Round 20 Preview

Overview

It's Round 20 in the AFL and it starts with a blockbuster! Collingwood v Carlton. Packed G. Both teams on fire. not much more you could ask for.. Luckily we have another 8 games and breakdown all of them

July 28, 2023 7:50 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Collingwood  colors
Collingwood $1.36
H2H
Carlton $3.16
-16.5$1.90
Line
16.5$1.90
Under 158.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 158.5$1.88
Carlton  colors

Recent Form

83-85 VS Port Adelaide
W
113-67 VS Fremantle
W
77-89 VS Western Bulldogs
W
140-69 VS West Coast
W
122-72 VS Port Adelaide
W
45-98 VS Fremantle
W

Team News

The Magpies are at full strength and didn’t incur any injuries meaning a shake-up to the team is highly unlikely.

The Blues will lose Sam Walsh (hamstring), Adam Cerra (hamstring), Patrick Cripps (cork),  Jack Silvagni (knee) and Marc Pittonet (knee). There are also no certainties to return but options include the likes of Zac Fisher,  Josh Honey and Caleb Marchbank.

What We Like

Collingwood has won their last eight of nine matches against the Blues between 1-39 points and are at $2.03 to do the same. However, they should also be looked at to defeat their rivals by more than 40 points as they cement themselves on top of the AFL ladder.

Big Win Little Win Collingwood 40+ $4.00

Final Thought

With reports emerging on Thursday that Nick Daicos is set to sign a large extension until the end of 2029, the youngster is looking to be on full showcase on Friday night as he looks to continue the Magpies’ stellar run.

To Get 35 or More Disposals Nick Daicos $3.15

July 29, 2023 1:45 pm @ GMHBA Stadium

Geelong  colors
Geelong $1.08
H2H
Fremantle $-42.5
42.5$1.90
Line
1.90$
Over 169.5$1.88
Total Score
1.88$1.88
Fremantle  colors

Recent Form

64-53 VS Brisbane
L
122-45 VS Essendon
W
125-63 VS North Melbourne
W
76-105 VS Sydney
L
113-67 VS Geelong
L
45-98 VS Carlton
L

Team News

Geelong is not forced into any changes, but Gary Rohan could become available after being a late withdrawal last weekend.

Three Dockers players are pushing to return, with James Aish (quad), Nathan O’Driscoll (calf) and Bailey Banfield (knee) all having a chance to return.

What We Like

After losing last week to the Lions, the Cats will be eyeing redemptions and put in a massive performance. Expect them to win by no less than 40, having won 12 of their past 13 at home and could even win by as much as 50-60 points.

As the game is set to be high-scoring in favour of Geelong, the total points should go over 169.5 at $1.88.

Big Win Little Win Geelong 40+ $1.65

Final Thought

Although the Cats are at their best at home, Dockers medium forward Michael Walters surprisingly plays great footy at the GMHBA Stadium venue. Walters has had at least 15 touches in four of his last five at the stadium.

To Get 15 or More Disposlas Michael Walters $4.75

July 29, 2023 1:45 pm @ Mars Stadium

Western Bulldogs colors
Western Bulldogs$1.57
H2H
GWS $2.41
-9.5$1.90
Line
9.5$1.90
Under 154.4$1.88
Total Score
Over 154.5$1.88
GWS  colors

Recent Form

49-90 VS Essendon
W
78-76 VS Sydney
L
77-89 VS Collingwood
L
103-63 VS Gold Coast
W
57-71 VS Adelaide
W
85-72 VS Hawthorn
W

Team News

Jason Johannisen is a chance to return this week, and so is James O’Donnell for the Bulldogs.

The Giants likely wouldn’t want to change too much but Lachie Keefe (hamstring) is a chance to return.

What We Like

While the Bulldogs may have won their last five against the Giants, they have fallen into a bit of a slump as of late, while the Giants are on a winning streak.

Another way to go is through ‘Mr. Consistent’ Jack Macrae. The Bulldogs midfielder regularly gets at least 25+ disposals and has done so in his last ten at Mars Stadium. Macrae is at $1.94 to do the same.

