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Round 9 Preview

Overview

THE AFL WILL HEAD INTO ROUND 8 THIS WEEKEND, HEADLINED BY THE THURSDAY NIGHT CLASH BETWEEN THE CARLTON BLUES AND MELBOURNE DEMONS.

May 9, 2024 7:30 pm @ MCG

Carlton Blues colors
Carlton Blues$2.00
H2H
Melbourne Demons$1.80
2.5$1.90
Line
-2.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.88
Melbourne Demons colors

Recent Form

79-85 VS MAGPIES
L
118-105 VS CATS
L
117-98 VS GIANTS
W
74-66 VS CATS
W
42-85 VS TIGERS
W
60-82 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Blues – In: Brodie Kemp, Mitch McGovern, Ollie Hollands, Jack Martin / Out: Lewis Young, Zac Williams, Orazio Fantasia, David Cunningham

Demons – In: Jake Bowey / Out: Bailey Laurie

What We Like

After a slow start to the season, the Melbourne Demons have really picked up their game in recent weeks and are coming off a great winning performance against the Geelong Cats.

Match Result Melbourne $1.80

Final Thought

One of the main fixtures of the Melbourne Demons’ success is ruckman Max Gawn. Gawn is undeniably one of the premium rucks of the competition and somehow manages to easily rack up possessions in the midfield and in the forward 50.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Max Gawn $3.70

May 10, 2024 7:10 pm @ GMHBA Stadium

Geelong Cats colors
Geelong Cats$1.29
H2H
Port Adelaide Power$3.60
-23.5$1.90
Line
23.5$1.90
Over 174.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 174.5$1.88
Port Adelaide Power colors

Recent Form

74-66 VS DEMONS
L
118-105 VS BLUES
W
37-63 VS LIONS
W
78-48 VS CROWS
L
82-72 VS SAINTS
W
123-81 VS MAGPIES
L

Team News

Cats – In: Brandan Parfitt, Oisin Mullin, Mark O’Connor / Out: Zach Tuohy, Jack Bowes, Tanner Bruhn

Power – In: Allir Allir, Josh Sinn, Dante Visentini, Francis Evans, Jeremy Finlayson / Out: Lachie Jones, Dylan Williams, Jase Burgoyne, Jordon Sweet, Connor Rozee

What We Like

Currently goalless for the longest period of his career, Tom Hawkins has struggled with form over the past month and will be looking to finally put his name back on the scoreboard this week and help fellow teammate Jeremy Cameron in the forward 50.

To Score 3 or More Goals Tom Hawkins $2.45

Final Thought

After losing their first game of the season last week to the Melbourne Demons, Geelong will be attempting to get back onto the winners’ table this round. However, while the Cats are the easy favourites, Port Adelaide is expected to put up a fight and won’t lose by more than 39 points.

Margin Geelong 1-39 $2.18

May 10, 2024 8:30 pm @ Optus Stadium

Fremantle Dockers colors
Fremantle Dockers$2.15
H2H
Sydney Swans$1.65
6.5$1.90
Line
-6.5$1.90
Over 156.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 156.5$1.88
Sydney Swans colors

Recent Form

VS
L
95-71 VS BULLDOGS
W
105-68 VS EAGLES
L
98-69 VS GIANTS
W
42-118 VS HAWKS
W
110-57 VS SUNS
W

Team News

Dockers – In: Sam Switowski, Patrick Voss / Out: Sean Darcy, Cooper Simpson

Swans – In: Aaron Francis / Out: Tom McCartin

What We Like

One of the main reasons for the Swans’ success is ruck Brodie Grundy. Grundy is coming off his arguably best performance in the Bloods gurnsey and will be looking to help out his fellow teammates by gathering up the possessions in the midfield along with helping with the hit-outs.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Brodie Grundy $4.60

Final Thought

Now on top of the AFL table after a dominant showing against the GWS Giants, the Swans are paying a great price this week against the Dockers despite being favourites and the favourites to emerge victorious.

