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Round 22 Preview

Overview

ROUND 22 IS READY TO GO AND THE FINALS RACE IS STILL WIDE OPEN! WE BREAK DOWN EVERY GAME AS SEPTEMBER GET'S CLOSER AND CLOSER

August 11, 2023 7:50 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Magpies colors
Magpies$1.80
H2H
Cats$2.00
-2.5$1.90
Line
2.5$1.90
Over 165.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 165.5$1.90
Cats colors

Recent Form

105-73 VS HAWKS
L
93-67 VS BLUES
L
77-89 VS BULLDOGS
W
97-85 VS POWER
W
71-64 VS DOCKERS
L
64-53 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Magpies (Likey In: Billy Frampton, Will Hoksin-Elliott, Mason Cox Out: Nick Daicos, Nathan Murphy)

Cats (Likely In: Tom Hawkins, Jed Bews Out: Jack Henry)

What We Like

The omission of Nick Daicos means that someone from the Magpies will have to stand up. Enter his brother Josh Daicos. Daicos should be able to fill his brother’s shoes and claim at least 25 touches on Friday.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Josh Daicos $1.70

Final Thought

In what is set to be a Friday night blockbuster, a win for the Cats would see them enter the top eight as the finals get closer and closer. The Cats have also won the past 16 of 18 against teams that were ranked higher than them on the AFL ladder.

Match Result Geelong $2.00

August 12, 2023 1:45 pm @ Marvel Stadium

KANGAROOS colors
KANGAROOS$3.60
H2H
Bombers$1.28
24.5$1.90
Line
-24.5$1.90
Over 171.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 171.5$1.88
Bombers colors

Recent Form

71-103 VS DEMONS
L
72-67 VS EAGLES
L
69-61 VS SAINTS
L
73-72 VS EAGLES
W
99-101 VS SWANS
L
49-90 VS BULLDOGS
L

Team News

Kangaroos (Likey In: George Wardlaw, Tom Powell, Callum Coleman-Jones Out: Liam Shiels, Cooper Harvey)

Bombers (No likely changes)

What We Like

At the start of every game, the Bombers have relied on forward Kyle Langford. Langford has managed to be the first goalscorer in four of the last seven games he has played against lower-ranked sides.

Early 1st Goal Scorer Kyle Langford $7.50

Final Thought

While the Kangaroos may not be winning games at the moment, including a loss to the West Coast Eagles, Jy Simpkin has been a standout performer for the club and has been able to claim at least one goal in his past three home appearances at Marvel Stadium.

Anytime Goalscorer Jy Simpkin $2.55

August 12, 2023 1:45 pm @ Sydney Cricket Ground

Swans colors
Swans$1.35
H2H
Suns$3.20
-19.5$1.90
Line
19.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.88
Suns colors

Recent Form

85-96 VS GIANTS
W
99-101 VS BOMBERS
W
76-105 VS DOCKERS
W
89-61 VS CROWS
L
96-55 VS LIONS
W
103-63 VS GIANTS
L

Team News

Swans (Likely In; Matt Roberts, Corey Warner Out: Braeden Campbell)

Suns (Likey In: Jy Farrar, Charlie Constable Out: Will Powell)

What We Like

When the two clubs face off against one another the matches have gone under the total score line in their previous four games.

Total Score (166.5) Under 166.5 $1.88

Final Thought

Errol Gulden has been one of the best performers, not just for the Swans but has been one of the best wing players in the AFL. Gulden has been racking up the disposals and is set to continue his great form this weekend.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Errol Gulden $2.35

August 12, 2023 4:35 pm @ The Gabba

Brisbane Lions colors
Brisbane Lions$1.32
H2H
Adelaide Crows$3.20
-21.5$1.90
Line
21.5$1.90
Over 177.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 177.5$1.90
Adelaide Crows colors

Recent Form

74-77 VS DOCKERS
W
96-55 VS SUNS
L
64-53 VS CATS
W
89-61 VS SUNS
W
112-65 VS POWER
W
97-93 VS DEMONS
L

Team News

Lions (Likely In: Keidean Coleman, Oscar McInerney Out: No forced changes)

Crows (Likely In: Luke Pedlar, Izak Rankine Out: Chayce Jones)

What We Like

Brisbane Lions’ forward Joe Daniher has kicked at least two goals in his past six appearances against Adelaide. Going head-to-head against Taylor Walker, he will be looking to score more than his fierce rival.

To Score 3 or More Goals Joe Daniher $2.35

Final Thought

The Lions go into the match as heavy favourites having won their last ten games at The Gabba. However, expect the Crows to give them a run for their money and keep the game relatively close for the majority of the match.

Margin Brisbane 1-39 $2.20

August 12, 2023 7:30 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Blues colors
Blues$2.20
H2H
Demons$1.65
7.5$1.90
Line
-7.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.90
Demons colors

Recent Form

54-73 VS SAINTS
L
76-93 VS MAGPIES
W
140-69 VS EAGLES
W
71-103 VS KANGAROOS
W
98-130 VS TIGERS
W
97-93 VS CROWS
W

Team News

Blues (Likely In: Jordan Boyd Out: No forced changes)

Demons (In: Clayton Oliver, Adam Tomlinson, Brodie Grundy Out: Harrison Petty

What We Like

While not expected, the Demons’ last two games competing in the evening have seen forward Alex Neal-Bullen score the first goal in each of those games. This will be a unique bet to place but is probable to pay off.

