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Horse racing Tips – Thursday 17th November

Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Hawkesbury meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 3 races. Good luck, punters!

Track Condition: Good 4

Rail Position: True entire

Trust me, tactics will play roles here. BELLE ESPOIR is the favourite because her form has been excellent of late and she is very fit. But I think she is actually up in grade here and as such I like TOO MUCH CLASS. She is a bit hit and miss but since changing stables she has won at this level and run a good finishing close-up 5th. Probably lobs into the one, one sit here and with the 2kg claim should peel off as they turn and out kick these. Obvious quinella bet too. Good contest.

Tip: TOO MUCH CLASS @ $5.00

I’m aware this bloke MERLINITE is a non-winner. He just runs in behind them and places often but gee this is a drop in grade from his previous few runs. Off the inside here Josh Parr brought on to replace Jason Collett who has chosen to ride the mare ETHERIDGE who was a strong 3rd this grade last start and is fitter now. Well, while she is a threat this bloke Merlinite is very fit too and the run he will get plus the drop in grade make him the most appealing to me. Quinella them today.

Tip: MERLINITE @ $3.80

This appropriately named THIS’LLBETHEONE could well live up to his name. He narrowly, but impressively what is turning out to be a super maiden on debut. Runner-up for instance won next start in town, and this bloke was the baby of there field. Does step pop a fair bit in grade here but looks likely to handle it. Well backed overnight and Jay Mac rides. I like him a lot.




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