Match Result Sydney $1.65

May 11, 2024 1:45 pm @ University of Tasmania Stadium

Hawthorn Hawks colors
Hawthorn Hawks$2.40
H2H
St Kilda Saints$1.57
9.5$1.90
Line
-9.5$1.90
Over 159.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 159.5$1.88
St Kilda Saints colors

Recent Form

91-98 VS BULLDOGS
W
42-118 VS SWANS
L
68-113 VS KANGAROOS
W
103-65 VS KANGAROOS
W
82-72 VS POWER
L
64-124 VS BULLDOGS
L

Team News

Hawks – In: Luke Breust, Seamus Mitchell, Jai Serong / Out: James Sicily, Josh Ward, Harry Morrison

Saints – In: Liam Henry, Ben Paton / Out: Mattaes Phillipou, Ryan Byrnes

What We Like

A great victory over the Western Bulldogs last week, has rekindled the form of Sam Mitchell’s men. Although considered outsiders, they are in much better form than their opposition.

Match Result Hawthorn $2.46

Final Thought

While the Hawks will be looking to pull off another upset, this time against the Saints, they are likely to leave it late to the last quarter.

Quarter By Quarter Leader St Kilda / St Kilda / St Kilda / Hawthorn $23.00

May 11, 2024 4:35 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Essendon Bombers colors
Essendon Bombers$2.30
H2H
GWS Giants$1.62
7.5$1.90
Line
-7.5$1.90
Over 178.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 178.5$1.88
GWS Giants colors

Recent Form

71-77 VS EAGLES
W
85-85 VS MAGPIES
L
75-78 VS CROWS
W
98-69 VS SWANS
L
113-59 VS LIONS
W
117-98 VS BLUES
L

Team News

Bombers – In: Nick Hind / Out: Xavier Duursma

Giants – In: Nick Haynes, Stephen Coniglio, Connor Stone / Out: Jacob Wehr, Callum Brown, James Peatling

What We Like

The club’s inaugural captain, veteran midfielder Callan Ward will play his 300th AFL game this weekend – 60 for the Bulldogs and 239 for the Giants. In his milestone game, Ward will be eager to produce a great effort as he celebrates with his teammates.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Callan Ward $3.25

Final Thought

Despite a disappointing defeat to inner-state rivals Sydney Swans last weekend in the Sydney Derby, the Giants will be looking for vengeance and take it to the Bombers.

Match Result Greater Western Sydney $1.62

May 11, 2024 7:30 pm @ MCG

Richmond Tigers colors
Richmond Tigers$3.20
H2H
Western Bulldogs$1.35
19.5$1.90
Line
-19.5$1.90
Over 167.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.88
Western Bulldogs colors

Recent Form

49-103 VS DOCKERS
L
42-85 VS DEMONS
L
109-70 VS EAGLES
L
91-98 VS HAWKS
L
95-71 VS DOCKERS
L
64-124 VS SAINTS
W

Team News

Tigers – In: Noah Balta, Dion Prestia, Jack Graham, Noah Cumberland / Out: Dylan Grimes, Kamdyn McIntosh, Sam Naismith, Liam Baker

Bulldogs – In: Alex Keath, Joel Freijah, Rhylee West, Luke Cleary / Out: Buku Khamis, Tom Liberatore, Oskar Baker, Charlie Clarke

What We Like

The two teams have unfortunately struggled in recent weeks and the winner is a flip of the coin depending on if both teams decide to show up and play their best football. While the Bulldogs are considered favourites, the Richmond Tigers could produce an upset on Saturday.

