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Boxing Tips & Preview – Canelo Álvarez V John Ryder

Get your boxing tips for this Sunday’s massive bout between Mexican legend Canelo Alvarev and British bruiser John Ryder.

Boxing Tips – Canelo Álvarez vs. John Ryder

12:20 (AEST), Sun 7th May @ Akron Stadium, Guadalajara, Mexico

Career records: 

  • Alvarev – 58-2 (39 wins by KO/TKO)
  • Ryder – 32-5 (18 wins by KO/TKO)

Last bouts: 

  • Alvarev def Gennady Golovkin – Unanimous decision – Sep 17, 2022
  • Ryder def Zach Parker – Rd 6 RTD – Nov 26, 2022

Final thoughts: ‘The King is coming home’. So says the tagline for this bout between beloved Mexican veteran Canelo Alvarez and hulking mandatory challenger John Ryder.

Alvarez is putting his WBA (Super), WBC, IBF, WBO, and The Ring super middleweight titles on the line. Britain’s Ryder won the WBO interim super middleweight belt in November.

Ryder, 34, is on four-fight winning streak since controversially losing his challenge for the WBA (Super) and The Ring super middleweight titles in late-2019. ‘The Gorilla’ has improved to 32-5 with 18 wins by knockout courtesy of victories over Mike Guy (unanimous decision), Jozef Jurko (Rd 5 TKO), Daniel Jacobs (split decision) and Zach Parker (Rd 5 RTD).

Ryder landed some superb punches in his Wembley showdown with the previously unbeaten Parker in November. Parker pulled out in the fifth round with a bad hand injury, but it was enough to earn a showdown with the legend Alvarez.

Canelo, who boasts an imposing 58-2-2 record with an eye-watering 39 wins by knockout, added to his collection of super middleweight belts with a 2020 unanimous decision over Smith.

He extended his unbeaten run to 16 fights before suffering just the second loss of his career in May last year, going up a weight division and losing a unanimous decision to WBA (Super) light heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol. (Canelo’s only previous loss was to Floyd Mayweather in 2013.)

Returning to super middleweight, Alvarez took out his high-profile trilogy bout with Gennady Golovkin in September. He dominated from go to whoa, his speed and power too good for his fierce rival. Still only 32, Alvarez appears to be at the peak of his career – but he has undergone surgery since that bout.

Fifth in The Ring‘s pound-for-pond rankings across all weight divisions, Canelo likes to pick his spots – as his high knockout ratio attests. Ryder’s only loss by KO/TKO was to Nick Blackwell in 2015, while along with Smith, he has lost to a couple more of Alvarez’s victims, Rocky Fielding and Billy Joe Saunders.

This is the first time Canelo has fought on home soil since 2011 – and a baying Guadalajara crowd presents an intimidating challenge for Ryder.

Alvarez is a long way ahead of his contemporaries in the division, which could lead to complacency against a very good – but not overhyped – challenger. But he will be drawing motivation from the Gervonta Davis-mania sweeping boxing circles, eager to reassert his status as the ‘face’ or pro boxing.

Simply, Canelo is too good to lose in front of his adoring throng. It’s a matter of how he gets the job done. Alvarez is a skinny $1.06 straight up favourite and just $1.27 to stop Ryder. But Ryder is not pretender and is capable of taking the hometown hero the full 12 rounds.

Tip: Method of Victory – Alvarez by Points or Decision @ $5.30


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