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Gr 1 Sydney Cup Preview

Our Gr 1 expert Ric Chapman has waded through all the form and pros and cons of this big Sydney Cup field. He's found the top 4 home and looks at all runners.

1. Military Mission (17)

echo J: A Hyeronimus T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Top class stayer who should be a major force in this. Ran well in Gr 2 races in Melbourne last spring and was useful in the Melbourne Cup. Was going great guns leading into this before an average run last start. Can bounce back.

PB Rating 8.4
Last 5 1x356
Win $15.00 Place $4.40
  • Ready to Fire

2. Mahrajaan (16)

echo J: T Marquand T: S Ritchie & C Murray

Kiwi star who just loves this trip. Has raced twice over 3200m and won both, the New Zealand Cup and his very last start in the Auckland Cup. That makes him a major threat in this.

PB Rating 8.8
Last 5 51001
Win $21.00 Place $6.00
  • Proven Winner

3. Ashrun (12)

echo J: C Williams T: C Maher

Looks one of the hardest to beat. Stormed home to grab 4th in the Gr 1 Melbourne Cup last November and his 3 runs since have been outstanding. Last start he was 3rd at WFA in the Gr 1 Tancred Stakes behind Kalapour and More Felons over 2400m. Should be cherry-ripe for this now.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 4x413
Win $6.50 Place $2.35
  • Ready to Fire

4. Loft (7)

echo J: B Shinn T: B, W & J Hayes

Showed some signs of life last start when making steady ground late from the back and winding up 6th to Circle Of Fire on a heavy 9 in the Gr 2 Chairmans over 2600m. Has won this trip but still needs to lift a few more lengths.

PB Rating 7
Last 5 x7706
Win $61.00 Place $15.00
  • Good on Soft

5. Stockman (8)

echo J: R Jones T: J Pride

Tough old stager who loves it a bit wet. Only plodded late when he had every chance last start in the Chairmans over 2600m grabbing 5th behind Circles Of Fire beaten just under 4 lengths.  Has raced 3 times at this trip and not been sighted. May struggle late again here.

PB Rating 7.6
Last 5 07365
Win $34.00 Place $8.50
  • Good on Soft

6. Selino (9)

echo J: T Berry T: C Waller

Old timer who can run all day and into the night. Came with a huge run last year in the Gr 2 Brisbane Cup over this trip to win. Three runs back this time have been average but that’s how it is with him. He peaks on the big days. So expect him to run home boldly. Hates it wet, however.

PB Rating 8
Last 5 1x868
Win $34.00 Place $8.50
  • Likes Dry Track

7. Kalapour (6)

echo J: D Gibbons T: K Lees

He does look deliciously weighted for this following his determined turn of foot late to claim the Gr 1 Tancred over 2400m at WFA last start where he beat a good few of these. Is peaking at the right time. Can he run a good two miles on a damp track, this is his test but he’s in form.

PB Rating 8.4
Last 5 0x021
Win $9.00 Place $3.00
  • In Form

8. Serpentine (4)

echo J: T Clark T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Interesting runner. Very interesting in the sense he seems back this campaign in super shape. He likes to lead and has proven, in 2 x 2000m stakes races thus far this time up, that he can run fast times. BUT, last year he led the Melbourne Cup and was beaten 32 lengths. Both Ashrun and Military Mission easily beat him home that day. This is easier and he should get an uncontested lead which makes him a threat. Not all that great on wet ground though.

PB Rating 8.7
Last 5 05x11
Win $12.00 Place $3.60
  • Proven Winner

9. Amade (5)

echo J: M Dee T: P Stokes

How can anyone tip a 10yo to win a Gr 1 like this but I’ll tell you this, based on evidence from recent runms, this bloke is a player. He can stay. And he is rock-hard fit. Did lump 58kg around in the recent 3200m Gr 2 Adelaide Cup when 4th, albeit in average time. Big drop in weight here is a plus.

