Round 16 of the AFL season features a host of rivalry clashes, including the Derby and Showdown under lights on Saturday evening.

Hawthorn v Collingwood @ MCG

Friday 5th July, 19:50 (AEST)

HawthornCollingwood
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
O’Brien, Frawley, BurgoyneBMaynard, Roughead, Scharenberg

 

HBNash, Sicily, HardwickHBCrisp, Moore, Quaynor
CHenderson, Howe, ScullyCPhillips, Pendlebury, Mayne
HFBreust, Gunston, PuopoloHFBrown, Cox, Hoskin-Elliott
FHanrahan, Lewis, ImpeyFDe Goey, Mihocek, Elliott
FOLMcEvoy, O’Meara, WorpelFOLGrundy, Treloar, Sidebottom
I/CStratton, Smith, Shiels, GlassI/CAish, Daicos, Sier, Thomas


History:
Played 164: Hawthorn 67 v Collingwood 97.

Last Meeting: AFL Round 1, 2018: Hawthorn 15.11 (101) defeated Collingwood 9.13 (67).

Final Thoughts: Two out-of-form sides kick off round 16, in an intriguing Friday night clash. The second-placed Pies have had a fortnight to forget, bookended by the suspension of Jaidyn Stephenson and their worst performance of the season – a 44-point loss to North Melbourne. The Pies were smashed around the ball by a harder, more ferocious Roos outfit, something that incensed coach Nathan Buckley. If anything, one would expect that aspect of their game to return in this clash. The Hawks are also down in the dumps, having lost four on the trot. They were gallant, and came of-so-close last week against the Eagles, but fell just short. On a more positive note, the Hawks have an incredible recent record against the Pies, winning 11 of the past 12 encounters.

Tip: Line: Collingwood -18.5 @ $2.00

Essendon v Sydney @ MCG

Saturday 6th July, 13:45 (AEST)

EssendonSydney
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Gleeson, Hooker, ZaharakisBMills, Rampe, Melican
HBMcKenna, Hurley, SaadHBLloyd, Aliir, Jones
CRedman, Merrett, ParishCRose, Hewett, Dawson
HFLaverde, Brown, FrancisHFHayward, Blakey, Ronke
FFantasia, McKernan, McDonald-TipungwutiFParker, McCartin, Papley
FOLZ.Clarke, Shiel, McGrathFOLReid, Kennedy, Heeney
I/CD.Clarke, Stringer, Heppell, GuelfiI/CFlorent, Cunningham, O’Riordan, Rowbottom


History:
Played 221: Essendon 131 v Sydney 89 (1 draw).

Last Meeting: AFL Round 8, 2019: Sydney 11.11 (77) defeated Essendon 10.12 (72).

Final Thoughts: The Swans are on a roll, having won five of their last seven games. A win here, and against 17th-placed Carlton next week on home soil would take them, quite incredibly, to 8-8 (despite starting the season 1-6) and well in the finals hunt. But that will be far from John Longmire’s thinking who needs to first devise a plan against the dangerous Bombers who were superb in their upset win over GWS last week. At 7-7, a win could take the Dons into the top eight for the first time since round five. You’ll remember when these teams played earlier in the year, a bizarre finish took place as Swans skipper Dane Rampe tried to climb the goalpost after the siren. Essendon felt hard done by there, and have a shot at revenge on Saturday afternoon.

Tip: Head to head: Sydney @ $2.40

Gold Coast v Richmond @ Metricon Stadium

Saturday 6th July, 14:10 (AEST)

Gold CoastRichmond
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Lukosius, Hombsch, HarbrowBAstbury, Broad, Grimes
HBJoyce, Hanley, HeronHBShort, Vlastuin, Houli
CWeller, Scheer, PowellCCastagna, Prestia, McIntosh
HFSexton, Corbett, MillerHFLambert, Bolton, Rioli
FMartin, Day, KingFEdwards, Lynch, Stack
FOLWitts, Swallow, MacPhersonFOLSoldo, Cotchin, Martin
I/CBallard, Fiorini, Miles, WrightI/CEggmolesse-Smith, Graham, Chol, Ellis


History:
Played 8: Gold Coast 3 v Richmond 5.

Last Meeting: AFL Round 21, 2018: Gold Coast 7.9 (51) lost to Richmond 19.11 (125).

Final Thoughts: The Suns’ losing streak has extended to 10 and they are now $1.20 favourites in Palmerbet’s ‘least wins 2019’ market. A season that began with some promise has now turned exceedingly difficult for young coach Stuart Dew. But in their first game back at Metricon in a month, can they put in a competitive showing? Richmond are only just inside the eight, but have welcomed back some stars in recent weeks. As such, it’s tough to see the Tigers going down here. With games against GWS, Port Adelaide and Collingwood to come, nothing short of a win is good enough for Damian Hardwick.

