Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Wednesday’s Kensington meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 8 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 6
Rail Position: Out 3m entire
AIRMAN is on debut here from the Team Hawkes yard. He extended brilliantly late in a trial last week to get the win. This is harder but he looks rather professional. Respect.
HIMALAISM resumed from a spell last start in this very grade and ran 4th. On paper it was a neat effort. In reality, he should have won the race. Was blocked for a run. Will go very close here.
TRAGARA is fast and looked home last start this grade here before being claimed in the shadows of the post. Resumed that day so will be fitter this time.
CONTEMPORARY has the bad gate but also has the form. Is third up here. Probably drops back but is talented enough nd is now supremely fit. Big show.
RAMONES is ready to win. Been runner-up this grade twice now from two starts showing dazzling speed from the gates. Drawn perfectly.
SORGENTE ran a bottler of a race on debut when wide all the way and 3rd this grade. Beat Himalaisim home and if he wins the first race, get on this bloke here.
This looks a nice race for WHAT’S GOING ON. No-one could have missed the way she rocketed home from a mile back this level on debut last start. She ran 3rd but wins in two more bounds. Certain to be fitter now too.
From this gate most likely CABACA drifts back looking for cover. Did charge home late in a strong maiden on debut last start. Sure to be running hard late now that she is fitter.
SMART VENGEANCE is resuming here but showed a bit of talent last prep. Has had two recent trials so may run a big race at odds.
Tip: WHAT’S GOING ON
Interesting race. HOLLYWOOD GOSSIP will appreciate Ellen Hennessy’s 3kg allowance here. The filly is 4th up and has shown past two starts that she is ready to rumble.
Many chances in this, and last start winner on a heavy in FLYING STEP looms large. She is up in class but rain is expected which will help her hopes.
JAYANTHI is honest and capable and was 2nd in this very grade last start so must be considered. Will be boxing on gamely here too.
Tip: FLYING STEP
These are tough races. Big question though: has the handicapper caught cup with DR EVIL now? Hmmm, does get a 2kg weight allowance which is a big help but gee he is in spectacular form this grade and is very fit. Should get a great cart into it and be competitive again.
KARLSTAD is racing in career best form., is 4th up, Hughie rides and looks nicely placed following three terrific runs of late.
Up a long way in class here but this bloke THE MILKYBAR KID looks very smart. Bolted his maiden in last start. Will lead these from this gate and should take catching on home track.
Tip: THE MILKYBAR KID
Heaps of hopes here. HE’S A HOTSHOT has not won on a soft track yet, but has placed six times and gets in here with a nice weight for his talent. Disappointing last start but is down 2kgs and can bounce back.
CEASEFIRE may have to be ridden up a little to hold a spot from this nice inside gate, but vis very fit. Has finishing power late too.
SHOWTIME LADY is a bit in and out but can fire up this level. Disappointed last start but is 3rd up and was very good when 3rd up last prep.
GONE TROPPO came with a powerful burst to win a very similar race this grade last start at the Farm. Does go up 2kg which will count for much but is in form.
BRIMSTONE was 2nd in that race behind gone troppo and is 3rd up now. Also meets the winner 3kg better so has to be favoured.
SPEED LEGEND is trained here and ran a cracker of a race this grade when resuming last start and 3rd. Must be considered.
You’d have to think being 3rd up, with top jock and on home track that BILLIONDOLLARBABY will be hard to beat. Looks very nicely in here.
After two impressive wins on wet tracks MOON READER just failed to flatter last start. Back in trip here may suit and worth another chance.
SNEAKY PAIGE hasn’t had many starts but is progressing nicely. Resumed from a spell in slightly weaker race last start and flashed home for 2nd. Fitter now and is on home track.