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Round 17 Preview

Overview

Round 17 of the 2024 AFL season has arrived and will be headlined by the Friday night blockbuster clash between the Collingwood Magpies and Essendon Bombers.

July 5, 2024 7:40 pm @ MCG

Collingwood colors
Collingwood$1.58
H2H
Essendon$2.38
-9.5$1.90
Line
9.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.88
Essendon colors

Recent Form

101-90 VS SUNS
L
118-119 VS KANGAROOS
W
89-51 VS DEMONS
W
105-60 VS CATS
L
122-92 VS EAGLES
W
70-96 VS BLUES
L

Team News

Magpies – In: Charlie Dean, Lachie Schultz, Ned Long / Out: Beau McCreery, Lachlan Sullivan, John Noble

Bombers – In: Dylan Sheil, Jake Kelly, Nate Caddy / Out: Dyson Heppell, Todd Goldstein, Jye Menzie

What We Like

The Collingwood Magpies always seem to play their best against the elite teams of the competition. They can be expected to cover the spread in a rematch of their ANZAC Day match against the Bombers.

Line (9.5) -9.5 $1.90

Final Thought

The Magpies normally start slowly before picking up the pace of the match in the final two quarters of the match where they take on the game and score multiple goals in the process.

Total Points - 2nd Half 61-80 Points $2.65

July 6, 2024 1:45 pm @ Marvel Stadium

North Melbourne colors
North Melbourne$3.25
H2H
Gold Coast$1.34
19.5$1.90
Line
-19.5$1.90
Over 169.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 169.5$1.88
Gold Coast colors

Recent Form

60-77 VS BULLDOGS
L
70-67 VS DEMONS
L
118-119 VS MAGPIES
L
101-90 VS MAGPIES
W
85-65 VS DOCKERS
L
51-48 VS SAINTS
L

Team News

Kangaroos – In: Colby McKercher / Out: Zac Fisher

Suns – In: Ned Moyle / Out: Jarrod Witts

What We Like

While the Suns are unbeatable at home, it is a different story when they play in Victoria or other locations.

Match Result North Melbourne Kangaroos $3.25

Final Thought

Ben King has been one of the best players this season for the Gold Coast Suns and is the favourite to open the scoring with the first goal of the match.

1st Goal Scorer Ben King $7.50

July 6, 2024 1:45 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide colors
Port Adelaide$1.97
H2H
Western Bulldogs$1.83
2.5$1.90
Line
-2.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.88
Western Bulldogs colors

Recent Form

60-62 VS SAINTS
W
73-152 VS LIONS
L
73-51 VS GIATNS
L
60-77 VS KANGAROOS
W
149-82 VS DOCKERS
W
71-114 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Power – In: Jase Burgoyne, Francis Evans / Out: Josh Sinn, Will Lorenz

Bulldogs – In: Nick Coffield, Buku Khamis, Lachlan McNeil / Out: Liam Jones, Cody Weightman, Oskar Bryant

What We Like

While the Power have struggled in recent weeks, they are coming off their first win in some time and will be looking to make it two in a row come Saturday. Plus they are playing at home.

Match Result Port Adelaide $1.97

Final Thought

While the Power may be inconsistent at times, it’s hard to ignore the stardom of Zak Butters who continues to rise and seemingly gets better every week.

Most Disposals - Qr 1 Zak Butters $4.60

July 6, 2024 4:35 pm @ GMHBA Stadium

Geelong colors
Geelong$1.55
H2H
Hawthorn$2.45
-11.5$1.90
Line
11.5$1.90
Over 170.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 170.5$1.88
Hawthorn colors

Recent Form

105-60 VS BOMBERS
W
138-75 VS BLUES
L
112-82 VS SWANS
L
33-94 VS EAGLES
W
49-97 VS TIGERS
W
85-79 VS GIANTS
W

Team News

Cats – In: Shaun Mannagh, Oliver Henry / Out: Mark O’Connor, Jhye Clark

Hawks – In: Luke Breust, Mitch Lewis / Out: James Sicily, Calsher Dear

What We Like

Geelong finally managed to add another win to the books last weekend and will look to continue their winning streak as they face the Hawks at home.

Margin Geelong 1-39 $2.18

Final Thought

While the Cats normally have the wood over their opponents in the home-and-away season, it’s hard to overlook the form of Hawthorn at the moment under Sam Mitchell. Could they prevail in an upset?

Match Result Hawthorn $2.45

July 6, 2024 7:30 pm @ ENGIE Stadium

GWS colors
GWS$2.30
H2H
Carlton$1.62
7.5$1.95
Line
-7.5$1.85
Over 167.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.88
Carlton colors

Recent Form

94-78 VS CROWS
L
75-102 VS SWANS
L
73-51 VS POWER
W
70-131 VS TIGERS
W
138-75 VS CATS
W
70-96 VS BOMBERS
W

Team News

Giants – In: Aaron Cadman, James Peatling, Darcy Jones / Out: Callum Brown, Josh Kelly, Max Gruzewski

Blues – In: Tom De Koning, Matthew Cottrell / Out: Marc Pittonet, George Hewett

What We Like

The Carlton Blues have proven that they are one of the teams to beat this season and should have no trouble in defeating the Giants away from home in Sydney.

