The Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for the remaining six matches from the split Week 26, including a big clash between Chelsea and Manchester United.
History: Played 114: Wolverhampton 43 V Leicester 38 (33 Draws)
Last meeting: August 11, 2019 (EPL): 0-0 draw at King Power Stadium
Final Thoughts: Wolverhampton Wanderers’ hopes of pushing towards a top-four finish have taken a hit in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Leicester City are attempting to stay in the hunt for second place.
Wolves suffered just three losses in their first 19 games. But they have managed only one win (against struggling Southampton) and two draws in their last six outings. A scoreless draw at Old Trafford in Week 25 was not an unduly concerning result, however.
Leicester fell into a hole with four losses in six games – including upset defeats to the likes of Southampton and Burnley. But they started to turn things around in their last two games with a big win over West Ham (4-1) and a draw against Chelsea (2-2). Harvey Barnes has scored in Leicester’s last three games.
The Foxes lost 4-3 when they visited Molineux Stadium last season. The teams played out a scoreless draw in the opening week of the 2019-20 campaign.
Leicester are hard to get behind after losing two of their last three on the road. But the Foxes’ last eight games (and 17 of 25 overall) have produced three or more goals, making the overs an attractive play.
History: Played 59: Burnley 22 V Southampton 20 (17 Draws)
Last meeting: August 10, 2019 (EPL): Burnley 3 d Southampton 0 at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: Both relegation candidates at various stages of this season, 13th-placed Southampton and 11th-placed Burnley both have the opportunity to finish the weekend in the top half.
The rivals have identical 9W-4D-12L records. But Burnley have produced better recent form, following up upset wins over Leicester (2-1) and Man United (2-0) with a scoreless draw against Arsenal. Southampton’s outstanding Christmas-New Year’s revival has petered out somewhat, bookending a win over Crystal Palace (2-0) with losses to Wolves (3-2) and Liverpool (4-0) in their past three.
Burnley are unbeaten in their last six against Southampton, including a 3-0 rout in Week 1 this season. The Clarets – $4.50 head-to-head underdogs – provide punters with plenty of value in this one, too.
History: Played 65: Liverpool 36 V Norwich 14 (15 Draws)
Last meeting: August 9, 2019 (EPL): Liverpool 4 d Norwich 1 at Anfield
Final Thoughts: Bottom-placed Norwich’s bid to stay in the survival fight doesn’t seem likely to get a boost when they host runaway EPL leaders Liverpool this weekend.
Norwich are six points adrift of the field, despite managing three draws and a win from their last six games. They played out a scoreless draw at Newcastle in Week 25. Norwich have conceded an equal-league-high 47 goals, but have improved defensively of late. However, they have also scored an equal-league-low 24 goals.
Liverpool are a whopping 22 points clear after winning 24 and drawing one of their 25 games. They are on a 16-game winning streak – including a 4-0 rout of Southampton in Week 25 – and have conceded just one goal in their last 10 games.
Norwich’s last win over Liverpool came in 1994. The best the Canaries have managed in 13 encounters since is a pair of draws, with Liverpool powering to a 4-1 opening-week result this season.
Norwich are cautiously priced at home, meaning there is unexpectedly solid value in Liverpool with the start here.
History: Played 164: Tottenham 73 V Aston Villa 56 (35 Draws)
Last meeting: August 10, 2019 (EPL): Tottenham 3 d Aston Villa 1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Final Thoughts: Aston Villa are in the thick of the relegation battle, while Tottenham may have turned things around just in time to make a run at the top four.
Villa are one point clear of the bottom-three, losing a crunch game to Bournemouth 2-1 in Week 25 after picking up 10 points from their previous six games.
Erratic Spurs have notched back-to-back wins over struggling Norwich (2-1) and – in one of their best showings of the season – Manchester City (2-0). Son Heung-min scored late sealers in both victories.
Aston Villa have won just one of their last 18 against Tottenham and went down 3-1 when the clubs met earlier this season.
Sixth-placed Spurs have been a frustrating proposition for punters all season, but this is a big three points for Jose Mourinho’s side and they should find a way to get past Villa.
History: Played 183: Arsenal 78 V Newcastle 67 (38 Draws)
Last meeting: August 11, 2019 (EPL): Arsenal 1 d Newcastle 0 at St James’ Park
Final Thoughts: Arsenal are one misstep away from slumping to a humiliating 13th place, currently in 10th at the top of a four-team logjam on 31 points. Newcastle are one of the teams in that bunch vying for a spot in the top half.
The Gunners have won just one of their last nine games, drawing their last four in a row. They played out a scoreless stalemate at Burnley in Week 25. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four, following up a win over Chelsea with draws against Everton and Norwich.
Arsenal have won 13 of their last 14 against Newcastle, including a 1-0 victory on the road earlier this season. Newcastle have been outscored 20-5 in losing their last seven at Emirates Stadium.
But the reliability of trends and hoodoos have gone out the window during Arsenal’s diabolical campaign. Newcastle are also difficult to get too excited about, but their value with a head-start is tough to resist.
History: Played 185: Man United 80 V Chelsea 54 (51 Draws)
Last meeting: October 30, 2019 (EFL Cup): Man United 2 d Chelsea 1 at Stamford Bridge
Final Thoughts: Not quite the blockbuster we’ve come to expect when these high-profile clubs lock horns. Chelsea are clinging to fourth spot, while the equally out-of-sorts Manchester United are languishing in eighth.
Chelsea’s 1-0 defeat to Newcastle in Week 23 was their sixth in 11 games. Since then, the Blues featured in back-to-back 2-all draws with Arsenal at home and Leicester away. German import Antonio Rudiger scored both of Chelsea’s goals against the Foxes.
United are six points behind after winning just one of their last five. After consecutive 2-0 losses to Liverpool and Burnley, they played out a scoreless draw at home to Wolverhampton. The perennial contenders have been kept to nil a staggering eight times this season – and five times in their last eight games.
Chelsea are winless in their last five against Man United. The Red Devils blitzed the Blues 4-0 at home at the start of the EPL season and prevailed 2-1 during the EFL Cup.
Chelsea are a cautious $1.80 at home; the fact there is still decent value in that price is indicative of Man United’s sorry state.