The Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for each match from Week 14 of the 2019-20 season, including a clash between surprise top-six sides Wolverhampton and Sheffield.
History: Played 179: Newcastle 72 V Man City 68 (39 Draws)
Last meeting: January 29, 2019 (EPL): Newcastle 2 d Man City 1 at St James’ Park
Final Thoughts: Newcastle are aiming to bounce back from a 2-0 loss at Aston Villa, which brought their two-game winning run to a dismal end. They have been a tricky opponent at home this season, however, with their only loss at St James’ Park coming against Arsenal in Week 1. Since then, the Magpies have notched two wins and three draws.
Man City put the disappointment of their loss to Liverpool aside to beat Chelsea 2-1, leapfrogging the Blues back into third. They drew with Shakhtar in Champions League action midweek. Nine points adrift of Liverpool, City cannot afford to drop any points in games like this if they are to win a third straight title. But they will be without injured striker Sergio Aguero for this assignment.
Newcastle scored a 2-1 boilover victory at home against Man City last season – just their second win in 25 matches between the clubs.
Scoring goals remains Newcastle’s bugbear – they have managed just 11 in 13 games. City should take the three points, while expect Raheem Sterling to play a prominent role with Aguero sidelined.
History: Played 47: Burnley 18 V Crystal Palace 12 (17 Draws)
Last meeting: March 2, 2019 (EPL): Crystal Palace 3 d Burnley 1 at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: Burnley are enjoying a recent upswing to sit handily in seventh, while Crystal Palace have slumped to 13th via a lengthy run of outs.
The Clarets have banked back-to-back 3-0 wins over West Ham and Watford, while Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes scoring in both. Negotiating a horror stretch of the draw that, Palace have picked up just one point from their last five games (from a draw with Arsenal) and have lost three straight to Leicester, Chelsea and Liverpool. They were only five minutes away from a draw with the league-leaders last week.
Palace have won three straight against Burnley, including a 3-1 victory at Turf Moor last season.
Burnley boast four wins from six games at Turf Moor this season. Palace have managed two wins and a draw from six away games and will relish the chance to play a team more on their level. There’s no obvious winner here, but the over option is offering up good value.
History: Played 112: Chelsea 50 V West Ham 40 (22 Draws)
Last meeting: April 8, 2019 (EPL): Chelsea 2 d West Ham 0 at Stamford Bridge
Final Thoughts: Chelsea are looking for an immediate return to the winner’s circle after going down 2-1 to Man City last weekend. The fourth-placed Blues were on a six-match winning streak, but are zero-for-three against their fellow ‘Big Six’ clubs.
Their blockbuster record won’t be an issue this week when they host 17th-placed West Ham. They are winless in their last seven and hover just three points above the relegation zone. Hammers were somewhat flattered by a 3-2 home loss to Spurs, falling three goals behind by the 50-minute mark.
West Ham have managed three wins and three draws in their last nine encounters with Chelsea. But Chelsea won 2-0 at Stamford Bridge last season and are unbeaten in their last 14 at home against Hammers.
Chelsea had a midweek UCL road trip – drawing 2-2 at Valencia – but they should have enough gas in the tank to account for West Ham. Five of their last seven wins came by margins of two or more.
History: Played 29: Liverpool 17 V Brighton 4 (8 Draws)
Last meeting: January 12, 2019 (EPL): Liverpool 1 d Brighton 0 at Amex Stadium
Final Thoughts: Liverpool remain eight points clear at the top with 12 wins and a draw from 13 matches. But they needed an 85th-minute strike from Firmino to get past Palace 2-1 last week. Remarkably, their only win by more than one goal from their last eight outings was against Manchester City. Meanwhile, they were unable to exact revenge on Napoli – the only team to beat the Reds this year – this week, drawing 1-1.
Brighton’s brief form spike has petered out courtesy of two-goal losses to Manchester United and Leicester City in their past two. The 12th-placed Seagulls have picked up just one point from five away games since their Week 1 victory at Watford.
Liverpool are on a seven-match winning streak against Brighton. But both encounters last season were decided by 1-0 scorelines – a vast improvement for the Seagulls on the nine goals they conceded to the Reds in the 2017-18 home-and-away fixtures.
Liverpool are highly unlikely to get rolled here, but they have kept only two clean sheets this season so Brighton should find a goal at some stage.
History: Played 9: Tottenham 6 V Bournemouth 2 (1 Draw)
Last meeting: May 4, 2019 (EPL): Bournemouth 1 d Tottenham 0 at Vitality Stadium
Final Thoughts: Tottenham snapped a five-match winless run last week courtesy of a 3-2 away win over West Ham in Jose Mourinho’s first game at the helm. Under-pressure Spurs surged to a three-goal lead early in the second half but will be disappointed at conceding two late scores. But they will be buoyed by a 4-2 Champions League win over Olympiacos midweek.
AFC Bournemouth – just one point and one ladder position behind Spurs in 11th – have lost their last two to Newcastle and Wolves by 2-1 scorelines. The Cherries have managed only one goal in their last three away games.
Bournemouth scored a 1-0 upset over Tottenham at home last season. But they have lost all four of their games at Tottenham by a combined 13-0.
