AFL Round 17 – Tips and Preview

Overview

The AFL will enter Round 17 this week headlined by the Thursday night clash between the Geelong Cats and Fremantle Dockers.

July 2, 2026 7:30 pm @ GMHBA Stadium

GEELONG colors
GEELONG$1.45
H2H
BRISBANE$2.76
-14.5$1.90
Line
14.5$1.90
Over 171.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 171.5$1.89
BRISBANE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Cats – TBA

Lions – TBA

What We Like

Geelong forward Jeremy Cameron has been in stellar form up front and has kicked 12 goals in his last five matches. He should be too much to handle for the small Lions defenders.

To Score 3 or More Goals Jeremy Cameron $2.02

Final Thought

Geelong has three losses from their last four matches, so if there is a time for them to be upset at their home venue, it is likely to happen this weekend against the Brisbane Lions.

Match Result Brisbane Lions $2.76

July 3, 2026 7:40 pm @ SCG

SYDNEY colors
SYDNEY$1.40
H2H
WESTERN BULLDOGS$2.90
-16.5$1.90
Line
16.5$1.90
Over 184.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 184.5$1.90
WESTERN BULLDOGS colors

Recent Form

Team News

Swans – TBA

Bulldogs – TBA

What We Like

The Swans may have won two of their past three matches but they have looked a little flat at times, so even though they are favoured to win, don’t expect it to be by a massive margin.

Margin Sydney Swans 1 to 39 $2.20

Final Thought

Don’t be surprised to see Chad Warner deliver another standout performance after kicking four goals last week. Aiming to back up his showing, he should be able to manage at least two or three this weekend.

To Score 2 or More Goals Chad Warner $2.25

July 3, 2026 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium

WEST COAST colors
WEST COAST$5.10
H2H
ADELAIDE$1.18
31.5$1.89
Line
-31.5$1.91
Over 171.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 171.5$1.87
ADELAIDE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Eagles – TBA

Crows – TBA

What We Like

How good has Darcy Fogarty been! The Adelaide forward has seven goals to his name in the past two weeks, including a phenomenal showing against Port Adelaide in last week’s South Australian derby.

To Score 3 or More Goals Darcy Fogarty $2.45

Final Thought

Riley Thilthorpe has kicked six goals in his last five matches, and while this is below expectations, you know he will kick at least a few against the Eagles.

To Score 2 or More Goals Riley Thilthorpe $1.43

July 4, 2026 1:15 pm @ UTAS Stadium

HAWTHORN colors
HAWTHORN$1.43
H2H
MELBOURNE$2.83
-14.5$1.90
Line
14.5$1.90
Over 168.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.89
MELBOURNE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Hawks – TBA

Demons – TBA

What We Like

Hawthorn key forward Mabior Chol is normally a good shot at goal and will be the primary target from the opening tap as the Hawks attempt to get off to a fast start.

1st Goal Scorer Mabior Chol $9.25

Final Thought

Hawthorn has won their last 12 matches in Tasmania and is unbeatable at the venue. Meanwhile, the Demons have lost three of their past five games.

Match Result Hawthorn $1.43

July 4, 2026 1:35 pm @ Manuka Oval

GWS GIANTS colors
GWS GIANTS$3.35
H2H
FREMANTLE$1.33
20.5$1.89
Line
-20.5$1.91
Over 177.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 177.5$1.87
FREMANTLE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Giants – TBA

Dockers – TBA

What We Like

The Fremantle Dockers are easily the most in-form team of the competition at the moment and they could easily dominate the Giants in every aspect of the field.

Margin Fremantle 40+ $2.95

Final Thought

Luke Jackson has kicked eight goals in his last three matches, and he is loving the Dockers system at the moment, where he should easily be able to rack up at least two goals.

To Score 2 or More Goals Luke Jackson $2.60

July 4, 2026 4:15 pm @ People First Stadium

GOLD COAST colors
GOLD COAST$1.61
H2H
COLLINGWOOD$2.32
-8.5$1.95
Line
8.5$1.85
Over 173.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 173.5$1.89
COLLINGWOOD colors

Recent Form

Team News

Suns – TBA

Magpies – TBA

What We Like

The Gold Coast Suns have won their past two matches against the Magpies at the same venue and while they haven’t been playing their best footy, there is denying that they are a different team in Queensland.

Match Result Gold Coast Suns $1.61

Final Thought

Collingwood star Nick Daicos has scored two or more goals in his last three matches, so he should be able to extend this streak to four games over the weekend.

To Score 3 or More Goals Nick Daicos $4.25

July 4, 2026 7:35 pm @ MCG

RICHMOND colors
RICHMOND$6.05
H2H
CARLTON$1.13
35.5$1.89
Line
-35.5$1.91
Over 168.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 168.5$1.87
CARLTON colors

Recent Form

Team News

Tigers – TBA

Blues – TBA

What We Like

The Blues’ leading scorer, Harry McKay, should have a field day against the Tigers and has scored three or more goals in two of his last three appearances.

To Score 3 or More Goals Harry McKay $2.45

Final Thought

The Carlton Blues have won their past six matches while their opponents have been one of the worst and most inconsistent teams of the entire AFL competition.

Margin Carlton 40+ $2.00

July 5, 2026 3:15 pm @ Marvel Stadium

ESSENDON colors
ESSENDON$4.60
H2H
ST KILDA$1.20
29.5$1.91
Line
-29.5$1.89
Over 177.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 177.5$1.90
ST KILDA colors

Recent Form

Team News

Bombers – TBA

Saints – TBA

What We Like

Hugo Garcia isn’t known for scoring goals, but he did score one last week against the Bulldogs, and his odds of doing the same this weekend are in favour of the bettor.

Any Time Goal Scorer Hugo Garcia $3.50

Final Thought

Liam Ryan has kicked 14 goals in his last four games and has been in terrific form as of late, which has seen the midfielders identify him as the primary target in the forward 50.

To Score 2 or More Goals Liam Ryan $1.50

July 5, 2026 4:40 pm @ Adelaide Oval

PORT ADELAIDE colors
PORT ADELAIDE$1.39
H2H
NORTH MELBOURNE$3.02
-16.5$1.90
Line
16.5$1.90
Over 172.5$1.91
Total Score
Under 172.5$1.91
NORTH MELBOURNE colors

Recent Form

Team News

Power – TBA

Kangaroos – TBA

What We Like

He may not be the most consistent forward, but Jack Darling is coming off two goals against the Essendon Bombers last week and will look to repeat the same effort.

To Score 2 or More Goals Jack Darling $1.99

Final Thought

The Kangaroos are on the verge of breaking into the top eight, and a win on the weekend is likely to see them join it. Considering it has been a long time since they were in the top-eight beyond the halfway mark of the season, expect them to have more on the line to play for.

Match Result North Melbourne $3.02