Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Wednesday’s Kensington meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 7 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 6
Rail Position: Out 4m entire
It’s always hard to line up ability when the vast majority of them have not raced. But the way DEVIL’S THROAT attacked the line and overall time he ran in his most recent trial suggests he has a lot of talent. He is trained here too by Team Snowden and is very well bred. Have in your numbers.
DICKSON HOUSE did have one start before spelling and is was a useful 5th in what’s turned out to bee strong juvenile race. Trialled really well recently. Fitter now and looms large.
GOVERNOR is unraced but well bred and coming out of trials that suggested he has a lot of talent also. Must be included.
Tip: DEVIL’S THROAT
Coming off a strong barrier trial win will serve LAURELIN well here. She was pretty average on debut last prep so was tipped out. Stable rate her and no surprise to see her cantering to victory in recent trial. Watch market.
SNEAKY PAIGE could not have been more impressive on debut when on pace and a game 2nd to a colt who has since proudly franked the form. Loves it wet, should be fitter, and is on home track. All massive plusses. Looks ready to run boldly.
BEEP TEST will get back and run on. Did that on debut in weaker race and ran a good 2nd. Fitter now. Big danger.
Tip: SNEAKY PAIGE
MOTHER’S MERCY is very good. She has won 5 from 7 starts and does so by sitting off speed then charging. Her only blots have come when she has raced in town. In the bush she is unstoppable. So on that score she has claims.
CANADIAN SPICE was a very unlucky 4th last start in this grade. Is extremely fit and with luck in running this time, will test these. Watch market.
TWICE ON SUNDAY is showing tremendous improvement and you must respect that. Has won her past 2 races in weaker grade but as the trip increases and with more fitness under her belt she is jumping each raised bar. Certain to be thereabouts.
Tip: CANADIAN SPICE
Interesting race. This INVINCIANO might be worth backing. She is 3rd up and her last start was a poor run, finishing 2nd last in this grade. BUT… it was on a heavy track and she has never stretched out in the wet. Track is a bit firmer today and I expect that will turn her on.
RANGES has talent for this grade and is trained here. He is very honest and will loom large over the rise..
KINLOCH is interesting. This 3YO races like this trip will suit and after winning under 60kg, quite impressively in a weaker race, he was stepped up to Saturday grade on a heavy track and plodded home for 6th. This should suit more.
These are tough races. Different winners every week. KNIGHT is ready to show up. He races on speed and last start in Saturday grade he was there until the final 100m. This is about 2 lengths easier. If he runs like that again he can be in the finish.
SHUFFLE UP is getting close to a win. Has had 3 runs this time up and has needed to get fit as he is much better placed at this trip. Hit line hard this class when 3rd last start over 1550m. Respect.
PEEKAY’S LEGACY is an on the march 3YO. He has won 2 of his past 3 and last start when 3rd was in a strong BM 72 and he hit the line hard from well back. Is very fit and is trained here.
Tip: SHUFFLE UP
YUKON is still learning what racing is all about but he is showing talent and the necessary wheels to be competitive at this level. raced on pace all the way when runner-up here last start in a very similar race. Mid-race tempo this time won’t be as hard and he is fitter.
KUTAYHA has talent but more importantly is very honest and hits the line hard. Extremely well backed overnight.
NELSPRUIT looks a nice type in the making. Like most Tulloch Lodge-trained horses he likes to lead nd being on home track here, he should go hard. Is very fit and did win comfortably, albeit in weaker grade, last start.
ACCELERATO is getting up in the weights now but he belongs in this grade and has won before. Is very fit and inside draw is a huge help. Watch betting.
IRISH ANGEL is smart and both runs this campaign have been impressive. Last campaign finished hard from well back at this level, this trip to win, then repeated the dose exactly when resuming. Is very honest. Also, loves it wet. Can win.
FROZEN IN TIME is a good enough mare this grade. Iff this great gate should settle 4th to the bend and 2nd up here she should run well. Drawn well and looms large.
Tip: IRISH ANGEL