Gr 1 – Australian Derby

The time-honoured Gr 1 ATC Derby has been one by some of the greats. This is a solid, even field and Ric Chapman unpacks every horses' chances here.

1. Willydoit (10)

J: M Dee T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy

Kiwi Gr 1 winner who has won 4 of his 6 race starts to date, latest when he romped away to claim the NZ Derby this trip. The previous NZ Derby winners always run brilliantly when here for this race so he must be strongly considered.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 11101
Win $3.70 Place $1.60
  • Proven Winner

2. Goldrush Guru (13)

J: J Melham T: A Gluyas

On his day he is an outstanding stayer. Came from sitting just off pace to easily win the Gr 1 VIC Derby back in Nov. Latest start, was taken to the front from gate rise and had nothing left when Broadsiding swamped him at the 200m. Ridden with patience he should be a much better conveyance here. Likes it damp too.

PB Rating 8.9
Last 5 x9437
Win $13.00 Place $3.50
  • Ready to Fire

3. Thedoctoroflove (14)

J: D Moor T: T Busuttin & N Young

After finishing hard to narrowly win the Gr 2 Avondale Guineas in NZ over 2100m, he backed up a fortnight later and was a game 2nd to Willydoit in the Gr 1 NZ Derby over 2400m. Solid stayer, in form and runs home hard.

PB Rating 8.4
Last 5 31612
Win $20.00 Place $5.00
  • In Form

4. Shanwah (4)

J: B Shinn T: C Maher

Is the form horse winning his past 4 starts on the bounce latest over 2040m on a soft track in the Gr 2 Alister Clark. Won it easily too. Keeps getting better with racing and this looks ideal. Drawn to get the run of the race.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 51111
Win $10.00 Place $3.00
  • Proven Winner

5. Plymouth (3)

J: M Zahra T: G Thompson

Past 2 starts have been in Gr 1 races and he’s done well in both, latest when 4th behind the stars Broadsiding and Aeliana in the 2000m Rosehill Guineas. Gives the impression he’ll run this trip right out too. Very fit and deserves to be considered.

PB Rating 8.7
Last 5 6x254
Win $13.00 Place $3.60
  • Ready to Fire

6. Pocketing (16)

J: J Parr T: Richard & W Freedman

Ran good time over a mile to win a Midway then last Thursday at his first go at 2000m, he ploughed through the mud to score from Firm Agreement in the Gr 2. Is very honest and quick back up may suit. The extra 400m is the biggest worry. Place.

PB Rating 8.2
Last 5 29311
Win $34.00 Place $7.50
  • Proven Winner

7. Firm Agreement (6)

J: T Schiller T: A Neasham & R Archibald

Turned in a stunning trial for this when beaten a nostril by Pockets in the Gr 2 Tulloch Stakes on Tuesday over 2000m. Was ridden stone cold being out the back doing no work for the first 1400m, conceding a huge start, then made massive late ground. Is very fit and is ready to pounce.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 3x772
Win $20.00 Place $5.00
  • Ready to Fire

8. King Of Thunder (1)

J: Z Lloyd T: J O'Shea & T Charlton

Another backing up from that tough Gr 2 Tulloch Stakes on Tuesday into this. Made up enormous ground late to grab 3rd. Looks like this trip will suit and is on home track. Big show.

PB Rating 8.5
Last 5 7x713
Win $13.00 Place $3.50
  • Ready to Fire

9. Golden Century (15)

J: N Rawiller T: T Pike

Kiwi stayer who is still a maiden after 8 starts but has placed at Gr 1 level in the NZ Derby 2 starts back. Was making handy ground late on Tuesday in the Tulloch Stakes when 7th. Better suited this trip. Place.

PB Rating 7.6
Last 5 24837
Win $34.00 Place $8.00
  • Place Performer

10. Imperialist (22)

J: R Moore T: C Waller

Poorly drawn but may spear from the gates looking for a good place in the run. Is very fit and has champion rider on top. Is also getting better with racing and was a game 2nd to Shanwah in 2040m Gr 2 Alister Clark last start. Should run a decent race.

PB Rating 8
Last 5 x7332
Win $71.00 Place $16.00
  • In Form

11. Mustang Morgan (12)

J: C Williams T: A Forsman

Dour Kiwi stayer who has saluted just once from 8 starts. Plugged on fairly, beaten 5 lengths when 4th to Willydoit in the Gr 1 NZ Derby. This may test.

