges late. TOFANE hit the line well for 4th first-up last start. Fitter now and drawn well enough.Good claims. Place show.
Tip: HAUT BRION HER
Godolphin’s brilliant filly EXHILARATES looks perfectly placed here, She has a powerful finishing burst and beat similar grade when resuming last start. Is very smart. Her stablemate PIN SEC ran on like a star of the future in that same Gr 3 race and was 3rd. Extra 100m here is in her favour. Big show. SASSY SALITAGE is unbeaten in 2 starts and has shown a great deal of talent winning.
At his best FELL SWOOP wins this comfortably. Resumes here and has talent first up but may be a length slower than in years gone by. DEPRIVE is just so honest and will hit the line hard. Has won past 5 starts in a row and has the perfect draw. Tassie star THE INEVITABLE has won 6 of past 7 and is suited this trip. Goes really well while fresh and is 2nd up here.
ASHLOR is fast and honest. Terrific 4th this grade when resuming last start and bound to be handy all the way. EDUARDO is expected to progress to the very top level. He has enormous talent. Resumes here but first up form is excellent. Rails draw helps too. MERYL is a mare from Sydney who has tremendous early speed and this track suits that.
HOMESMAN may well be a world-class stayer. Resumes from a year-long spell but has enormous talent. Runner-up in Gr 1 Caulfield Cup. Watch the market. BEST OF DAYS has a strong finishing kick and is a Gr 1 winner this journey. Is 2nd up here after useful 7th in strong Gr 1 when resuming. Big show. SIKANDARABAD seems to have improved every campaign and first up 4th the other days says the same should happen here too. If so, big danger.
Tip: BEST OF DAYS
VINLAND is smart and has won 2 of past 3 starts in this grade. Up in weight but keeps improving. Big threat. NEW UNIVERSE is very honest and consistent at this level. Is super fit and suited this track. LOVE SHACK BABY should be on pace all the way. Is a Sydney galloper with form and talent.