Match Result GWS Giants $2.54

Final Thought

Has there been anyone in as good form as Toby Greene of late? Greene’s performances have seen him lead the team to a hot streak of victories. He could easily be seen as an All-Australian. Recording 20+ disposals in four of his last five against the Bulldogs, there is no doubt he can do it again with ease.

To Get 20 or More Disposals Toby Greene $2.80

July 29, 2023 4:35 pm @ Heritage Bank Stadium

Gold Coast  colors
Gold Coast $3.57
H2H
Brisbane $1.30
21.5$1.90
Line
-21.5$1.90
Under 164.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 164.5$1.88
Brisbane  colors

Recent Form

103-63 VS GWS
L
77-51 VS St Kilda
W
106-73 VS Port Adelaide
L
64-53 VS Geelong
W
105-104 VS Melbourne
L
116-35 VS West Coast
W

Team News

Gold Coast Suns are highly unlikely to make changes, but multiple players are pressing their claims to be included in the squad. Malcolm Rosas Jnr and Jeremy Sharp headline the list.

Unfortunately, the Lions will lose Will Ashcroft (knee), and he will miss the rest of the season. Zac Bailey (calf) is a chance to return and Deven Robertson and Jarryd Lyons are likely players to replace Ashcroft.

What We Like

After being out for several weeks due to injury, Touk Miller is set to reclaim his position as the best Suns midfielder- having been overtaken by the likes of Sam Flanders and Noah Anderson.

While unlikely to occur, anything is bound to happen when the derby between Brisbane and Gold Coast is on. That is why, despite being heavy underdogs, the Gold Coast should not be counted out to win at $3.48.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Touk Miller $4.20

Final Thought

The Lions have not only won each of its last nine games against the Suns but are coming off a great performance against Geelong, which has solidified them as a premiership favourite. A big win from Brisbane is easy to accomplish in the annual derby.

Big Win Little Win Brisbane 40+ $3.20

July 29, 2023 7:25 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Essendon  colors
Essendon $2.00
H2H
Sydney $1.85
1.5$1.90
Line
-1.5$1.90
Under 172.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 172.5$1.88
Sydney  colors

Recent Form

49-90 VS Western Bulldogs
L
122-45 VS Geelong
L
115-97 VS Adelaide
W
76-105 VS Fremantle
W
78-76 VS Western Bulldogs
W
88-75 VS Richmond
L

Team News

The Bombers are forced into one change this week, with Jordan Ridley (quad) set to miss the game. Kaine Baldwin is shaping up as the defender’s replacement.

The Swans may well take an unchanged side into the game. Duo Callum Mills and Lance Franklin are reportedly sore but are both expected to take the field.

What We Like

The Swans have unfortunately failed to cover the line in its last eight matches at Marvel Stadium. After recent dominant performance a win by Sydney between 1-39 points is also a good shout at $2.35.

Line (-3.5) Essendon 3.5 $1.90

Final Thought

After reports emerged this week that he will play on next season, Lance Franklin will be hoping to put all of his doubters to rest this weekend. A future Hall of Famer, Franklin has also managed to kick 5+ goals in four of his last five against the Bombers when facing them at Marvel Stadium.

To Score 5 or More Goals Lance Franklin $23.00

July 29, 2023 7:40 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Adelaide  colors
Adelaide $2.93
H2H
Port Adelaide $1.41
17.5$1.90
Line
-17.5$1.90
Under 173.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 173.5$1.88
Port Adelaide  colors

Recent Form

97-93 VS Melbourne
L
57-71 VS GWS
L
115-97 VS Essendon
L
83-85 VS Collingwood
L
122-72 VS Carlton
L
106-73 VS Gold Coast
W

Team News

Rory Laird (shoulder) is pushing for a return as the Crows face two forced changes in Nick Murray (knee) and Izak Rankine (hamstring).

The Power will welcome back Darcy Byrne-Jones (concussion) from protocols while Willie Rioli (suspension) will be unavailable. Captain Tom Jones should be considered for a recall.

What We Like

The South Australian showdown will see the best of the best perform at the highest level, as it always brings out the best in the players. Due to this fact, expect former Brownlow winner Ollie Wines to have a field day in the midfield or Connor Rozee at $2.45 to get 30+ disposals, as he contends for this year’s Brownlow.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Ollie Wines $2.55

Final Thought

After losing their last two games after their longest winning streak in club history, expect the Power to redeem their poor performances with an easy win against the inner-state rivals.

