The Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for each match from Week 11 of the 2019-20 season, including a clash between surprise-packets Crystal Palace and Leicester City.
History: Played 16: Man United 11 V Bournemouth 2 (3 Draws)
Last meeting: December 30, 2018 (EPL): Man United 4 d Bournemouth 1 at Old Trafford
Final Thoughts: AFC Bournemouth are clinging to their place in the top half, despite going winless in their four and scoreless in their last three. The Cherries have played out scoreless draws with Norwich and Watford in a dour past fortnight.
Man United jumped to seventh and ended an excruciating 43-day EPL win drought by beating Norwich 3-1 away last weekend. It was just the Red Devils’ third victory of the season, but it was sandwiched in between wins over Partizan in the Europa League and Chelsea in the EFL Cup.
United have recorded six wins and a draw in their last seven against Bournemouth. Last season they won 2-1 at Vitality Stadium, before powering to a 4-1 victory at home.
Man United haven’t quite turned the corner, but promising signs are poking through and they should take care of a Bournemouth side that is struggling big-time on attack.
History: Played 114: Arsenal 57 V Wolverhampton 30 (27 Draws)
Last meeting: April 24, 2019 (EPL): Wolverhampton 3 d Arsenal 1 at Molineux Stadium
Final Thoughts: Arsenal sit fifth with a 4-4-2 record, but they have endured a dismal past fortnight at Premier League level. The Gunners followed up a 1-0 loss to Sheffield with a 2-all home draw against Palace, despite leading 2-0 after nine minutes. They played out a remarkable League Cup tie with Liverpool midweek, losing on penalties after the match finished 5-all.
Wolverhampton are 12th and are on a five-match unbeaten streak. They have only lost two games, but they have only won two – Wolves have been involved in a staggering six draws already, including 1-1 results against Southampton and Newcastle in their past two. Wanderers’ Europa League campaign is going well, but they were bounced out of the League Cup by Villa midweek.
Wolves were winless in their previous 19 matches against Arsenal when they returned to the Premier League last year. But they notched a 1-1 draw at Emirates Stadium before smoking the Gunners 3-1 at home.
Neither side will be particularly happy with their recent form. While Arsenal are far more potent, Wolves’ ability to keep goals out has been good – consider the visitors with the start here.
History: Played 191: Liverpool 94 V Aston Villa 57 (40 Draws)
Last meeting: February 14, 2016 (EPL): Liverpool 6 d Aston Villa 0 at Villa Park
Final Thoughts: Aston Villa’s two-game winning streak – beating Norwich (5-1) and Brighton (2-1) – ended abruptly via a 3-0 loss to Man City last weekend. But they were far from disgraced and responded by booking a League Cup quarter-final berth with a 2-1 win over Wolves midweek.
Villa confronts another mountainous assignment in the shape of Liverpool, however. Jurgen Klopp’s men have banked 28 of a possible 30 points, following up their 1-1 draw at Old Trafford with a 2-1 win over Tottenham. They advanced to the last eight of the League Cup with a penalty shootout win over Arsenal after the heavyweights were locked 5-all at fulltime.
Aston Villa have managed five wins and two draws in their last 15 matches against Liverpool. But fans will still harbour bitter memories of the last time the Reds came to town, with Villa subjected to a 6-0 humiliation.
Liverpool have not beaten an opponent by more than one goal since Week 5, while Villa’s only loss at home was 2-1 to Bournemouth in Week 2.
History: Played 88: Norwich 34 V Brighton 30 (24 Draws)
Last meeting: April 21, 2017 (Championship): Norwich 2 d Brighton 0 at Carrow Road
Final Thoughts: It’s been a rollercoaster few weeks for 14th-placed Brighton. The Seagulls have trounced Tottenham (3-0) and run down Everton (3-2) at home either side of a 2-1 road loss to Villa. Down 2-1 against the Toffees deep into the second half, a penalty and an own goal got Brighton over the line.
Norwich’s promotion campaign, meanwhile, is threatening to unravel with just a scoreless draw at Bournemouth to show for their last five outings. Last week they went down 3-1 at home to Man United. They sit second-last and have conceded a whopping 24 goals.
Brighton have managed just two wins and two draws in their last 15 games against Norwich. But the Seagulls carved out a 5-0 victory over the Canaries in the clubs’ last meeting at Amex Stadium.
Only eight teams have conceded less than Brighton’s 14 and they should get the job done at home against slumping Norwich.
History: Played 91: Man City 35 V Southampton 31 (25 Draws)
Last meeting: October 29, 2019 (EFL Cup): Man City 3 d Southampton 1 at Etihad Stadium
Final Thoughts: Manchester City and Southampton meet at Etihad Stadium for the second time in five days, following City’s 3-1 League Cup win earlier this week. Sergio Aguero scored a goal in each half.
Manchester City appear to have put a patchy month – highlighted by shock losses to Norwich and Wolves – behind them. The two-time defending champs put away Palace and Aston Villa without conceding a goal in the past two weeks.
Southampton are in the bottom-three, have picked up just a draw from their last five EPL games and are still reeling from a horrific 9-0 loss to Leicester last weekend. The League Cup loss to City was encouraging by comparison.
