Matchweek 37 of the 2022-23 EPL season saw Manchester City officially crowned champions, while the Top 4 and Relegation picture became clear.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

City celebrate as Arsenal mentally finished

What a difference six weeks makes.

In early April, Arsenal were eight points clear atop the EPL table and $1.65 title favourites with Palmerbet. And while the title was by no means within grasp given the ability of a chasing Manchester City, it look for all money like the 2022-23 champions would be decided close to, or even on, the final day of the EPL season. As it’s turned out, however, City sewed things up with three to play.

Since that time, Mikel Arteta’s men have won just two of their next eight EPL games. The latest defeat, as $1.52 favourites against relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest ($5.50) was damning, and the best indication yet that the young Gunners are mentally shot. The defeat on Sunday morning (AEST) meant City were crowned champions before stepping out on the pitch at home to Chelsea on Monday morning. Celebrating a third-straight EPL title (after starting the season as $1.57 title favourites) City manager Pep Guardiola made nine changes to his side that trounced Real Madrid mid-week. Yet that didn’t faze them, running out 1-0 winners (as $1.22 favourites) against Chelsea.

Reds surrender in Top 4 push

The EPL Top 4 race, like the title challenge, was similarly shaping as a final-day nail-biter. But after the weekend’s events it now appears a mere formality.

Liverpool needed victory over Aston Villa to maintain their push. And starting as $1.45 favourites, it appeared they would make both Manchester United and Newcastle United sweat. But Jurgen Klopp’s men were lacklustre at home, and required a late equaliser from Roberto Firming — in his last game at Anfield — to grab a point, let alone three. At the same time, Manchester United sealed a 1-0 win (as $1.48 favourites) away to Bournemouth, which all but sealed a return to Champions League football. A 0-0 draw at St James’ Park on Tuesday morning (AEST) meanwhile sealed Newcastle’s return to Champions League football. It will be their first appearance in the competition since 2003-04 despite starting the EPL season as $9.50 Top 4 hopes.

Liverpool now need a minor miracle to reach the Champions League ($34 with Palmerbet). They require a win on the final day of the season, and for Manchester United to lose to both Chelsea and Fulham at Old Trafford. It would mean Jurgen Klopp’s men missed out on the Top 4 (which they started the season at $1.06 to qualify for) for the first time since 2015-16.

Relegation battle goes down to wire

While the title race is done, and Top 4 battle likely done before the final day of the season, the relegation battle is only heating up. Heading into the final day, it’s a three-way battle for one spot. Everton are most likely to stay up according to Palmerbet’s relegation market (currently $3.75) and  their two-point buffer means they will — either way — remain an EPL club should both Leicester ($1.14 to go down) and Leeds ($1.03) fail to beat West Ham and Tottenham respectively. The easier route of course is if the Toffees beat Bournemouth at home, which they are $1.45 favourites to do.

The Foxes’ winless run is currently out to five, while for Leeds it’s out to eight. They both need to pull something out of the bag on what will be a tense final day.

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