Big Win Little Win Port Adelaide 1-39 $2.25

July 30, 2023 1:10 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Hawthorn  colors
Hawthorn $2.10
H2H
St Kilda $1.75
4.5$1.90
Line
-4.5$1.90
Under 160.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 160.5$1.88
St Kilda  colors

Recent Form

96-95 VS Richmond
L
40-88 VS North Melbourne
L
85-72 VS GWS
L
69-61 VS North Melbourne
W
77-51 VS Gold Coast
L
58-79 VS Melbourne
L

Team News

Ruck Lloyd Meek is set to return as a direct replacement for Ned Reeves (suspension) who was charged with a dangerous tackle. If he exits concussion protocols, Max Ramsden may also become available.

Tim Membrey and Jack Hayes are both on track to be available for selection, while Anthony Caminiti suffered a minor hamstring strain. Bradley Hill is ruled out.

What We Like

While he isn’t a familiar name across the league, Hawk Finn Maginness has been in stellar form as of late after recording 15 or more touches in there of his past four when playing at Marvel Stadium.

Another market to focus on is for Saints midfielder Brad Crouch to kick at least a single goal- a fact he has done in his past two against the Hawthorn Hawks at $4.25.

To Get 15 or More Disposals Finn Maginness $3.45

Final Thought

Apart from a win against the Kangaroos, the Saints have struggled with inconsistency as of late, which has opened up the door for a surprising Hawks victory.

Big Win Little Win Hawthorn 1-39 $2.50

July 30, 2023 3:20 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Richmond  colors
Richmond $2.62
H2H
Melbourne $1.50
12.5$1.90
Line
-12.5$1.90
Under 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 166.5$1.88
Melbourne  colors

Recent Form

96-95 VS Hawthorn
W
60-98 VS West Coast
L
88-75 VS Sydney
W
97-93 VS Adelaide
W
105-104 VS Brisbane
W
58-79 VS St Kilda
W

Team News

Richmond has some tough calls to make with Jayden Short and Jacob Bauer, with both set to be available after hamstring injuries.

Brodie Grundy was a strong presence in the VFL, but it remains unclear whether he will play on the weekend or not. Harrison Petty (ribs) and Michael Hibberd (kidney) are also an option to return.

What We Like

As the game is set to be mainly controlled in the midfield, expect multiple players to load up on the disposal count. Tim Taranto is a steal at $2.07 to record 30+ touches, and so is Christian Petracca, who has had 26+ disposals in his last 11 at the MCG.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Christian Petracca $2.75

Final Thought

The Demons have found their best form beating the Crows and Lions in consecutive close games. Finding peak form at the right time expect another victory but not as comfortable as they would like.

Big Win Little Win Melbourne 1-39 $2.18

July 30, 2023 4:40 pm @ Optus Stadium

West Coast  colors
West Coast $2.05
H2H
North Melbourne $1.80
3.5$1.90
Line
-3.5$1.90
Under 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 168.5$1.88
North Melbourne  colors

Recent Form

140-69 VS Carlton
L
60-98 VS Richmond
L
116-35 VS Brisbane
L
69-61 VS St Kilda
L
40-88 VS Hawthorn
L
125-63 VS Geelong
L

Team News

The Eagles are set to recall senior players Tom Barrass and Jeremy McGovern, while Elliot Yeo is also in the mix for a return. Luke Shuey is a big loss for the club.

The Kangaroos expect co-captain Jy Simpkin to return from his second concussion of the year. However, Liam Shiels (calf) will miss the game, forcing them into at least one change.

What We Like

While the Kangaroos haven’t been in the best form, the ball always seems to go in the hands of Darcy Tucker from the opening bounce. He has scored the first goal in two of his past three games.

Staying with Tucker, he has kicked at least one against the bottom team on the ladder in his past four games and is at $2.30

Early 1st Goal Scorer Darcy Tucker $34.00

Final Thought

In a showdown between the two bottom teams, the Eagles may finally record their second win of the season. Playing at home and recalling a lot of their veterans means they are set to pull off a great game.

Match Result West Coast Eagles $2.15