Round 18 Preview

Overview

THE AFL WILL ENTER ROUND 18, HEADLINED BY THE FRIDAY NIGHT CLASH BETWEEN THE COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES AND THE GEELONG CATS.

July 12, 2024 7:40 pm @ MCG

Magpies colors
Magpies$2.10
H2H
Cats$1.74
4.5$1.90
Line
-4.5$1.90
Over 169.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 169.5$1.88
Cats colors

Recent Form

80-92 VS BOMBERS
L
101-90 VS SUNS
L
118-119 VS KANGAROOS
W
110-59 VS HAWKS
W
105-60 VS BOMBERS
W
138-75 VS BLUES
L

Team News

Magpies – In: John Noble, Jaimie Elliott, Reef McInnes / Out: Charlie Dean, Jeremy Howe, Brody Mihocek

Cats – No Changes

What We Like

While the match could go either way with no real favourite sticking out, the scoreline can be expected to fall under the market of 169.5 with a great match and close-scoring game expected.

Total Score (169.5) Under 169.5 $1.88

Final Thought

The Collingwood Magpies are surprising outsiders for this weekend’s clash but they will be looking to get back to their winning ways, while the Cats have seemed to struggle against good opposition this season.

Match Result Collingwood $2.10

July 13, 2024 1:45 pm @ University of Tasmania Stadium

Hawks colors
Hawks$2.06
H2H
Dockers$1.76
3.5$1.90
Line
-3.5$1.90
Over 159.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 159.5$1.88
Dockers colors

Recent Form

110-59 VS CATS
L
33-94 VS EAGLES
W
49-97 VS TIGERS
W
105-54 VS TIGERS
W
98-99 VS SWANS
W
85-65 VS SUNS
W

Team News

Hawks – In: James Sicily, Josh Ward, Calsher Dear / Out: Mitch Lewis, Jack Gunston, Seamus Mitchell

Dockers – In: Patrick Voss / Out: Sean Darcy

What We Like

The Dockers have been on an amazing run recently and have cemented their position in the top-four on the AFL table.

Match Result Fremantle $1.76

Final Thought

The Dockers are set to exit the match as winners but the Hawks can be expected to give them a good run for their money and will keep the margin low throughout the clash.

Margin Fremantle 1-39 $2.20

July 13, 2024 1:45 pm @ SCG

Swans colors
Swans$1.06
H2H
Kangaroos$8.50
-48.5$1.90
Line
48.5$1.90
Over 174.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 174.5$1.88
Kangaroos colors

Recent Form

84-82 VS SAINTS
L
98-99 VS DOCKERS
L
75-102 VS GIANTS
W
87-83 VS SUNS
W
60-77 VS BULLDOGS
L
70-67 VS DEMONS
L

Team News

Swans – In: Callum Mills / Out: Isaac Heeney

Kangaroos – In: George Wardlaw / Out: Will Phillips

What We Like

One of the favourites for the Brownlow Medal, Errol Gulden has struggled to rack up the disposals in the past two matches and it is likely it won’t continue for a third straight week.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Errol Gulden $2.12

Final Thought

While the Kangaroos earned their second win of the season last week against the Suns, the Swans have had a horror run of poor form. However, the Swans are destined for a massive victory and should walk away with a large win.

Margin Sydney 40+ $1.63

July 13, 2024 4:35 pm @ Marvel Stadium

Bulldogs colors
Bulldogs$1.72
H2H
Blues$1.46
13.5$1.90
Line
-13.5$1.90
Over 175.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 175.5$1.88
Blues colors

Recent Form

102-54 VS POWER
L
60-77 VS KANGAROOS
W
149-82 VS DOCKERS
W
116-104 VS GIANTS
L
70-131 VS TIGERS
W
138-75 VS CATS
W

Team News

Bulldogs – In: Cody Weightman, Caleb Poulter / Out: James O’Donnell, Aaron Naughton

Blues – In: Caleb Marchbank, Marc Pittonet / Out: Mitch McGovern, Orazio Fantasia

What We Like

Despite losing to the GWS Giants last weekend, the Blues have been more consistent than the Bulldogs this season and will likely get back to their winning ways.

 

Match Result Carlton $1.45

Final Thought

The Carlton Blues have managed to get off to fast starts in the first quarter throughout the season and will be looking to take full control of the game this weekend.

First Team to 3 Goals Carlton $1.65

July 13, 2024 7:30 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Crows colors
Crows$1.47
H2H
Saints$2.70
-13.6$1.90
Line
13.5$1.90
Over 158.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 158.5$1.88
Saints colors

Recent Form

97-86 VS LIONS
L
94-78 VS GIANTS
W
67-109 VS SWANS
L
84-82 VS SWANS
W
60-62 VS POWER
L
126-106 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Crows – In: Riley Thilthorpe, Hugh Bond / Out: Mitchell hinge, Izak Rankine

Saints – In: Riley Bonner, Zak Jones / Out: Bradley Hill, Marcus Windhager

What We Like

St Kilda, the underdogs heading into the match, are favourites to cover the line but both teams have an equal amount of chance of covering the total line market.

