Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, looks at every runner in Saturday’s Group 1 Morphettville South Australian Derby with horse racing tips for the first four. Read on to see how he maps on this race and assesses the race. Good luck, punters!
T: James Cummings /J: Damien Oliver (56.5kg)
Appears the class of the field and can run all day. In fact, everything about this race should suit him. Last Spring was placed in the Gr 1 VRC Derby, then after a spell and a few runs was 2nd in the Gr 1 ATC Derby. Just is so strong late as he proved last start easily winning the 2800m St Leger. Should win.
T: Mick Price & Michael Kent/ J: Mark Zahra (56.5kg)
Form is as bit patchy but when he is on, he is right up to this. Showed that last start when he came home very hard to win the traditional lead-up race the Gr 3 Chairmans from Harleymoven. Significantly, Damien Oliver rode him that day and has chosen Alegron here.
T: Trent Busuttin and Nat Young /J: Dan Moor (56.5kg)
Is 4th up into this and should be ready to run well. Has been stakes placed, last prep, but he was a little disappointing last start over 2100m when 3rd at the midweeks. This is harder but can stay.
T: Dan Clarken & Oopy MacGillivray / J: Ryan Hurdle (56.5kg)
Talented and looks very hard to beat. Is showing extreme staying talent of late and is in sparkling form. Won two weaker races on the bounce, both by big margins before a luckless and eye-catching 2nd in the Chairmans behind Jungle Magnate. Should have won and can test these.
T: Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace/ J: John Allen (56.5kg)
Interesting galloper. Looks to have enormous upside. Has won his only three starts to date and just races like this trip will suit. Has a powerful finishing burst. Won over 2100m last start easily and behind him was Commander Harry. Might be very special. Big show.
T: Pat Payne / J: Billy Egan (56.5kg)
Looks a quality stayer in the making. Won the Listed Tasmanian Derby over 2200m but has mixed his form a fair bit since. Good 2nd making up many lengths late to Detonator Jack then in the mud last start failed to run on. Is capable enough.
T: Mick Price & Michael Kent / J: Jason Holder (56.5kg)
Had impressively won two in a row including a 3YO hcp in town over a mile by leading all the way but when stepped up to stakes grade in the Chairmans, led to the turn and folded. The same may happen here.
T: Lloyd Kennewell / J: Beau Mertons (56.5kg)
Good tough colt who carried 60kg over a mile in a recent BM 64 to win easily and was impressive when hitting the line hard, late to grab 3rd to Jungle Magnate in the 2000m Chairmans. Place shot.
T: Team McEvoy/ J: Barend Vorster (56.5kg)
Solid type who has talent too. But to be fair, two of his past three runs have been wins, achieved on out of town tracks. May struggle late at Gr 1 level. Tends to race near the front.
T: Cliff brown /J: Ben Allen (56.5kg)
This bloke does appear to have staying power, which certainly showed up in a Saturday 3YO over 2000m last start at Caulfield. Came from last in a field of 16 and finished 4th. This is harder but trip appears ideal. Should be running on hard.
T: Roslyn Day / J: Callan Murry (56.5kg)
Gets up on speed and loves it wet. This trip and grade will test.
T: Gemma Rielly / J: Joe Bowditch (56.5kg)
Interesting runner. He has yet to be tossed in against classy runners but has won two of his past three starts by going hard early and just being too strong, latest in a Cl 2 at Mornington over 2000m. Seems to live up to pedigree and stay all day. Sneaky place show.
T: Shay Keating/ J: Jake Noonan (56.5kg)
Has talent and will win races, but at this stage is just a provincial class galloper. Will find this tough.
T: Team Hayes / J: Luke Nolen (56.5kg)
Sent forward in maiden over a mile too starts back and won by a nostril. Will find this many lengths harder, and last start in the Chairmans he was beaten 6 lengths when 5th. Not keen.
T: Brock Lewthwaite / J: Kayla Crowther (54.5kg)
She can stay and was the WA Oaks winner this trip then backed up and was 5th in the WA Derby. Did go back and stayed there when 15th in the recent SA Oaks. Not keen.
T: Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace/ J: Ethan Brown (56.5kg)
Kiwi 3YO with a bit of staying talent. On debut in Aussie was a fair 5th Claidheamh More so not expected to trouble these.
T: Patrick Keane / J: – (56.5kg)
Can stay and is improving every run. Did come hard to win Werribee maiden over 2000m on slow track last start. Next campaign.
T: Robbie Griffiths & Mat de Kock / J: – (56.5kg)
Has raced 14 times in weaker races and won just one of them, a maiden. Not keen here.
T: John Macmillan / J: – (56.5kg)
Isn’t a Gr 1 horse but can stay. Won maiden last start comfortably finishing hard over 1800m but this is many lengths stronger.