AFL Round 1 – Tips and Preview

Overview

The AFL will enter Round 1 of the 2026 season this week headlined by the Saturday night blockbuster between the Sydney Swans and Brisbane Lions.

March 12, 2026 7:30 pm @ MCG

CARLTON colors
CARLTON$1.33
H2H
RICHMOND$3.37
-21.5$1.91
Line
21.5$1.89
Over 169.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 169.5$1.90
RICHMOND colors

Recent Form

132-69 VS SWANS
L
56-90 VS BOMBERS
W
118-64 VS POWER
L
64-103 VS CATS
L
135-87 VS KANGAROOS
L
52-56 VS SAINTS
L

Team News

Blues – TBA

Tigers – TBA

What We Like

After racking up 27 disposals last week, Carlton rookie Jagga Smith is en route to claiming the Rising Star award and is an easy bet to do similar this weekend.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Jagga Smith $2.45

Final Thought

While the match could very easily be one sided, Rhyan Marshall is a safe bet considering he has kicked at least one goal in five of his last six matches.

Any Time Goal Scorer Rhyan Marshall $1.43

March 13, 2026 7:40 pm @ MCG

ESSENDON colors
ESSENDON$4.45
H2H
HAWTHORN$1.21
29.5$1.90
Line
-29.5$1.90
Over 167.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 167.5$1.89
HAWTHORN colors

Recent Form

153-58 VS SUNS
L
56-90 VS BLUES
L
75-77 VS SAINTS
L
122-95 VS GIANTS
L
115-85 VS CATS
L
67-101 VS CROWS
L

Team News

Bombers – TBA

Hawks – TBA

What We Like

Kicking two or more goals in his ten matches for the Hawks, forward Jack Gunston will look to deliver the same outcome this week and throughout the season as he enters the final stages of his playing career.

To Score 3 or More Goals Jack Gunston $1.66

Final Thought

Essendon always seem to manage to have a strong start to the season when they are not hit with a range of issues. Meanwhile, the Hawks looked incredibly thin in their loss to the GWS Giants last week, which showed their vulnerabilities.

Match Result Essendon $4.45

March 14, 2026 1:15 pm @ Marvel Stadium

WESTERN BULLDOGS colors
WESTERN BULLDOGS$1.36
H2H
GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY$3.17
-20.5$1.90
Line
20.5$1.90
Over 195.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 195.5$1.87
GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY colors

Recent Form

106-111 VS LIONS
W
96-112 VS DOCKERS
L
126-32 VS EAGLES
W
122-95 VS HAWKS
W
88-107 VS HAWKS
L
104-93 VS SAINTS
W

Team News

Bulldogs – TBA

Giants – TBA

What We Like

He may have only kicked one goal last week against the Lions but Bailey Williams had multiple other chances in the Forward 50 and will look to take advantage of the awkward match-ups against him.

To Score 2 or More Goals Bailey Williams $4.70

Final Thought

The GWS Giants may have been too good for Hawthorn last week but playing against the Western Bulldogs is another challenge in itself. Expect a close encounter but with the home side grabbing the win and taking home the four points.

Margin Western Bulldogs 1 to 39 $2.30

March 14, 2026 4:15 pm @ GMHBA Stadium

GEELONG colors
GEELONG$1.49
H2H
FREMANTLE$2.65
-13.5$1.91
Line
13.5$1.89
Over 178.5$1.90
Total Score
Under 178.5$1.90
FREMANTLE colors

Recent Form

125-69 VS SUNS
L
75-122 VS LIONS
L
115-85 VS HAWKS
W
79-80 VS SUNS
L
96-112 VS BULLDOGS
W
44-101 VS LIONS
L

Team News

Cats – TBA

Dockers – TBA

What We Like

A late withdrawal last week, Geelong forward Jeremy Cameron will look to make the most of his return and once again find his name on the scoreboard multiple times.

To Score 4 or More Goals Jeremy Cameron $3.70

Final Thought

While Geelong are the favourites, Fremantle have an amazing record at GMHBA Stadium, which has seen them win two of their past three matches at the stadium – and shouldn’t be counted out this weekend.

Match Result Fremantle Dockers $2.65

March 14, 2026 7:10 pm @ SCG

SYDNEY colors
SYDNEY$1.40
H2H
BRISBANE$2.96
-17.5$1.91
Line
17.5$1.89
Over 188.5$1.89
Total Score
Under 188.5$1.89
BRISBANE colors

Recent Form

132-69 VS BLUES
W
51-118 VS EAGLES
W
68-111 VS CATS
L
106-111 VS BULLDOGS
L
75-122 VS CATS
W
71-100 VS MAGPIES
W

Team News

Swans – TBA

Lions – TBA

What We Like

The Sydney Swans showed last week that they are extremely dominant when playing at the Sydney Cricket Ground. And despite the Lions being the reigning premiers of the AFL, they enter the clash out of form after a loss in the Opening Round.