Tip: Winning Margin: Richmond by 1-39pts @ $2.10

Adelaide to Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval

Saturday 6th July, 16:35 (AEST)

AdelaidePort Adelaide
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Kelly, Talia, BrownBBurton, Clurey, Houston
HBLaird, Hartigan, MackayHBHartlett, Jonas, Byrne-Jones
CSmith, M.Crouch, SeedsmanCDuursma, Rockliff, Amon
HFGallucci, Keath, B.CrouchHFR.Gray, Howard, Ebert
FBetts, Walker, MurphyFWesthoff, Dixon, Rozee
FOLO’Brien, Sloane, MileraFOLLycett, Wines, Boak
I/CGreenwood, Jenkins, Atkins, DouglasI/CBonner, Butters, S.Gray, Motlop

 

History: Played 46: Adelaide 24 v Port Adelaide 22.

Last Meeting: AFL Round 8, 2019: Port Adelaide 9.14 (68) lost to Adelaide 13.10 (88).

Final Thoughts: Showdown 47 is set to be a cracker, with both sides looking to solidify their spots in the top eight. Port are still reeling from last weekend’s loss to the Dogs – a game they would have pencilled in four points. And with games against Brisbane, Richmond and Greater Western Sydney to come in the next three weeks, a win for Ken Hinkley’s side is vital. To do so, however, they’ll need to reverse recent history. The Crows have won seven of the last eight Showdowns and the last time they lost to a side outside the top eight was way back in round four.

Tip: Line: Adelaide -7.5 @ $1.90

Western Bulldogs v [email protected] Marvel Stadium

Saturday 6th July, 19:25 (AEST)

Western BulldogsGeelong
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Johannisen, Trengove, CrozierBTuohy, Kolodjashnij, Miers
HBDuryea, Cordy, WoodHBHenry, Taylor, Stewart
CHunter, Smith, LipinskiCDangerfield, Kelly, Duncan
HFSuckling, Schache, LloydHFDahlhaus, Stanley, Hawkins
FNaughton, Bontempelli, DicksonFAblett, Bews, Atkins
FOLEnglish, Dunkley, MacraeFOLBlicavs, Clark, J.Selwood
I/CMcLean, Richards, Williams, SmithI/CFogarty, O’Connor, C.Guthrie, Parfitt


History:
Played 160: Western Bulldogs 56 v Geelong 102 (2 draws).

Last Meeting: AFL Round 9, 2019: Geelong 21.7 (133) defeated Western Bulldogs 13.11 (89).

Final Thoughts: A stirring win over the Power in the wet has kept the Dogs’ faint finals hopes alive. But only just. Luke Beveridge’s side are still $6.50 outsiders to finish in the top eight with Palmerbet, but another upset – this week against ladder leaders Geelong – would see them shorten yet again. Is it do or die yet? Well, a loss would see them to 6-9 – an exceedingly difficult spot to make the finals from. Whether the Dogs have the depth across the park to match the experienced Cats is perhaps the more important question for this game. Geelong has won four of their last five against the Dogs, and another win here would see them maintain their two-game buffer at the top.

Tip: To get 25+ disposals: Cameron Guthrie (Geelong) @ $3.60

Fremantle v West Coast @ Optus Stadium

Saturday 6th July, 20:10 (AEST)

FremantleWest Coast
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Wilson, Hamling, RyanBHurn, Barrass, Sheppard
HBConca, Logue, BlakelyHBDuggan, McGovern, Jetta
CB.Hill, Fyfe, ColyerCRedden, Shuey, Cripps
HFTucker, Walters, SwitkowskiHFRioli, Darling, Sheed
FMcCarthy, Lobb, MateraFRyan, Kennedy, Cameron
FOLSandilands, Cerra, MundyFOLNaitanui, Yeo, Gaff
I/CHughes, Langdon, Brayshaw, CrowdenI/CMasten, Allen, Hickey, Nelson

 

History: Played 49: Fremantle 20 v West Coast 29.

Last Meeting: AFL Round 4, 2019: West Coast 10.9 (69) defeated Fremantle 7.14 (56).

Final Thoughts: It’s Derby time, edition 50. And it’s set to be a beauty. Both sides were involved in thrillers last week – the Eagles getting up against the Hawks at the MCG and the Dockers losing out to (then) bottom-placed Carlton. The loss has had serious repercussions for their finals aspirations, given they would have pencilled it in for four points. Ross Lyon’s side is now in a fight with four other clubs for eighth. And after losses to the Blues and, before that Melbourne, the Dockers are now desperate to return to the winners’ circle. These sides met earlier in the year, where the Eagles own by 13 points. Incredibly, they’ve actually won the last eight derbies in a row.

