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FA Community Shield Tips & Preview – Liverpool V Manchester City

Find the back of the net with football tips for the first big game of the English season – the FA Community Shield showdown between rival Premier League heavyweights Liverpool and Manchester City.

FA Community Shield Tips – Liverpool V Manchester City

02:00 (AEST), Sun 31st Jul @ King Power Stadium, Leicester

History: Played 220: Liverpool 106 V Manchester City 58 (56 Draws)

Last meeting: March April 16, 2022 (FA Cup): Liverpool 3 d Manchester City 2 at Etihad Stadium

Final thoughts: Archrivals and frontline Premier League title contenders Manchester City and Liverpool face off in the first big match of the English club season, the traditional FA Community Shield match. EPL title-holders Man City and FA Cup winners Liverpool will be desperate to earn some early bragging rights – as well as another piece of silverware.

With usual venue Wembley Stadium unavailable, the match will be played at Leicester’s King Power Stadium.

The Citizens have played a couple of pre-season friendlies in recent weeks in the United States. They beat Mexican club América 2-1 (with Kevin de Bruyne scoring both goal) and Bayern Munich 1-0 (thanks to 12th-minute strike from superstar forward recruit Erling Haaland).

Liverpool have been busy, facing Manchester United (lost 4-0) and Crystal Palace (2-0) in Asia, and RB Leipzig (won 5-0) and Red Bull Salzburg (lost 1-0) in Europe.

Big signings on show

Brilliant young Norwegian striker Haaland was one of the game’s hottest properties and landed with Man City from Borussia Dortmund on a £51,200,000 transfer fee. He scored 62 goals in 67 games for Dortmund and is $2.20 to score a goal in the Community Shield – $34 to bag a hat-trick. Argentinian tyro Julian Alvarez, who signed a lengthy deal with City in January but has been on loan, is $2.25 to score in his first significant game for the club.

Haaland is much-needed addition to the attack following the exit of goalscoring mainstays Gabriel Jesus and Raheem Sterling. Meanwhile, City have picked up Leeds United midfielder Kalvin Phillips, softening the blow of Fernandinho’s departure.

There’s been less disruption to Liverpool’s squad over the summer, though Sadio Mane and Divock Origi will be missed. Those exits have been tempered by the arrival of Benfica’s prolific Uruguayan striker Darwin Nunez on a £65,000,000 fee. The 23-year-old produced an early sign of what he is capable of with four second-half goals against RB Leipzig last week.

Nunez is $2.80 to open his competitive goalscoring account for Liverpool in the Community Shield – behind only the incomparable Mo Salah ($2.60) among the Reds.

First psychological blow in EPL title race on the line

These clubs waged a scintillating battle for the Premier League crown last season. Liverpool did not lose a game after New Year’s to come roaring back hot on Man City’s heels, but they ultimately finished one point short in a nerve-shredding final-day scramble. City had to rally late to overcome Aston Villa 3-2 and take the title.

The teams’ two EPL clashes in the 2021-22 campaign finished in 2-all draws. De Bruyne scored the late equaliser in thrilling tie at Anfield, while Mane was the only second-half scorer at Etihad Stadium. Liverpool – with Mane notching a brace – got off to a flyer against City in the FA Cup semis before holding on 3-2.

City are a red-hot $1.57 chance of earning the EPL three-peat, with Liverpool on the second line of betting at $3.25 and daylight third. A positive Community Shield result could see those odds close up a bit.

Big guns look to break Community Shield shackles

The past five Community Shield matches have produced two goals or less, with three going to a penalty shootout after the combatants finished 1-all.

Leicester City upset 2018-19 winners Manchester City 1-0 last season. Liverpool lost in back-to-back shootouts in 2019-20, last taking the prize in 2006.

But given the attacking firepower on show in both line-ups and the willingness of Jurgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola to allow their teams to play an attractive brand of football, there’s a likelihood of a few goals being scored.

The Over 2.5 goals option is paying just $1.78, but Over 3.5 goals ($2.98) and Over 4.5 goals ($5.50) – which happened in consecutive Community Shield fixtures involving City in 2011-12 – certainly provides some value.

Man City head in as narrow $2.40 favourites. It shapes as a marvellous lead-in to the EPL season and there’s little between the sides. I’ll take the fulltime draw with a healthy smattering of goals to boot.

Tip: Result – Draw @ $3.50

Same Game Multi: Total – Over 3.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Erling Haaland; Anytime Goalscorer – Mo Salah @ $9.67


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