The Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for each match from Week 13 of the 2019-20 season, with Tottenham opening the weekend against West Ham minus their long-time manager.
History: Played 212: Tottenham 96 V West Ham 64 (52 Draws)
Last meeting: April 27, 2019 (EPL): West Ham 1 d Tottenham 0 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Final Thoughts: What a week for Tottenham fans and players. Long-serving and highly successful manager Mauricio Pochettino was given the sack, before – perhaps even more shockingly – Jose Mourinho was handed the reins of the struggling heavyweights.
A five-match winless run – culminating in a 1-1 home draw against Sheffield in Week 12 – left Spurs in 14th and forced the club’s hand.
After a bright start, 16th-placed West Ham are also in a major hole with just two draws to show from their last six outings. They went down at home to Newcastle (3-2) and away to Burnley (3-0) in their last two.
West Ham have managed seven wins and two draws in their last 15 clashes with Tottenham, including a 1-0 victory in their first visit to Spurs’ new stadium last season. Despite their disproportionately poor record in the rivalry, Spurs have won their last three at London Stadium.
As poor as they’ve been, Spurs recent upheaval should produce an immediate turnaround sufficient to take care of battling Hammers.
History: Played 97: Arsenal 50 V Southampton 21 (26 Draws)
Last meeting: February 24, 2019 (EPL): Arsenal 2 d Southampton 0 at Emirates Stadium
Final Thoughts: Speaking of big-name teams desperate for a win, Arsenal have slipped to sixth after bookending back-to-back home draws against Palace and Wolves with losses at Sheffield and Leicester. Their 2-0 defeat to the Foxes left Unai Emery with plenty to ponder during the international break.
The Gunners get a gilt-edged chance to right the ship against second-last Southampton. The Saints have picked up just one point from their last seven games, though their has been some improvement since a horrific 9-0 loss to Leicester in Week 10: 2-1 results against Man City and Everton.
Southampton have picked up five wins and three draws from their last 14 encounters with heavyweights Arsenal. Last season the Saints scored a 3-2 upset at home but lost 2-0 at the Emirates.
Southampton have been fair on the road this season – all five of their points were secured away and they only have one loss by more than one goal. But Arsenal know how important the three points is here and will find a way to get them.
History: Played 33: Leicester 14 V Brighton 13
Last meeting: February 26, 2019 (EPL): Leicester 2 d Brighton 1 at King Power Stadium
Final Thoughts: Brighton have won three of their last five games to sit relatively comfortably in 11th. But they went down 3-1 to Manchester United in Week 12. The Seagulls are looking to expand on a superb home record this season, chalking up three wins and two draws from six matches at Amex Stadium.
Meanwhile, resurgent Leicester City have jumped to second with an 8-2-2 record. They have won their last four matches by a combined 15-1, following up their 9-0 rout of Southampton with 2-0 victories over Palace and Arsenal. Jamie Vardy has scored eight goals in Leicester’s last six games.
Brighton’s last win over the Leicester was during the 2013-14 Championship campaign. Last season, the teams drew 1-1 at Brighton before the Foxes grabbed a 2-1 victory at home.
Though Brighton have been a tough beat at home, Leicester are ranked second for goals scored and first for goals conceded – the visitors are tremendous value here.
History: Played 42: Burnley 19 V Watford 13 (10 Draws)
Last meeting: January 19, 2019 (EPL): 0-0 draw at Vicarage Road
Final Thoughts: Watford spent the international break celebrating their first win of the season, a 2-0 away result against Norwich City. It was a fine performance by a team that had scored just six goals in their first 11 games and lifted the Hornets from last to 18th.
Burnley arrested a three-game losing streak with an emphatic 3-0 home win over West Ham in Week 12. The victory lifted the Clarets to ninth, but they are still searching for their first away win of the season.
Last season Watford won 3-1 at Burnley before the teams played out a scoreless stalemate at Vicarage Road – their fifth draw in 10 encounters. Burnley have won just one of their last six at Watford.
It’s tempting to back Burnley as the generously-priced underdog here. But Watford have only lost one of their last four home games – a 2-1 result against Chelsea – and the draw looks the best-value head-to-head option.
History: Played 54: Liverpool 29 V Crystal Palace 14 (11 Draws)
Last meeting: January 19, 2019 (EPL): Liverpool 4 d Crystal Palace 3 at Anfield
Final Thoughts: Crystal Palace’s promising start is threatening to go to waste, dropping to 12th on the back of a four-match winless run. It’s come amidst a punishing section of the schedule, drawing with Arsenal and suffering 2-0 losses to Man City, Leicester and Chelsea. It doesn’t get any easier with Liverpool coming to town.
Liverpool lead the Premier League by eight points with a solitary draw their only blemish on an otherwise perfect record. They struck a massive blow in the title race with a 3-1 victory over main rival Manchester City, surging to a three-goal lead early in the second half. Remarkably, it was the Reds’ first win by more than one goal since Week 5.
Liverpool have won their last five straight against Crystal Palace and six in a row at Selhurst Park. Last season Liverpool prevailed 2-0 at Selhurst Park then outlasted Palace 4-3 at Anfield.