Match Result Richmond $3.20

Final Thought

Since entering the team, the 26-year-old has scored nine goals in six appearances. One of their go-to players in the forward 50, Lefau is averaging 1.5 goals per game and an accuracy of 69.2

To Score 2 or More Goals Mykelti Lefau $1.93

May 11, 2024 7:30 pm @ TIO Stadium

Gold Coast Suns colors
Gold Coast Suns$1.08
H2H
North Melbourne Kangaroos$8.00
-43.5$1.90
Line
43.5$1.90
Over 169.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 169.5$1.88
North Melbourne Kangaroos colors

Recent Form

79-45 VS LIONS
L
112-75 VS EAGLES
W
110-57 VS SWANS
L
103-55 VS SAINTS
L
81-138 VS CROWS
L
68-113 VS HAWKS
L

Team News

Suns – In: Bodhi Uwland, Alex Sexton, Lloyd Johnston, Alex Davies, Joel Jeffrey, Bailey Humphrey / Out: Will Powell, Brayden Fiorini, David Swallow, Rory Atkins, Ethan Read, Will Graham

Kangaroos – In: Will Phillips, Charlie Lazzaro, Hugh Greenwood / Out: Jy Simpkin, Toby Pink, Zane Duursma

What We Like

While the Gold Coast Suns are all but certain to walk away with the four points, the North Melbourne Kangaroos will attempt to push them in the opening quarter and the Suns have recently struggled in front of goal.

1st Scoring Play Gold Coast Behind $3.20

Final Thought

The Gold Coast Suns will be attempting to improve on last week’s loss to the Brisbane Lions and have been able to cover the line in several recent matches.

Line (43.5) Gold Coast -43.5 $1.90

May 12, 2024 1:00 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Collingwood Magpies colors
Collingwood Magpies$1.10
H2H
West Coast Eagles$7.00
-39.5$1.90
Line
39.5$1.90
Over 171.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 171.5$1.88
West Coast Eagles colors

Recent Form

79-85 VS BLUES
W
85-85 VS BOMBERS
L
123-91 VS POWER
W
71-77 VS BOMBERS
L
112-75 VS SUNS
L
105-68 VS DOCKERS
W

Team News

Magpies – In: Reef McInnes, Finlay Macrae, Jack Bytel, Joe Richards / Out: Lachie Schultz, Brody Mihocek, Beau McCreery, Jamie Elliott

Eagles – In: Tyrell Dewar, Jayden Hunt, Ryan Maric / Out: Elliot Yeo, Jake Waterman, Noah Long

What We Like

The West Coast Eagles have an unfortunate habit of playing well over the opening three quarters before struggling in the final 20 minutes. With the same expected this round, the Magpies should have an easy final 20 minutes and will be looking to accumulate as many goals as possible.

Margin - Last Quarter Only Collingwood 33+ $9.75

Final Thought

The Collingwood Magpies showed last week that they are back to their best after a good defeat over the Carlton Blues. Hitting their form from last season, the reigning premiers can be expected to walk away with a comfortable victory this week.

Margin Collingwood 40+ $1.82

May 12, 2024 4:00 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Adelaide Crows colors
Adelaide Crows$1.65
H2H
Brisbane Lions$2.18
-6.5$1.90
Line
6.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.88
Brisbane Lions colors

Recent Form

78-48 VS POWER
W
81-138 VS KANGAROOS
W
75-78 VS BOMBERS
L
79-45 VS SUNS
W
13-59 VS GIANTS
L
37-63 VS CATS
L

Team News

Crows – No Changes Made

Lions – In: Callum Ah Chee, Jaxon Prior, Shadeau Brain / Out: Darcy Gardiner, Lincoln McCarthy, Noah Answerth

What We Like

In what will be an entertaining clash between two evenly matched teams, the Adelaide Crows are the favourite and rightly so due to the home crowd advantage and winning their past two of three matches.

Final Thought

Recently resurrecting his career, Dayne Zorko has been in terrific form for the Brisbane Lions and has been playing all over the field – mainly in the midfield and backline.

Anytime Goal Scorer Dayne Zorko $2.05
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