PB Rating 7.2
Last 5 31494
Win $51.00 Place $11.00
  • Likes Dry Track

12. Red Aces (18)

J: H Bowman T: N Ryan

Struggling to find form. Did win a Gr 2 over 2040m at The Valley back in Oct with King Of Thunder behind him, but in 4 starts since hasn’t run a place.

PB Rating 6.9
Last 5 6x005
Win $71.00 Place $16.00
  • Good on Soft

13. Confetti Garden (21)

J: T Berry T: T Busuttin & N Young

Lightly raced and has ability but is badly drawn here. Chased Shanwah home in the Gr 2 Autumn Classic over 1800m then came to Sydney on Tursday and was hitting the line well when 5th to Pocketing in the 2000m Tulloch Stakes. Stepping up to Gr 1 racing at just 5th start over 2400m is a hard ask but has talent.

PB Rating 8
Last 5 1125
Win $51.00 Place $12.00
  • Likes Dry Track

14. Tsitsipas (11)

J: B Melham T: T Busuttin & N Young

Tough as nails stayer who has the miles in his legs. Has won his past two starts, over 2400m and 2500m so the trip poses no problem. Likes to race up near the pace. Slight concern is that trhe times he has run to win have been slow. Can run all day though.

PB Rating 7.8
Last 5 71011
Win $81.00 Place $18.00
  • Proven Winner

15. Autumn Aroha (5)

J: C Schofield T: R Litt

Good solid handicap type in his cohort but not sure he is a top tier stayer as yet. Beaten 3 lengths by Pocketing on Tuersday and prior to that fell in to win over 2000m in Canberra. This should test.

PB Rating 7
Last 5 32116
Win $101.00 Place $21.00
  • Likes Dry Track

16. Bernen Win (20)

J: T Sherry T: J Thompson

Bad draw so probably drops back a bit and has to make ground late. Did that last start when a promising 5th in the Gr 1 Rosehill Guineas over 2000m. Gives the impression the trip helps. Place show.

PB Rating 8.1
Last 5 33145
Win $151.00 Place $31.00
  • Good on Soft

17. Kosuke (9)

J: A Morgan T: G Mcfarlane

Looks like developing into a nice type but his Gr 1 run when beaten 8 lengths last start behind Broadsiding was poor. This will test.

PB Rating 6
Last 5 8x120
Win $151.00 Place $31.00
  • Likes Dry Track

18. Aeliana (2)

J: D Lane T: C Waller

Top class filly who gets back and runs on hard. Three runs this time up all in the top grade and has raced very well. Beats Broadsiding home in the Gr 1 Rosehill Guineas in one more bound. Screaming out for this trip and she should be charging home.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 2x342
Win $3.20 Place $1.50
  • Likes Dry Track

19. Flying Argento (Em1) (23)

J: R Jones T: G Portelli

Loves the mud and has won 2 of his past 3 starts but they were in out of town races. Should find this a bit tough.

PB Rating 6
Last 5 91x61
Win $151.00 Place $31.00
  • Good on Soft

20. Deal N' Dash (Em2) (8)

J: Not Notified T: B Baker

Only win was in a Rosehill maiden over 1500m in Feb. Handy run when 8th on Tuesday to Pocketing but this seems all a bit too rushed for him.

PB Rating 6
Last 5 148
Win $21.00 Place $5.50
  • Good on Soft

21. Format (Em3) (7)

J: T Clark T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Likes to lead but isn’t very strong late and will get run over here should he get a start.

PB Rating 5.5
Last 5 01210
Win $126.00 Place $21.00
  • Good on Soft

22. So You Are (Em4) (19)

J: Not Notified T: S Osland

Bush trained galloper with staying talent. Scored easily over 2150m in Toowoomba Cl 1 before doing same at Scone in a BM 58. Last start ran on for close 3rd. at Wyong on BM 78. This is much harder but can stay.

PB Rating 7.1
Last 5 32113
Win $151.00 Place $31.00
  • Good on Soft

23. Black Babylon (Em5) (17)

J: E Brown T: A Neasham & R Archibald

Looks a handy stayer in the making but is still a maiden after 5 starts. Last start though, at $101, he fininshed hard for 4th to Pocketing in the Gr 2 Tulloch over 2000m. Maybe not this campaign but down the track keep following him.

PB Rating 7.3
Last 5 73334
Win $101.00 Place $21.00
  • Likes Dry Track

First 4

1. Shanwah, 2. Firm Agreement, 3. Aeliana, 4. Willydoit

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On This Race

* PB rating based on form analysts’ opinion.