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EPL – Matchweek 37 in Review

Matchweek 37 of the 2021/22 EPL season saw a series of huge results that will see the title, top 4 and relegation battle all go down to the wire.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Title race

We’re going down to the final day.

Manchester City would have all but sealed the 2021-22 EPL title with victory at West Ham over the weekend. But the Sky Blues, despite starting $1.40 favourites with Palmerbet, were held 2-2 by an impressive Hammers outfit. Then, on Wednesday morning, Liverpool backed up their FA Cup triumph over the weekend to seal a come-from-behind victory over Southampton to cut City’s lead back to a solitary point.

It means that anything short of victory for Pep Guardiola at home to Aston Villa on the final day of the EPL season will open a window for Liverpool to snatch the title and maintain hopes of a historic quadruple. They start that clash as $1.14 favourites, and are still heavily favoured to be lifting the trophy. But we’ve seen stranger things happen. Liverpool, at home to Wolves, start as $1.18 favourites. Could a club legend help them get it done?

Top 4 battle

Arsenal have not only slipped at the final hurdle, they’ve fallen face first into the ground and allowed their biggest rival to come steaming home in the final metres.

After losing comprehensively to Spurs on Friday, the Gunners were completely outplayed by a resurgent Newcastle at St James Park despite starting $1.84 favourites. It’s left Mikel Arteta’s men in a precarious position. Prior to Friday’s North London derby, Arsenal were one win away from seeing Champions League football return to the Emirates for the first time since 2016-17. Now, their EPL Top 4 hopes are all but quashed. Not only do Arsenal need to beat Everton on the final day of the season — a likely enough prospect — Spurs need to lose to cellar dwellers (and already-relegated) Norwich City to see the Gunners through. Sound unlikely? Palmerbet currently has Arsenal as $15 Top 4 hopes. Spurs are sitting pretty at $1.03.

Relegation scrap

If the title race and Top 4 battle are both relatively straightforward affairs, then the relegation scrap is anything but. Here’s where we stand:

Leeds ($1.28 to be relegated from the EPL): How has it come to this for Leeds? Staring down the barrel of relegation, Jesse Marsch’s men have a number of avenues to safety, but none are simple. The first involves Burnley losing both their final two games (against Aston Villa and Newcastle). In that instance, Leeds don’t even need a point on the final day of the season, where they travel to Brentford. Should Burnley get a single point in those two games, Leeds (currently $2.80 outsiders against the Bees) will need at least a draw, owing to their poor goal difference. Anything more than one point from the Clarets in their final two games would mean nothing short of victory at Brentford would see Leeds stay in the EPL. Their path to safety is a tough one.

Burnley ($2.88): Currently in the relegation mire, Burnley have the advantage of having an extra game in hand compared to Leeds. That game, away to Villa on Friday morning (5am AEST), is a huge opportunity, and one they start as $3.60 outsiders. Lose there and they’ll have to get a result on the final day of the EPL season against Newcastle, and hope Leeds lose to Brentford.

Everton ($8.50): A 3-2 home defeat to Brentford, despite starting $1.92 favourites with Palmerbet, has made life trickier than it should have for the Toffees. A difficult away trip to Arsenal on the final day of the season makes Friday morning’s clash (4:45am AEST) against Crystal Palace a huge encounter. Lose there and they open themselves up to going down. Win, and they’re officially safe. They start that one, at home, as $1.91 favourites.



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