Round 16 Preview

Overview

THE AFL WILL ENTER ROUND 16, HEADLINED BY THE CLASH BETWEEN THE LIONS AND DEMONS, AND CROWS TAKING ON THE GIANTS.

June 28, 2024 7:40 pm @ Gabba

Brisbane Lions colors
Brisbane Lions$1.17
H2H
Melbourne Demons$5.00
-30.5$1.90
Line
30.5$1.90
Over 167.5$1.95
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.95
Melbourne Demons colors

Recent Form

73-152 VS POWER
W
126-106 VS SAINTS
W
71-114 VS BULLDOGS
W
70-67 VS KANGAROOS
W
89-51 VS MAGPIES
L
49-141 VS DOCKERS
L

Team News

Lions – In: Darragh Joyce, Will Ashcroft / Out: Jack Payne, Shadeau Brain

Demons – In: Jake Lever, Taj Woewodin, Andy Moniz-Wakefield / Out: Christian Salem, Kynan Brown, Blake Howes

What We Like

The Demons have struggled in recent weeks which saw them just take home the four points against the Kangaroos while the Lions have been on a hot-run of form recently.

Margin Brisbane 1-39 $2.10

Final Thought

After being held to less than his normal amount of touches last round and having no impact on the match, Clayton Oliver is set for a big game and there is no better time for him to have it than on Friday night.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Clayton Oliver $3.35

June 29, 2024 1:45 pm @ Marvel Stadium

North Melbourne Kangaroos colors
North Melbourne Kangaroos$5.75
H2H
Western Bulldogs$1.14
36.5$1.90
Line
-36.5$1.90
Over 182.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 182.5$1.88
Western Bulldogs colors

Recent Form

70-67 VS DEMONS
L
118-119 VS MAGPIES
L
65-74 VS EAGLES
W
149-82 VS DOCKERS
W
71-114 VS LIONS
L
82-100 VS MAGPIES
W

Team News

Kangaroos – In: Kallan Dawson / Out: George Wardlaw

Bulldogs – In: Aaron Naughton, Oskar Baker, Sam Darcy / Out: Buku Khamis, Caleb Daniel, Anthony Scott

What We Like

After nearly pulling off victories against the Demons and Magpies (only to lose by less than three points), it is hard to bet against the Kangaroos pulling off a potential upset this weekend.

Match Result North Melbourne $5.75

Final Thought

All reports are indicating that Marcus Bontempelli will be ill when he takes the field this round. However, history has previously shown that he manages to have his best games while sick, just like Michael Jordan’s ‘flu game’.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Marcus Bontempelli $2.85

June 29, 2024 1:45 pm @ SCG

Sydney Swans colors
Sydney Swans$1.21
H2H
Fremantle Dockers$4.40
-27.5$1.90
Line
27.5$1.90
Over 172.$1.88
Total Score
Under 172.5$1.88
Fremantle Dockers colors

Recent Form

75-102 VS GIANTS
W
67-109 VS CROWS
W
112-82 VS CATS
W
85-65 VS SUNS
W
149-82 VS BULLDOGS
L
49-141 VS DEMONS
W

Team News

Swans – No Changes Made

Dockers – In: Joshua Draper, Brandon Walker / Out: Alex Pearce, Karl Worner

What We Like

The Swans have been the best team of the competition for some time and they will have no trouble against the Dockers this round. However, it is hard to see them winning by more than 40 points.

Margin Sydney 1-39 $2.18

Final Thought

You can’t go wrong with the Swans superstar Errol Gulden. After claiming the best on ground against the Giants in the ‘Sydney Derby’, one can expect him to follow his great performance this week.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Errol Gulden $1.91

June 29, 2024 4:35 pm @ People First Stadium

Gold Coast Suns colors
Gold Coast Suns$2.00
H2H
Collingwood Magpies$1.80
2.5$1.90
Line
-2.5$1.90
Over 165.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 165.5$1.88
Collingwood Magpies colors

Recent Form

85-65 VS DOCKERS
L
51-48 VS SAINTS
L
91-80 VS BOMBERS
W
118-119 VS KANGAROOS
W
89-51 VS DEMONS
W
82-100 VS BULLDOGS
L

Team News

Suns – In: Ben King, Nick Holman / Out: Jake Rogers, Brandon Ellis

Magpies – In: Oleg Markov, Scott Pendlebury, Brody Mihocek, Jordon De Goey, Joe Richards / Out: Charlie Dean, Finlay Macrae, Lachie Schultz, Reef McInnes, Tew Jiath

What We Like

While both teams are known for their prowess in scoring multiple goals at a minutes notice, the clash should be relatively close and should remain under the total score line market.

Total Score (165.5) Under 165.5 $1.88

Final Thought

The Suns will enter the match as underdogs, but despite their poor away record, they have yet to lose a game at home this season.

Match Result Gold Coast Suns $2.00

June 29, 2024 7:30 pm @ Adelaide Oval

Adelaide Crows colors
Adelaide Crows$2.00
H2H
GWS Giants$1.80
2.5$1.90
Line
-2.5$1.90
Over 160.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 160.5$1.88
GWS Giants colors

Recent Form

67-109 VS SWANS
L
71-79 VS TIGERS
L
107-80 VS HAWKS
L
75-102 VS SWANS
L
73-51 VS POWER
W
85-79 VS HAWKS
L

Team News

Crows – In: Taylor Walker, Reilly O’Brien, Elliott Himmelberg / Out: James Borlase, Kieran Strachan, Harry Schoenberg

Giants – In: Harry Perryman, Stephen Coniglio, Isaac Cumming / Out: James Peatling, Ryan Angwin, Xavier O’Halloran

What We Like

The GWS put up a good effort in the ‘Sydney Derby’ last week against ladder-leaders Sydney while the Crows struggles seem to get worse every week and slowly rivaling that of arch rivals Port Adelaide.