Man City are on a six-match winning streak against Southampton, outscoring them 18-4 in the process. The Saints’ last away win against the Citizens was in 2004.
Anything but a landslide City win would surprise.
History: Played 122: Sheffield 49 V Burnley 42 (31 Draws)
Last meeting: January 1, 2011 (Championship): Burnley 4 d Sheffield 2 at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: Sheffield United have certainly staked their claim to be the standout promotion team this season. After 10 games they sit eighth, winning three and drawing four games. In their past three the Blades have secured draws away to Watford and West Ham either side of a momentous 1-0 home win over Arsenal.
Thirteenth-placed Burnley are coming off back-to-back losses to Leicester and Chelsea, only getting on the board in the 86th minute in a 4-2 result in the latter.
Scoring goals hasn’t been Sheffield’s strong suit – their tally of nine is bottom-four in the league – but their eight goals conceded is the equal-best in the competition.
Burnley are unbeaten in their last five matches against Sheffield, winning four. But leaning towards the miserly hosts appears the best way to go here.
History: Played 134: Newcastle 55 V West Ham 42 (37 Draws)
Last meeting: July 20, 2019 (EPL Asia Trophy): Newcastle 1 d West Ham 0 at Hong Kou Park
Final Thoughts: West Ham have slipped to 10th courtesy of a four-match winless run, bookending consecutive losses to Palace and Everton with draws against Bournemouth and Sheffield.
Newcastle are a point in front of the bottom-three after a loss to Chelsea (1-0) and a draw with Wolves (1-1) in their past two. The Magpies have not scored more than one goal in a match and have been held scoreless in three of their last five.
Newcastle grabbed a 1-0 win over West Ham in an Asia Trophy clash in Shanghai in July. But Hammers won both Premier League encounters last season to nil.
Newcastle have lost their last three on the road by a combined 9-1, which puts West Ham in the box-seat to get back in the winner’s circle.
History: Played 35: Chelsea 19 V Watford 10 (6 Draws)
Last meeting: AMay 5, 2019 (EPL): Chelsea 3 d Watford 0 at Stamford Bridge
Final Thoughts: Watford remain anchored to the bottom of the ladder with a donut in their win column. But they have managed five draws in their last seven games – including in their last three straight against Sheffield, Tottenham and Bournemouth. Defence hasn’t been too much of a problem (an 8-0 loss to Man City aside), but the Hornets are struggling to find goals, scoring just five in 10 games.
Chelsea exited the League Cup with a 2-1 loss to Man U midweek, but their Premier League form has been solid. They are on a four-match winning streak, including a 4-2 away victory over Burnley last weekend.
Watford have won only one of their last 16 against Chelsea – a 4-1 shock at Vicarage Road in February last year. But the Blues won 2-1 away and 3-0 at home against the Hornets last season.
Chelsea to get the three points and keep a clean sheet is the obvious, and very good value, option here.
EPL History: Played 71: Crystal Palace 27 V Leicester 26 (18 Draws)
Last meeting: February 23, 2019: Leicester 4 d Crystal Palace 1 at King Power Stadium
Final Thoughts: Two of the season’s biggest surprise packets square off in arguably the game of Week 11.
Crystal Palace are sixth with a 4-3-3 record and negotiated a tough schedule over the past fortnight admirably. They went down to Man City by an acceptable 2-0, then recovered from an early two-goal deficit to draw 2-all at Arsenal.
Leicester continue to ride high in third with a 6-2-2 record. Incredibly, they crushed Southampton 9-0 away last weekend with Jamie Vardy and Ayoze Perez both scoring hat-tricks.
Leicester have won their last four matches against Palace, outscoring them by 13 goals to one.
Palace deserve respect for what they’ve achieved so far, but they have only scored 10 goals so far this season – one more than Leicester notched in 90 minutes last weekend. That was far from an isolated attacking spree from the Foxes, who have also conceded a league-low eight goals.
EPL History: Played 177: Tottenham 67 V Everton 55 (55 Draws)
Last meeting: May 12, 2019: 2-2 draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Final Thoughts: Few clubs are sweating on a win harder than Everton and Tottenham.
Everton are 16th, losing five of their last six games. They blew a late 2-1 lead in Week 10 to go down 3-2 at Brighton. Somewhat encouragingly, their attack is improving – they have score four goals in their past two after netting just six in the opening eight weeks.
Tottenham have replaced Man United as the languishing ‘Big Six’ team, slipping to 11th with losses to Brighton and Liverpool either side of a draw with bottom-placed Watford in their past three. Harry Kane scored in the first minute against Liverpool but there was little to cheer about from that point for Spurs fans.
Everton are on a 13-match winless streak against Tottenham. But the Toffees did end a four-match losing streak (in which they conceded three-plus goals in each defeat) with a 2-all result at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the final weekend of last season. Spurs swept to a 6-2 victory at Goodison Park during the first round.
Neither side inspires much confidence, though Tottenham look the better head-to-head option despite being on the road. Playing the totals might be a more profitable option.