Palace will need a big form reversal to get close to Liverpool in this one, however.
History: Played 13: Bournemouth 6 V Wolverhampton 4 (3 Draws)
Last meeting: February 23, 2019 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium
Final Thoughts: AFC Bournemouth and Wolverhampton are both hoping to solidify their standing in the top half with a win at Vitality Stadium. Eighth-placed Wolves (3W-7D-2L) and ninth-placed Bournemouth (4W-4D-4L) are locked on 16 points.
Bournemouth suffered a big let-down after their 1-0 victory over Man United, going down 2-1 at Newcastle in Week 12 after scoring first. It was only the Cherries’ second loss in eight games. Wolverhampton are on a seven-game unbeaten streak, emerging from three straight 1-1 draws with Southampton, Newcastle and Arsenal via a 2-1 home win over Aston Villa.
Wolves won 2-0 at home last season before the teams played out a 1-all draw at Bournemouth.
Wanderers have racked up an extraordinary number of draws this season, including 1-1 or 0-0 results in four of their six away games. A low-scoring stalemate looms as the most likely outcome again.
History: Played 59: Everton 24 V Norwich 17 (18 Draws)
Last meeting: September 20, 2016 (EFL Cup): Norwich 2 d Everton 0 at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Everton are belatedly starting to gain some traction, notching two wins and a draw with Tottenham in their last four games. The Toffees, who lost five of their first eight games, now sit 15th.
Norwich City find themselves on the bottom rung of the ladder after picking up just one point (and scoring just two goals) from their last seven games. They are coming off consecutive 2-0 losses to Brighton and formerly last-placed Watford.
Norwich have not won a Premier League game at Goodison Park since 1993.
The Canaries have scored just one goal in six away games, which should allow Everton to continue their crawl up the ladder with a home win.
History: Played 163: Chelsea 67 V Man City 57 (39 Draws)
Last meeting: February 24, 2019 (EFL Cup): 0-0 draw (Man City won on penalties) at Stamford Bridge
Final Thoughts: Two-time defending champs Manchester City are smarting from a 3-1 loss to Liverpool that saw them slide to fourth spot, nine points adrift of the front-running Reds. The Citizens only got on the board in the last 15 minutes through Bernardo Silva.
Chelsea have shifted to third with six straight wins, scoring 15 goals and keeping three clean sheets. They accounted for Crystal Palace 2-0 at home in Week 12. Tammy Abraham has scored in a goal in Chelsea’s last two games, taking his season tally to 10.
Man City have won five of their last six against Chelsea. The Citizens responded to a 2-0 loss at Stamford Bridge last season by taking the Blues to the cleaners 6-0 at home, before also winning a scoreless League Cup tie on penalties.
Man City are unsurprisingly favourites at home, but they appear far too short at $1.40. There’s too much value in in-form Chelsea to ignore.
EPL History: Played 93: Man United 44 V Sheffield 34 (15 Draws)
Last meeting: January 9, 2016 (FA Cup): Man United 1 d Sheffield 0 at Old Trafford
Final Thoughts: Sheffield United are rapidly developing into the success story of the EPL season. The promoted outfit sit fifth on the ladder with four wins and five draws, going unbeaten in their last five games and picking up a win over Arsenal and a draw with Tottenham.
While they average only a shade more than one goal per game, the Blades’ defence has been outstanding. They have conceded just nine goals – second-best in the league – and have not leaked more than one goal in their past nine games.
Manchester United carved out a pressure-relieving 3-1 win over Brighton in Week 12 – just their second victory in seven games – to rise to seventh, but they are still eight points adrift of the top four. Marcus Rashford has scored three goals in United’s last four games.
Sheffield’s last win over Man United was in 1993, with the Red Devils winning all seven encounters since – six of them to nil. None of the clubs’ last 15 clashes since 1990 produced more than three goals.
United will be desperate to leapfrog Sheffield with a win at Bramall Lane. But they have lost three of their last four on the road – to some pretty understated opposition. Having something on Sheffield taking a point off another big gun looks like the way to go.
EPL History: Played 163: Newcastle 71 V Aston Villa 55 (37 Draws)
Last meeting: February 20, 2017 (Championship): Newcastle 2 d Aston Villa 0 at St James’ Park
Final Thoughts: Aston Villa are looking to keep the bottom-three at arm’s length after a poor recent run, while Newcastle have edged into a safer region of the ladder with some strong results of late.
Villa have slipped to 17th courtesy of three straight losses to Man City (3-0), Liverpool (2-1) and Wolverhampton (2-1) – though they were desperately unlucky not to emerge from the Liverpool encounter without a point.
Newcastle won only two of their first 10 games but have climbed to 13th with a draw against Wolves and wins over West Ham and Bournemouth in their past three. They only managed seven goals in the first 10 weeks of the season but put five into the back of the net in their last two outings.
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 12 games against Villa, though four of the last six ended in a draw. The last three encounters at Villa Park finished in draws producing two goals or less.
Go with the form-lines here – Newcastle are big value as underdogs.