Match Result GWS Giants $1.77

Final Thought

The Giants somehow manage to score quickly in the opening two terms before slowly decreasing their lead for the remainder of the match, so expect no difference against the Crows.

First Team to 5 Goals GWS Giants $1.75

June 29, 2024 7:30 pm @ MCG

Geelong Cats colors
Geelong Cats$1.96
H2H
Essendon Bombers$1.84
1.5$1.90
Line
-1.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.88
Essendon Bombers colors

Recent Form

138-75 VS BLUES
L
112-82 VS SWANS
L
99-69 VS TIGERS
W
122-92 VS EAGLES
W
70-96 VS BLUES
L
91-80 VS SUNS
L

Team News

Cats – In: Lawson Humphries, Shannon Neale, Mitch Knevitt / Out: Tom Hawkins, Ollie Henry, Oisin Mullin

Bombers – In: Todd Goldstein, Jade Gresham/ Out: Jye Menzie, Nate Caddy

What We Like

Geelong have lost their last two matches but don’t lose at home often, so expect them to bounce back this weekend.

Match Result Geelong Cats $2.04

Final Thought

The absence of Tom Hawkins and Oliver Henry this week, means a Cats forward will have to stand up and help Jeremy Cameron in the forward 50. Who better to do this than Shannon Neal, who will enter the team for Hawkins?

To Score 3 or More Goals Shannon Neale $5.30

June 30, 2024 1:10 pm @ Marvel Stadium

St Kilda Saints colors
St Kilda Saints$1.80
H2H
Port Adelaide Power$2.00
-2.5$1.90
Line
2.5$1.90
Over 159.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 159.5$1.88
Port Adelaide Power colors

Recent Form

126-106 VS LIONS
L
51-48 VS SUNS
W
68-82 VS EAGLES
W
73-152 VS LIONS
L
73-51 VS GIANTS
L
71-107 VS BLUES
L

Team News

Saints – In: Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, Ryan Byrnes, Jimmy Webster, Cooper Sharman / Out: Zaine Cordy

Power – In: Travis Boak, Willie Rioli, Will Lorenz, Dylan Williams, Lachie Jones, Dante Visentini / Out: Esava Ratugolea, Jase Burgoyne, Jed McEntee

What We Like

Port Adelaide could easily be seen as the worst team in the AFL at the moment and don’t expect anything special from them this weekend. Instead, focus on how much they will lose to the Saints by.

Margin St Kilda 40+ $6.25

Final Thought

Could the Power potentially turn around their form? While they have continually shown they can’t run with the best teams, the Saints are missing some good players and aren’t at the top level of other teams in the competition so an upset could potentially be on the cards.

Match Result Port Adelaide $2.04

June 30, 2024 3:20 pm @ MCG

Richmond Tigers colors
Richmond Tigers$7.00
H2H
Carlton Blues$1.10
39.5$1.90
Line
-39.5$1.90
Over 170.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 170.5$1.88
Carlton Blues colors

Recent Form

49-97 VS HAWKS
L
71-79 VS CROWS
W
99-69 VS CATS
L
138-75 VS CATS
W
70-96 VS BOMBERS
W
71-107 VS POWER
W

Team News

Tigers – In: Jacob Hopper, Jacob Blight, Sam Banks, Kaleb Smith / Out: Tom Lynch

Blues – In: Adam Cerra, Caleb Marchbank, Jesse Motlop, Marc Pittonet / Out: Corey Durdin

What We Like

Richmond has had a horror season, and it looks set to continue this weekend. It’s hard to see the Tigers withstanding the firepower of the Blues led by forward duo Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay.

Line (-41.5) Carlton -41.5 $1.90

Final Thought

The combination of Curnow and McKay is set to run havoc on the poor Richmond Tigers and is at a reasonable price of $5.81 for both of them to score four or more goals.

To Score 4 or More Goals. Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay $5.81

June 30, 2024 4:40 pm @ Optus Stadium

West Coast Eagles colors
West Coast Eagles$2.65
H2H
Hawthorn Hawks$1.48
13.5$1.90
Line
-13.5$1.90
Over 163.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 163.5$1.88
Hawthorn Hawks colors

Recent Form

122-92 VS BOMBERS
L
65-74 VS KANGAROOS
L
68-82 VS SAINTS
L
49-97 VS TIGERS
W
85-79 VS GIANTS
W
107-80 VS CROWS
W

Team News

Eagles – In: Tim Kelly, Harley Reid, Andrew Gaff, Harry Edwards / Out: Jack Petruccelle

Hawks – In: Harry Morrison, Josh Ward, Finn Maginness, Jai Serong / Out: Luke Breust

What We Like

While the Eagles tend to remain competitive at home, the Hawks have been on a great winning run and look hard to defeat, even with the disadvantage of travelling to Perth.

Match Result Hawthorn $1.50

Final Thought

While the Hawks are favourites to win, the Eagles shouldn’t be underestimated and won’t go down without a fight, so a close match is expected.

Head to Head / Total Points Double Hawthorn / Under 163.5 $2.90