PB Rating 8.4
Last 5 54234
Win $12.00 Place $3.70
  • Place Performer

10. Athabascan (11)

echo J: T Schiller T: J O'Shea

Here’s a major player. He has had a faultless campaign and showed he was ready for this by flashing home late under 59kg in the Gr 1 Tancred over 2400m last start to grab 4th. Kalapour beat him home by 1.6 lengths and carries 2kg more than him this time. So from a fitness perspective and a weight scale view, he looks very well in on paper. Also, he loves it wet. Big show.

PB Rating 8.8
Last 5 2x644
Win $9.00 Place $2.90
  • Good on Soft

11. Manzoice (1)

echo J: Z Lloyd T: C Waller

Is very well in at the weights and he has been coming along nicely this prep. Last start beat all but the flying English horse Post Impressionist over 2400m in the Gr 3 Manion. They ran fast time and he was making ground late. Drops 4.5kg for this. Must be respected.

PB Rating 8.2
Last 5 x8852
Win $14.00 Place $4.20
  • Ready to Fire

12. Circle Of Fire (15)

Best Bet
echo J: A Atzeni T: C Maher

Here’s the one they all should be scared of. His preparation has been perfect and he wont know himself with 51.5kg. In Europe he raced in stakes races with 60kg and last start his final 200m to claim victory in the 2600m Gr 2 Chairmans here on a heavy track was superb. He should drop back to be about 10th or so, hopefully with cover and if he produces a finish like he did last start, he wins this.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 3x441
Win $4.80 Place $1.95
  • Ready to Fire

13. Glentaneous (2)

echo J: J Kah T: Anthony & S Freedman

Victorian-based stayer who carries no weight here and is very fit. Was a shade disappointing last start when 5th to the bend in the 2600m Roy Higgins at Flemington by plodded home to finish 6th, 2 lengths behind the winner. This is harder although he has won at 2800m in stakes grade beating Amade and can run on damp surfaces.

PB Rating 7.2
Last 5 11626
Win $16.00 Place $4.60
  • Good on Soft

14. Major Beel (3)

echo J: L Beuzelin T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Have this guy in your numbers. He loves this track having won a Gr 1 here last year and he has been trialling beautifully over hurdles in Victoria preparing for this. Gets in here with no weight and last start he was beaten 1.5 lengths in the 2600m Roy Higgins with 58.5kg. Is super fit and ready to run a mighty race. He likes to go forward though and so too do his stablemates so that may be an issue.

PB Rating 8.5
Last 5 09x74
Win $19.00 Place $5.00
  • Good on Soft

15. Mostly Cloudy (14)

Best Value
echo J: R King T: T Busuttin & N Young

Good Victorian stayer weighted to win. Is peaking at the right time as he is 3rd up in this and last start under 56kg made ground late from the back when 3rd in the Roy Higgins. Has won over 3318m in the past abroad and doesn’t mind the sting out of the ground. Keep safe.

PB Rating 8.6
Last 5 45x23
Win $21.00 Place $5.50
  • Ready to Fire

16. Torrens (13)

echo J: J Duggan T: M Chevalier

Solid old stager who always shows up at big odds on the big days but he is a bit hard to fancy on his recent form – last start for instance beat just 2 home behind Post Impressionist in fast run manion over 2400m. Rough place hope.

PB Rating 7
Last 5 35287
Win $101.00 Place $21.00
  • Good on Soft

17. So Dazzling (10)

echo J: J Ford T: J Sargent

Handy stayer on her day but has won just one race from 17 starts. Did show a bit of a return to form when running on into 4th behind the flying Circles Of Fire last start over 2600m. But this should test.

PB Rating 7
Last 5 9x004
Win $51.00 Place $11.00
  • Good on Soft

First 4

1. Circle Of Fire, 2. Mostly Cloudy, 3. Mahrajaan, 4. Kalapour

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On This Race

* PB rating based on form analysts’ opinion.

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