Tip: Line: Fremantle +16.5 @ $1.95

Carlton v Melbourne @ MCG

Sunday 7th July, 13:10 (AEST)

CarltonMelbourne
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Plowman, Jones, MarchbankBLockhart, May, Petty
HBSimpson, Weitering, ThomasHBHore, Frost, Salem
CSetterfield, E.Curnow, O’BrienCJones, Harmes, Neal-Bullen
HFSilvagni, Casboult, Petrevski-SetonHFFritsch, Weideman, Petracca
FMurphy, McGovern, GibbonsFHannan, T.McDonald, Brayshaw
FOLKreuzer, Fisher, WalshFOLGawn, Viney, Oliver
I/CNewman, Lang, Dow, Kennedy, Cottrell, Phillips, Fasolo, GoddardI/CLewis, Hibberd, Preuss, O.McDonald, Hunt, C.Wagner, J.Wagner, Dunkley


History:
Played 212: Carlton 118 v Melbourne 92 (2 draws).

Last Meeting: AFL Round 9, 2018: Carlton 7.8 (50) lost to Melbourne 25.9 (159).

Final Thoughts: The last time these sides met, in round nine last year, the Blues were thrashed by a whopping 109 points. But quite incredibly, just over a year later, the two clubs are separated by just four points on the ladder. Carlton’s dream start under David Teague has put a pep in their step, and culminated in a stirring win over Freo last week – comfortably their best performance of the season. Despite their recent momentum, the Dees start as fairly solid $1.43 favourites with Palmerbet. Gallant in their loss against Brisbane last week, Melbourne’s return to a tighter brand of footy will mean they’ll fancy themselves for four points here.

Tip: Margin: Melbourne by 1-39pts @ $2.00

North Melbourne v St Kilda @ Blundstone Arena

Sunday 7th July, 15:20 (AEST)

North MelbourneSt Kilda
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Williams, Thompson, DurdinBCoffield, Carlisle, Savage
HBPittard, Tarrant, McDonaldHBWilkie, Battle, Clark
CDumont, Anderson, PolecCBillings, Ross, Hannebery
HFThomas, Wood, AtleyHFHind, Bruce, Sinclair
FZurhaar, Brown, SimpkinFGresham, Membrey, Long
FOLGoldstein, Cunnington, ZiebellFOLMarshall, Dunstan, Steele
I/CDavies-Uniacke, Ahern, Larkey, Turner, Taylor, Macmillan, Campbell, HosieI/CAcres, Newnes, Armitage, Brown, Paton, Parker, McKenzie, Rowe


History:
Played 159: North Melbourne 79 v St Kilda 78 (2 draws).

Last Meeting: AFL Round 23, 2018: St Kilda 14.10 (94) lost to North Melbourne 17.15 (117).

Final Thoughts: North Melbourne’s recovery under interim coach Rhyce Shaw has been nothing short of incredible. They followed up a strong victory over Richmond a few weeks ago with a 44-point dismantling of Collingwood on Saturday night which – again, incredibly – has brought them into the finals hunt. They’re now an outside $6.50 to finish in the eight. The Saints, also at 6-8, are $12 owing to a tougher draw to come and a poor percentage. Either way, this result on Sunday afternoon is big. Despite their close proximity on the ladder, North start as strong favourites in this one and should walk away with four points.

Tip: Line: North Melbourne -24.5 @ $1.93

Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions @ Giants Stadium

Sunday 7th July, 16:40 (AEST)

GWSBrisbane
PosPlayerPosPlayer
B
Taylor, Haynes, ShawBLester, Andrews, Rich
HBFinlayson, Davis, ReidHBHodge, Gardiner, Answerth
CPerryman, Taranto, WilliamsCZorko, Neale, McCarthy
HFHopper, Cameron, GreeneHFRayner, Hipwood, Robinson
FDeledio, Himmelberg, LangdonFCameron, McStay, Bailey
FOLTomlinson, Coniglio, KellyFOLMartin, McCluggage, Lyons
I/CWhitfield, Hill, Stein, Simpson, Daniels, Flynn, Kennedy, HatelyI/CChristensen, Berry, Walker, Robertson, Adams, Witherden, Starcevich, Smith


History:
Played 8: GWS 6 v Brisbane 2.

Last Meeting: AFL Round 14, 2018: Brisbane 12.10 (82) lost to GWS 16.13 (109).

Final Thoughts: The Giants let a huge chance (and with it, an opportunity to further solidify their top four hopes) go last week with a last-gasp loss to Essendon. But they pick themselves up for another clash, this time against an equally exciting Brisbane Lions outfit. Leon Cameron’s side has a very impressive record over the Lions. With six wins and two losses, their win percentage of 75% is better than against any other AFL side. Chris Fagan’s young side keep on clocking up the wins but this week represents one of their toughest tasks for the year. Added to the fact that the Giants are 4-0 on the back of losses in 2019, they’ll certainly have their work cut out.

Tip: To get 30+ disposals: Stephen Coniglio @ $1.91