Match Result Carlton Blues $1.62

Final Thought

The Blues may be the favourites to win the match but that doesn’t mean that the Giants won’t put up at a fight, Normally playing their best footy at home, the Giants should be able to keep the score close and within 10 points.

Margin Carlton 1-39 $2.18

July 6, 2024 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium

Fremantle colors
Fremantle$1.06
H2H
Richmond$9.25
-45.5$1.90
Line
45.5$1.90
Over 165.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 165.5$1.88
Richmond colors

Recent Form

98-99 VS SWANS
W
85-65 VS SUNS
W
149-82 VS BULLDOGS
L
70-131 VS BLUES
L
49-97 VS HAWKS
L
71-79 VS CROWS
W

Team News

Dockers – In: Brennan Cox, Michael Walters / Out: Hugh Davies, Brandon Walker

Tigers – In: Noah Cumberland / Out: Dustin Martin

What We Like

There is a massive difference between Fremantle and Richmond at the moment, which is not only seen by their form but is also reflected in the betting markets.

Winning Margin Spread Fremantle 60+ $2.60

Final Thought

With a high-scoring match from the Dockers expected you can expect several stars to stand up and nail a magnitude of goals. While Jye Amiss and Josh Treacy are the favourites to boot four or more goals, Bailey Banfield is an outside chance.

To Score 4 or More Goals Bailey Banfield $13.00

July 7, 2024 1:10 pm @ MCG

Melbourne colors
Melbourne$1.15
H2H
West Coast$5.50
-33.5$1.90
Line
33.5$1.90
Over 166.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 166.5$1.88
West Coast colors

Recent Form

86-81 VS LIONS
L
70-67 VS KANGAROOS
W
89-51 VS MAGPIES
L
33-94 VS HAWKS
L
122-92 VS BOMBERS
L
65-74 VS KANGAROOS
L

Team News

Demons – In: Jake Melksham, Christian Slaem, Bailey Laurie, Jake Bowey, Tom Fullarton / Out: Harrison Petty, Kynan Brown

Eagles – In: Harvey Johnston, Jack Williams, Harry Edwards, Jack Hutchinson / Out: Matt Flynn

What We Like

The Demons will welcome Jack Melksham back this weekend, and you can expect him to make an immediate impact on his inclusion. The forward is paying a reasonable amount to score at least two goals during the match.

To Score 2 or More Goals Jake Melksham $2.15

Final Thought

It’s hard to see the Eagles contending against the Demons especially away from home on Sunday. Due to this, one would expect an easy victory is in the works for the Melbourne Demons.

Margin Melbourne 40+ $2.10

July 7, 2024 3:20 pm @ Marvel Stadium

St Kilda colors
St Kilda$3.80
H2H
Sydney$1.27
23.5$1.90
Line
-23.5$1.90
Over 164.$1.90
Total Score
Under 164.5$1.90
Sydney colors

Recent Form

60-62 VS POWER
L
126-106 VS LIONS
L
51-48 VS SUNS
W
98-99 VS DOCKERS
L
75-102 VS GIANTS
W
67-109 VS CROWS
W

Team News

Saints – In: Dougal Howard, Ryan Byrnes, Mattaes Phillipou, Tim Membrey, Zak Jones, Max Hall, Ben Paton / Out: Max King, Anthony Caminiti, Paddy Dow, Riley Bonner

Swans – In: Robbie Fox, Matt Roberts, Lachlan McAndrew, Patrick Snell / Out: Harry Cunningham

What We Like

Fresh off inking a contract extension and missing the game-winning goal last week against the Dockers, the script is set perfectly for Logan McDonald to open the scoring on Sunday.

1st Goal Scorer Logan McDonald $12.50

Final Thought

The Sydney Swans should be back to their very best on the weekend after struggling in all four quarters against the Dockers last round. A great start can be expected from the Red and White.

Quarter Time Leader Sydney Swans $1.44

July 7, 2024 4:10 pm @ Gabba

Brisbane colors
Brisbane$1.24
H2H
Adelaide$4.20
-26.5$1.90
Line
26.5$1.90
Over 170.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 170.5$1.88
Adelaide colors

Recent Form

86-81 VS DEMONS
W
73-152 VS POWER
W
126-106 VS SAINTS
W
94-78 VS GIANTS
W
67-109 VS SWANS
L
71079 VS TIGERS
L

Team News

Lions – In: Jack Payne, James Tunstill, Darcy Fort

Crows – In: Brodie Smith, James Borlase, Chayce Jones, Chris Burgess / Out: Will Hamill

What We Like

A case could be made that Brisbane are arguably the most in-form team in the AFL at the moment and will be looking to secure their dominance with another massive win in front of their home fans.

Margin Brisbane 40+ $2.50

Final Thought

Although he may be getting older every week, Dayne Zorko has continued to show that he is still in career-best form and has been racking up the possessions with ease this season.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Dayne Zorko $2.35
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