Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s Flemington meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: Out 5m entire circuit
Really liked the way FLYING EVELYN attacked the line to win at The Valley on debut. Better from that race experience and she can win again.
TEMPEST CHARM has not been all that bad in her two runs back from spell. She does come into this at peak fitness and looks nice each way odds.
LIVE IN HOPE is from the strong Grahame Begg stable on debut. Did enough in her only trial and must always respect stable debutants.
LA ROCQUE showed plenty of speed and just kept running at Pakenham on debut. She should lead again and will be the one to run down last 200m.
Tip: FLYING EVELYN
CONCEITED fought the race out bravely enough when just out of the placings at Caulfield first-up from spell. Drawn to get the perfect run in behind the leader and should have last crack at these.
CONFRONTATIONAL is another who will strip much fitter second-up from spell. Did not have all that much luck when always wide but still held ground. He will be better from that run.
CUMBERBATCH looked like he would benefit from his first-up run when battled away into minor placing at Hillside. Strips fitter and a must for place chances.
ANNAVISTO raced up on the speed before sprinting clear final stages first-up at Pakenham. She will take catching again.
ODEUM resumes from spell. Class filly who won G1 Caulfield 1000 Guineas last prep. If forward enough she should be too good for these.
Crowd favourite SO SI BON should strip fitter second-up from spell. Just could not finish the race off well enough in the G1 Futurity. Must include again.
PRETTY BRAZEN resumes from spell. May have had enough by the time she got to the G1 Empire Rose. Placed three of four first-up and must respect.
ICONOCLASM loves Flemington. May need a run before finding his best form but would not be surprised to see him run into a placing.
PAULELE started his first prep with two strong wins before going for a break. Bit unbalanced in the G2 Silver Slipper first-up and did not finish off. Fitter second-up and he can get away with this.
CHEERFUL LEGEND sat on the pace before sprinting away soon after straightening at The Valley last start. Will take up and forward spot and could be one to watch at odds.
LIGHTSABER just keeps improving with each run and he was dominant winning at Hillside last start. Drawn perfectly and he can measure up to these.
WOLVES has not been disgraced in all three runs and they have all been in Group company. Placed in the G2 Blue Diamond Prelude two back and that form good enough to figure in this.
MARBOOSHA resumes from spell. Only just missed behind the smart Written Beauty down the Flemington straight during the Spring. Two trial wins leading into this have been super and she can win this fresh.
The Peter Moody trained OXLEY ROAD has done everything right winning both starts in impressive fashion. This little harder but he can measure up.
MOZZIE MONSTER resumes. Started his career in fine form winning first two starts then stepped up to Stakes races and was not disgraced. Look for her to be powering home late.
BELLA NIPOTINA looked home here last start but was just worried out of it late to just miss. If she holds that form she will be right in the mix again.
SEPTEMBER RUN was the eye catcher out of the G1 Lightning and that is the best guide to the Newmarket. Craig Williams overdue for a win in this race and with no weight on her back she can win this.
SWATS THAT chased home solidly to grab the minor spot in the Lightning. She meets September Run a couple of kilos better at the weights and if the outside rail is the place to be she can win this.
SIRIUS SUSPECT resumes. Won the G3 Standish with authority on New Years Day down the Flemington straight. Big ask fresh but he is a quality sprinter.
DALASAN is a quality horse who will be much better when he gets over further but he flies fresh and would not be surprised to see him sneak into a placing.
Tip: SEPTEMBER RUN
Really liked the way LUNAKORN got to the line when placed at Caulfield first-up from spell. Suited out to the mile at Flemington and she will be right in the mix.
QUANTUM MECHANIC finished too well getting up in last couple of strides to win this track/distance last start. Can go on with it here.
SPANISH REEF was doing her best work last 200m despite covering ground at Caulfield first-up. Loves Flemington and second-up can win this.
SOVEREIGN AWARD comes into this ready third-up from spell. Only run down last 200m here last start. Expect she will lead and with right run will take catching.
Been waiting for NONCONFORMIST to get back to Flemington. He is unbeaten third-up from spell and won the G3 Coongy Hcp third-up last prep. Will get back but expect him to be running on hard at each way value.
SHARED AMBITION was tough holding them off to win at Randwick first-up then went to Caulfield and chased home the in form Paradee. Ready to find best third-up.
Hard to knock the impressive form of PARADEE as she lines up to win four in a row. Drawn for Craig Williams to get the prefect run in transit and no reason she cannot win again.
FIFTY STARS powered home and caught the eye of punters when placed in the G2 Blamey last start. That will have topped him right off for this and he will be right in the mix.
V.R.C. Oaks winner PERSONAL chased home steadily when placed here over unsuitable 1400m first-up. Out to the mile second-up and she may just be too classy for these.
Forget finishing position for MISS GUGGENHEIM at Caulfield last start when she never got a clear run at them at any stage and should have finished closer. Strips fitter and better suited at Flemington.
YES BABY YES was enormous holding them all off to win at Group 2 level at Caulfield last start. No reason she will not be in finish again.
ISLAND JOY was dominant this track/distance two starts back then not disgraced when stepped up to Group 3 company last start. Racing well enough to sneak a place in this.