Match Result Sydney Swans $1.37

Final Thought

One of the most in-demand forwards in the AFL, catching the interest of at least four rival teams, Joel Amartey has taken his form to another level over the past two years. While most of the attention will be on teammate Charlie Curnow, this allows Amartey to have freedom in the Forward 50.

To Score 4 or More Goals Joel Amartey $7.25

March 14, 2026 7:35 pm @ MCG

COLLINGWOOD colors
COLLINGWOOD$1.65
H2H
ADELAIDE$2.23
-6.5$1.90
Line
6.5$1.90
Over 173.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 173.5$1.87
ADELAIDE colors

Recent Form

66-78 VS SAINTS
W
71-100 VS LIONS
L
55-79 VS CROWS
W
67-101 VS HAWKS
L
55-79 VS MAGPIES
L
100-113 VS KANGAROOS
W

Team News

Magpies – TBA

Lions – TBA

What We Like

Collingwood Magpies midfielder Nick Daicos is arguably the best player in the AFL so every time he takes the field, it’s hard to not bet on him considering his skill and consistency.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Nick Daicos $1.17

Final Thought

Expected a low-scoring between the two classy sides in Adelaide and Collingwood as they look to out-do each other in the middle and slowly make their way up the field.

Total Score (173.5) Under 173.5 $1.88

March 15, 2026 1:10 pm @ Marvel Stadium

NORTH MELBOURNE colors
NORTH MELBOURNE$2.46
H2H
PORT ADELAIDE$1.55
10.5$1.90
Line
-10.5$1.90
Over 188.5$1.86
Total Score
Under 188.5$1.86
PORT ADELAIDE colors

Recent Form

100-113 VS CROWS
L
135-87 VS TIGERS
W
133-79 VS SUNS
L
71-67 VS SUNS
W
118-64 VS BLUES
L
86-92 VS DOCKERS
L

Team News

Kangaroos – TBA

Power – TBA

What We Like

Predicting the first goal-scorer of the match is always the hardest thing to do, but it’s hard to not go past forward Mitch Georgiades. Not only is he an accurate scorer but he also attracts plenty of attention in the Forward 50.

1st Goal Scorer Mitch Georgiades $8.00

Final Thought

While the match between the two sides is expected to be a close encounter, Port Adelaide are the very clear favourites and will look to dominate their opponents in the midfield setting up a ripple effect in the defence and forwards.

 

Margin Port Adelaide 1 to 39 $2.35

March 15, 2026 3:15 pm @ MCG

MELBOURNE colors
MELBOURNE$2.50
H2H
ST KILDA$1.54
10.5$1.91
Line
-10.5$1.89
Over 173.5$1.87
Total Score
Under 173.5$1.87
ST KILDA colors

Recent Form

82-76 VS MAGPIES
L
92-56 VS HAWKS
L
99-105 VS BULLDOGS
L
66-78 VS MAGPIES
L
104-93 VS GIANTS
L
75-77 VS BOMBERS
W

Team News

Demons – TBA

Saints – TBA

What We Like

It may be a new season but St Kilda Saints veteran Jack Steele remains one of the most consistent midfielders in the AFL and is able to rack up possessions with ease every time he plays.

To Get 25 or More Disposals Jack Steele $2.45

Final Thought

In what could be the ‘Match of the Round’, both teams can walk away with the victory but the Saints are the clear favourites and are coming off a strong pre-season while the Demons have been clouded in controversy.

Match Result St Kilda $1.54

March 15, 2026 6:10 pm @ People First Stadium

GOLD COAST colors
GOLD COAST$1.01
H2H
WEST COAST$19.00
-65.5$1.90
Line
65.5$1.90
Over 183.5$1.88
Total Score
Under 183.5$1.88
WEST COAST colors

Recent Form

125-69 VS CATS
W
100-47 VS LIONS
L
79-80 VS DOCKERS
W
51-118 VS SWANS
L
126-32 VS BULLDOGS
L
78-87 VS CROWS
L

Team News

Suns – TBA

Eagles – TBA

What We Like

The Gold Coast Suns are unbeatable at their home venue, while the Eagles are one of the favourites to finish in last place and are completely outmatched in every aspect of the field.

Margin Gold Coast Suns 40+ $1.20

Final Thought

Staying with the Suns, their forwards are expected to have a field day on the weekend and are likely to rack up a big bag of goals. One of these players is Ben King who has been in tremendous over the past few seasons for the club.

To Score 5 or More Goals Ben King $3.20