Line (13.5) St Kilda 13.5 $1.90

Final Thought

While Adelaide is the favourite to win the match-up on the weekend, the score-line is likely to fall over the total points market line given their recent performances.

Total Score (158.5) Over 158.5 $1.88

July 13, 2024 7:30 pm @ MCG

Demons colors
Demons$2.46
H2H
Bombers$1.55
10.5$1.90
Line
-10.5$1.90
Over 165.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 165.5$1.88
Bombers colors

Recent Form

112-58 VS EAGLES
W
86-81 VS LIONS
L
70-67 VS KANGAROOS
W
80-92 VS MAGPIES
W
105-60 VS CATS
L
122-92 VS EAGLES
W

Team News

Demons – In: Harrison Petty / Out: Max Gawn

Bombers – In: Dyson Heppell / Out: Jayden Laverde

What We Like

The Demons could’ve easily walked away with the win this round, but they have been dealt a major injury blow to ruckman Max Gawn. Gawn’s injury is just the latest thing that will haunt them from the win this week.

Match Result Essendon $1.54

Final Thought

Bombers midfielder Zach Merrett continues to fire and has been one of the reasons to the club’s success over the past few weeks.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Zach Merrett $1.86

July 14, 2024 1:10 pm @ People First Stadium

Suns colors
Suns$1.70
H2H
Power$2.10
-6.5$1.90
Line
6.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.88
Power colors

Recent Form

87-83 VS KANGAROOS
L
101-90 VS MAGPIES
W
85-65 VS DOCKERS
L
102-54 VS BULLDOGS
W
60-62 VS SAINTS
W
73-152 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Suns – In: Malcolm Rosas, Alex Davies, Jed Walter, Connor Budarick, Lloyd Johnston / Out: Touk Miller, Sam Day

Power – In: Charlie Dixon, Jed McEntee, Dante Visentini, Will Lorenz / Out: Mitch Georgiades

What We Like

The Gold Coast Suns return home this weekend where they hold an impeccable home-and-away record this season and have yet to lose there this season.

Match Result Gold Coast Suns $1.70

Final Thought

Power star Connor Rozee returned to his former All-Australian form last week, collecting 36 disposals and will be looking to do the same at Port Adelaide attempt to make the finals this season.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Connor Rozee $2.90

July 14, 2024 3:20 pm @ MCG

Tigers colors
Tigers$3.80
H2H
Giants$1.27
23.5$1.90
Line
-23.5$1.90
Over 169.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 169.5$1.88
Giants colors

Recent Form

105-54 VS DOCKERS
L
70-131 VS BLUES
L
49-97 VS HAWKS
L
116-104 VS BLUES
W
94-78 VS CROWS
L
75-102 VS SWANS
L

Team News

Tigers – In: Dion Prestia, Samson Ryan, Steely Green, James Trezise, Thomson Dow / Out: Seth Campbell, Kane McAuliffe

Giants – In: Lachie Ash, Xavier O’Halloran, Jacob Wehr

What We Like

Facing off against a depleted Richmond defence, the Giants will look towards key forward Jesse Hogan. Hogan was amazing last round, booting five goals and is likely to produce a similar performance.

To Score 4 or More Goals Jesse Hogan $3.10

Final Thought

The Richmond Tigers hold the wood over the Giants, boasting a 7-0 win record over their opponents at the MCG since GWS was brought into the competition. Can they continue the streak?

Match Result Richmond Tigers $4.20

July 14, 2024 4:40 pm @ Optus Stadium

Eagles colors
Eagles$4.40
H2H
Lions$1.20
28.5$1.90
Line
-28.5$1.90
Over 167.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.88
Lions colors

Recent Form

112-58 VS DEMONS
L
33-94 VS HAWKS
L
122-92 VS BOMBERS
L
97-86 VS CROWS
W
86-81 VS DEMONS
W
73-152 VS POWER
W

Team News

Eagles – In: Harry Edwards, Luke Edwards, Zane Trew, Ryan Maric, Jai Culley / Out: Jeremy McGovern, Campbell Chesser

Lions – In: Darragh Joyce, Deven Robertson, Jaxon Prior, Darcey Fort, Shadeau Brain / Out: Jack Payne, Brandon Starcevich

What We Like

In what is a sure-fire bet, Lions forward Joe Daniher has been one of the most consistent forward this season and is able to kick goals with ease.

To Score 2 or More Goals Joe Daniher $1.41

Final Thought

The Eagles will play this week in their first match since the departure of coach Adam Simpson. Simpson’s departure didn’t come as a surprise but a surprising statistic to note this weekend is that teams normally win when the interim-coach takes over.

Match Result West Coast Eagles $4.40