Round 8 of the 2021 AFL season saw a new premiership favourite emerge, while the finals hopes of one Victorian club continues to slide.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Cats make statement

There’s hardly been a more compelling statement made in 2021. Geelong, having lost to the Swans in Round 7, went in as $2.39 outsiders on Friday night against reigning premiers Richmond. The Tigers came into the clash on the back of a brilliant win over the highly fancied Dogs, and went in as deserved favourites. And when Damien Hardwick’s side booted the first three goals of the game, things were going to script.

However a stunning second half — including a seven goals to none third term — saw Geelong make one of the strongest statements against Richmond in four years. Recruit Jeremy Cameron’s six goals has made pundits question whether he’s the missing link to go one better in 2021. The win has moved them into outright AFL Premiership favouritism, stunningly moving from $9.50 pre-game now into $4.80 with Palmerbet.

Blues hopes dwindling

At 27 points up late in the third quarter against the Western Bulldogs, Carlton ($3.18 H2H) appeared set to claim their first big scalp of the 2021 AFL season. But, as they’ve done time and time again under David Teague, they surrendered the momentum as the Dogs kicked eight unanswered goals. The 16-point loss moves the Blues to 3-5, having lost three of their last four. And to make matters worse, they face the unbeaten, top-of-the-ladder Melbourne this Sunday. The Blues are already out to $3.75 to make the finals. Would 3-6 spell curtains?

The early market against Melbourne sees them start as $3.90 H2H outsiders at the MCG.

Macrae into single digits

One relatively unheralded Dog has slowly chipped away at his $26 pre-season Brownlow Medal price, and is now into $9. Jack Macrae’s eighth-straight 30+ disposal match sees him into fourth-favourite for the AFL’s biggest individual prize. No other player has racked up as many touches as Macrae this season (278), nor had as many effective disposals (218). His teammate Marcus Bontempelli surged again after another dominant performance (32 disposals, 1 goal), and is now the $5 equal-second Brownlow favourite.

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