AFL Round 21 – Tips and Preview

Overview

The AFL season will enter Round 21 this week, headlined by the Thursday night clash between Collingwood and the Geelong Cats.

July 30, 2026 7:50 pm @ MCG

COLLINGWOOD colors
COLLINGWOOD$2.04
H2H
GEELONG$1.81
2.5$1.90
Line
-2.5$1.90
Over 173.5$1.85
Total Score
Under 173.5$1.85
GEELONG colors

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Team News

Magpies – TBA

Cats – TBA

What We Like

Geelong have conceded four games of 25 disposals or more to opposition ruckmen this season, more than any other side in the league.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Darcy Cameron $4.00

Final Thought

Geelong are on a six-match winning streak and should be able to get past their opponents with ease having defeated them by 54 points earlier in the year.

Match Result Geelong Cats $1.81

July 31, 2026 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium

FREMANTLE colors
FREMANTLE$1.10
H2H
WESTERN BULLDOGS$6.50
-37.5$1.89
Line
37.5$1.9
Over 165.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 165.5$1.89
WESTERN BULLDOGS colors

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Team News

Dockers – TBA

Bulldogs – TBA

What We Like

The Bulldogs may have won seven of their last nine, but Fremantle are 5-2 against the line at Optus Stadium against the Bulldogs.

Final Thought

Lachie Bramble has taken over the Bailey Dale distributor role at the Kennel and he filled the stat sheet last week with 27 touches. Expect a similar performance from him this week.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Lachlan Bramble $4.00

August 1, 2026 1:05 pm @ Marvel Stadium

ST KILDA colors
ST KILDA$2.66
H2H
SYDNEY$1.48
13.5$1.90
Line
-13.5$1.90
Over 182.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 182.5$1.88
SYDNEY colors

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Team News

Saints – TBA

Swans – TBA

What We Like

St Kilda have covered the line in eight of the last nine meetings with Sydney and went extremely close to defeating them earlier this season.

Line (13.5) St Kilda 13.5 $1.90

Final Thought

In his last five matches, Bradley Hill has racked up 34, 24, 39, 42 and 37 possessions. Expect another strong match in the midfield this weekend.

Bradley Hill - Disposals (27.5) Bradley Hill Over (+27.5) $1.93

August 1, 2026 1:35 pm @ UTAS Stadium

HAWTHORN colors
HAWTHORN$1.13
H2H
NORTH MELBOURNE$6.05
-36.5$1.90
Line
36.5$1.90
Over 176.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 176.5$1.87
NORTH MELBOURNE colors

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Team News

Hawks – TBA

Kangaroos – TBA

What We Like

Final Thought

August 1, 2026 6:35 pm @ Adelaide Oval

PORT ADELAIDE colors
PORT ADELAIDE$1.73
H2H
GWS$1.12
-4.5$1.90
Line
4.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.89
GWS colors

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Team News

Power – TBA

Giants – TBA

What We Like

Port Adelaide is struggling to show its best after three straight losses, so expect the Giants to pull off yet another upset this weekend.

Match Result GWS Giants $2.12

Final Thought

Aaron Cadman is a key player for GWS, and they need him to produce more goals. He started the year well, but he has only two goals in his last three games. He will be eager to bounce back this week.

To Score 2 or More Goals Aaron Cadman $1.74

August 1, 2026 7:40 pm @ Marvel Stadium

CARLTON colors
CARLTON$4.00
H2H
BRISBANE$1.25
25.5$1.91
Line
-25.5$1.89
Over 180.5$1.91
Total Score
Under 180.5$1.91
BRISBANE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Blues – TBA

Lions – TBA

What We Like

Brisbane have won their last seven and don’t look like losing anytime soon. Expect them to not only start the game off strong but also end it strongly too.

Match Result Brisbane $1.25

Final Thought

Zac Bailey has registered 25 or more disposals in his last three matches and has become a consistent player for the Lions.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Zac Bailey $3.18

August 2, 2026 1:10 pm @ MCG

RICHMOND colors
RICHMOND$2.00
H2H
WEST COAST$1.85
1.5$1.90
Line
-1.5$1.90
Over 167.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.90
WEST COAST colors

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Team News

Tigers – TBA

Eagles – TBA

What We Like

Mykelti Lefau comes off a two-goal showing against the Bulldogs, and he will look to try and keep that form going.

To Score 2 or More Goals Mykelti Lefau $1.75

Final Thought

Tom Lynch is an underutilised big man for Richmond, and if they can get him more involved, he should be able to get multiple opportunities on goal. He has also scored five from his last five matches.

To Score 2 or More Goals Tom Lynch $1.41

August 2, 2026 3:15 pm @ People First Stadium

GOLD COAST colors
GOLD COAST$2.19
H2H
MELBOURNE$1.68
6.5$1.89
Line
-6.5$1.91
Over 180.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 180.5$1.89
MELBOURNE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Suns – TBA

Demons – TBA

What We Like

Bayley Fritsch has eight goals in his last two games, including three goals last week and has been on fire inside the forward-50.

To Score 3 or More Goals Bayley Fritsch $2.85

Final Thought

The best way to bounce back from a tough outing is by scoring the opening goal, so Jacob van Rooyen will look to get off to a perfect start and come up with the goods.

1st Goal Scorer Jacob van Rooyen $9.75

August 2, 2026 4:40 pm @ Marvel Stadium

ESSENDON colors
ESSENDON$9.30
H2H
ADELAIDE$1.06
45.5$1.90
Line
-45.5$1.90
Over 172.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 172.5$1.90
ADELAIDE colors

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Team News

Bombers – TBA

Crows – TBA

What We Like

Tex Walker has eight goals from his last two games, and the rest he had when Adelaide defeated Sydney could pay off.

To Score 4 or More Goals Taylor Walker $4.10

Final Thought

Finbarr Maley has four goals from his last five games.

To Score 2 or More Goals Finnbar Maley $3.25