Early 1st Goal Scorer Alex Neal-Bullen $19.00

Final Thought

The Melbourne Demons may be one of the most in-form teams in the competition and this has been proven by them scoring multiple goals against their opposition in high-scoring matches. The same could be said for the Carlton Blues.

Total Score (166.5) Over 166.5 $1.90

August 12, 2023 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium

Eagles colors
Eagles$4.20
H2H
Dockers$1.23
27.5$1.90
Line
-27.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.88
Dockers colors

Recent Form

73-72 VS BOMBERS
L
72-67 VS KANGAROOS
W
140-69 VS BLUES
L
74-77 VS LIONS
L
64-71 VS CATS
W
76-105 VS SWANS
L

Team News

Eagles (Likely In: Jamaine Jones, Rhett Bazzo Out: Bailey Williams, Shannon Hurn, Luke Shuey)

Dockers (Likely In: Matt Taberner, Will Brodie Out: Ethan Hughes)

What We Like

After only their second win of the season against the Kangaroos two weeks ago, the Eagles backed up their performance against the Carlton Blues last week. Playing at home in the rivalry showdown against the Dockers, an upset could be well and truly on the cards.

Match Result West Coast $4.75

Final Thought

While the West Coast Eagles may have struggled at the start to middle of the season, losing by a margin of more than 40 points, they have turned their season around and been relatively good in recent weeks, keeping the margin under 40 points.

Margin Fremantle 1-39 $2.20

August 13, 2023 1:10 pm @ University of Tasmania Stadium

Hawks colors
Hawks$2.61
H2H
Bulldogs$1.50
13.5$1.90
Line
-13.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.90
Bulldogs colors

Recent Form

105-73 VS MAGPIES
W
93-122 VS SAINTS
L
96-95 VS TIGERS
W
126-71 VS TIGERS
W
73-78 VS GIANTS
L
49-90 VS BOMBERS
W

Team News

Hawks (Likely In: Karl Amon, Sam Frost, Tyler Brockman Out: No forced changes)

Bulldogs (Likely In: Alex Keath, Ryan Gardner Out: Anthony Scott)

What We Like

Coming off a massive upset against Hawthorn, the Hawks will be eager to replicate that with another victory- this time against the Western Bulldogs.

Match Result Hawthorn $2.62

Final Thought

A big part of the Hawks’ win against the Magpies was captain James Sicily. Working at the back of the park, Sicily showed his dominance with his interception marks as the Pies tried to enter the forward 50.

To Get 35 or More Disposals James Sicily $335

August 13, 2023 3:20 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Saints colors
Saints$1.82
H2H
Tigers$1.95
-2.5$1.90
Line
2.5$1.90
Over 164.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 164.5$1.88
Tigers colors

Recent Form

54-73 VS BLUES
L
122-93 VS HAWKS
W
69-61 VS KANGAROOS
W
126-71 VS BULLDOGS
L
98-130 VS DEMONS
L
96-95 VS HAWKS
W

Team News

Saints (Likely In: Tim Membrey Out: No forced changes)

Tigers (Likely In: Dustin Martin, Trent Cotchin, Dylan Grimes Out: Jacob Hopper, Daniel Rioli)

What We Like

The retirement of Tigers’ midfielder Trent Cotchin will hopefully allow the team to be reignited on the weekend and deliver a win over the Saints- a club that needs to win to stay in the top eight and in finals contention.

Match Result Richmond $1.95

Final Thought

In a surprising statistic, the Richmond Tigers tend to finish the end of each quarter strongly but fail to convert their chances into a goal (or six points).

Last Scoring Play- 1st Quarter Richmond Behind $3.75

August 13, 2023 4:40 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Power colors
Power$1.40
H2H
Giants$2.90
-15.5$1.90
Line
15.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.88
Giants colors

Recent Form

97-85 VS CATS
L
112-65 VS CROWS
L
83-85 VS MAGPIES
L
85-96 VS SWANS
L
73-78 VS BULLDOGS
W
103-63 VS SUNS
W

Team News

Power (Likely In: Allir Allir, Lachie Jones Out: Trent McKenzie)

Giants (Likely In: Aaron Cadman, Conor Stone, Josh Fahey Out: Toby Bedford, Brent Daniels, Finn Callaghan)

What We Like

In seven of the last eight matches the Power have played – bar the game against the Collingwood Magpies – Xavier Duursma has managed to at least get one goal in his past seven of eight matches.

Anytime Goalscorer Xavier Duursma $2.45

Final Thought

The Power has struggled as of late and is on a three-game losing streak after the loss to Geelong last weekend. Despite the Giants losing to their rivals, the Swans, last week, they are likely to produce a stunning victory as underdogs.

Match Result Greater Western Sydney $2.80
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