Round 7 of the 2021 AFL season saw the nail though Collingwood’s year, while Richmond sent a timely reminder of why you should never, ever write them off.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Two pass test. One fails dismally

Going into Round 7, the heat was on Carlton, St Kilda and Collingwood. The three Victorian clubs had underdelivered to date and, each going in as favourites in their respective clashes, four points was non-negotiable to get their seasons back on track. Two of them passed the test; the Blues ($1.73 H2H with Palmerbet) defeating Essendon in a Sunday shootout, and the Saints ($1.61) comfortably accounting for the Hawks.

But Collingwood didn’t. In fact, they failed dismally. In going down to the Suns on Saturday afternoon (despite starting $1.49 favourites), their season is almost certainly over. Nathan Buckley’s side are now $8 to make the 2021 AFL Finals.

Overs finish with a bang

Round 7 finished with a flurry of goals, with two games that each smashed the pre-game Total Points line. The Carlton v Essendon (which finished with 230 points) was a whopping 44.5 points over the pre-game line (175.5), while the Derby in the west also finished on 205 points, also 44.5 points over the pre-game line of 160.5.

The Blues v Dons clash at the MCG was also comfortably the highest scoring clash of the 2021 AFL season to date.

Tigers send timely reminder

After a brilliant win over the previously undefeated Western Bulldogs in Round 7 (despite starting as $2.49 underdogs), Richmond would have been forgiven for asking the competition: ‘Remember us?’

While Richmond has proven, time and time again, that it can start a season slowly and accelerate through the gears, some pundits have exposed their very short memories. Take chief footy writer at the Herald Sun, Mark Robinson, for example. Last week he said the Tigers “can’t win” the 2021 AFL Premiership. That bold claim was duly extinguished after their dominant second half against the Dogs. Prior to Round 7, Damien Hardwick’s side were equal flag favourites with the Dogs and Power. But the performance on Friday night has now propelled them into outright favourites at $5.

Walsh just keeps getting better

Everyone knew 2018 number one draft pick Sam Walsh was going to be good. But not this good. Walsh has turned it on week in, week out for Carlton in 2021 — a level of consistency matched by few in the competition. His latest effort (33 disposals, eight clearances, one goal) will almost certainly result in three AFL Brownlow Medal votes, to bump up an already profitable year on that front. Walsh was again superb in the clinches on Sunday afternoon, and while not yet 21, again led the way for David Teague’s side. He started the season as an $81 Brownlow Medal hope but has motored into $15 with Palmerbet. Incredible.