It would be very premature to declare Spurs have turned the corner, however, and Bournemouth should run them close.
History: Played 83: Southampton 35 V Watford 26 (22 Draws)
Last meeting: April 23, 2019 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Vicarage Road
Final Thoughts: Neutrals will probably avoid this cellar-dweller clash en masse, but it could have a major bearing on the relegation battle. Second-last Southampton are just one point ahead of Watford.
The Saints have managed just two points from their last eight games, but they were agonisingly unlucky not to beat Arsenal – who scored a 96th-minute equaliser – last week at Emirates Stadium. Danny Ings scored his fifth goal in seven games.
The Hornets came back to earth from their breakthrough 2-0 win at Norwich, crashing 3-0 at home to Burnley in Week 13.
Both encounters between the clubs last season finished in 1-1 draws. Watford have won just one of their last 11 games against Southampton.
Southampton have shown more quality on a regular basis and have a significant advantage in the attacking strikepower stakes – they shape as a good bet at home.
History: Played 58: Arsenal 28 V Norwich 11 (19 Draws)
Last meeting: October 24, 2017 (EFL Cup): Arsenal 2 d Norwich 1 at Emirates Stadium
Final Thoughts: Arsenal may sit one point above Man United and Tottenham, but they are under just as much pressure as their fellow out-of-sorts heavyweight. The eighth-placed Gunners are on a five-match winless run, losing away to Sheffield and Leicester, and drawing at home against Palace, Wolves and Southampton. Lacazette’s second goal deep into stoppage time saved a major embarrassment last week against the battling Saints.
Norwich City pulled off the upset of Week 13, rolling Everton 2-0 at Goodison Park to end a one-week stay in last place. They had picked up just one point and two goals from their previous seven games, culminating in a 2-0 home loss to previously winless Watford in Week 12.
Norwich have won just one of 18 games against Arsenal since 1993. But the Canaries have managed a draw and a win in their last three home Premier League games against the Gunners.
Arsenal simply have to take this opportunity. Norwich won’t roll over, but the visitors nevertheless provide decent head-to-head value here.
History: Played 113: Sheffield 39 V Wolverhampton 38 (36 Draws)
Last meeting: February 3, 2018 (Championship): Wolverhampton 3 d Sheffield 0 at Molineux Stadium
Final Thoughts: Who could have predicted Wolverhampton and Sheffield would be battling it out for fifth spot this deep into the season?
Wolves are one point ahead of the Blades after going unbeaten in their last eight games. They banked 2-1 wins against Villa and Bournemouth in their last two outings. Similarly, Sheffield are unbeaten in their last six – pulling off draws against Tottenham (1-1) and Man United (3-3) in their last two, coming from behind in both.
Sheffield have won just one of their last seven against Wolves, who are unbeaten in their last six straight at Molineux Stadium against the Blades.
Wolverhampton are warm favourites at home, though they do have a Europa League fixture less than 72 hours earlier. With two of the more miserly defences in the league going head to head, a low-scoring draw shapes as a likely outcome between the overachievers.
EPL History: Played 110: Everton 42 V Leicester 36 (32 Draws)
Last meeting: January 1, 2019 (EPL): Leicester 1 d Everton 0 at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Leicester’s march continues, holding onto second place on the back of five straight wins. They have won their last four by a combined 15-0 – including a 2-0 victory at Brighton last week – and have conceded a league-low eight goals this season. Jamie Vardy scored his 12th goal of the season against the Seagulls to extend his lead in the EPL’s goalscoring stakes.
Everton are a dismal 16th with only four wins on the board and are reeling from a 2-0 home loss to strugglers Norwich City. Worryingly, the Toffees have picked up just three points from six away games – from a scoreless draw at Crystal Palace and a scratchy win over relegation-bound Southampton.
Both sides managed an away win over the other last season. Leicester have won only two of their last nine at home against Everton.
But the goalposts have moved significantly for these sides this season. The Foxes boast six clean sheets, while the Toffees have been held scoreless five times.
EPL History: Played 186: Man United 98 V Aston Villa 49 (39 Draws)
Last meeting: April 16, 2016 (EPL): Man United 1 d Aston Villa 0 at Old Trafford
Final Thoughts: Another underwhelming result has kept the heat on ninth-placed Manchester United. After a pressure-relieving 3-1 win over Brighton, they drew 3-3 at Sheffield last week. The Red Devils looked to have secured a win with a three-goal burst from the 72nd to 79th minutes, but they conceded in the dying stages. Meanwhile, they went down 2-1 to group minnows Astana in Europa League action midweek.
Man United are unbeaten in their last 14 matches against Villa, who have won just once at Old Trafford since 1983.
Aston Villa climbed to 15th with their third win in six games, snapping a three-match losing run with a comprehensive 2-0 home win over Newcastle. The promoted outfit has shown real fight against heavyweight sides this year, desperately unlucky not to take anything away from clashes with Spurs, Arsenal and Liverpool after fading in the last 10 minutes.
United have done little to earn punters’ trust this season, but they should find a way to squeeze out a win at home.