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AFL – Round 6 in Review

Round 6 of the 2023 AFL season saw the Pies deliver in an Anzac Day stunner, the Cats return with a bang, and big questions asked of the Blues.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Daicos heads Pies’ Anzac Day surge

Just how good can this kid be?

In just his second year of AFL footy, Nick Daicos helped Collingwood overturn a 28-point deficit to win one of the best ever Anzac Day clashes in front of a record crowd of 95,179 at the MCG on Tuesday. The young star booted two goals and collected 40 disposals ($4.10 pre-match) to take home his first Anzac Day Medal ($3.50 favourite). Unsurprisingly, the Brownlow Medal favourite shortened further on the back of the effort. Prior to Round 6 the 20-year-old was a $3.70 fancy to take home the AFL’s highest individual honour later this year. After Tuesday’s effort, he had come in further, now at $2.40 with Palmerbet.

The game itself was a rinse-and-repeat job we’ve become accustomed to with this incredible Collingwood outfit. As $1.49 fancies pre-match they were expected to get the job done, but at almost five goals down early in the final term, Essendon ($2.57) were looking the goods. But a seven goals to none last quarter saw them romp home. They were even just a point off covering the pre-game line of -13.5. Craig McRae’s men remain equal $5.00 AFL Premiership favourites (alongside Melbourne) on the back of the win.

Cats back, Swans humbled

After going 0-3 on the back of AFL Premiership success, the knives quickly came out for Geelong. Questions emerged whether they had the hunger to go back-to-back. In short time, the Cats ballooned out from $5.50 flag favourites to $10. Three weeks later, after thumping wins of 82, 47 and 93 points respectively, it’s clear we probably should’ve given them a bit of leeway…

The Cats are back to $5.50 after the 93-point win over the Swans, who they thumped by 81 points  in last year’s big dance. The AFL Grand Final rematch was deja vu for the Bloods; bereft of ideas, beaten around the contest and monstered in their defensive 50 by Geelong’s dominant forwards. The result — which amounted to an incredible 77-point swing on the pre-game line with Palmerbet — was as damning on Sydney as it was dominant for the Cats. The Swans simply do not lose by those margins. In fact, they haven’t done so under John Longmire, nor this century. While last year they had a brilliant run with injuries, this year they have been decimated, in particular to their key backs.

Blues on notice as Harry struggles

They didn’t start as favourites ($2.05), and nor was it a thumping defeat, but Carlton’s defeat to St Kilda ($1.72) showed more deficiencies that were ruthlessly exposed by Adelaide in AFL Round Five. Despite boasting almost 90 more disposals compared with the dynamic Saints, Carlton’s ball movement was slow. Their entries inside 50 were glaringly inferior, too. Their lack of confidence is perhaps best summed up by the form of Harry McKay. The big forward again looked unconvincing snapping from big distances and dishing off gettable chances, and has kicked just nine goals in the first six rounds this AFL season, with four of those coming against North Melbourne. McKay started this season’s Coleman Medal — an award he won in 2021 — as equal-second favourite at $9.00 with Palmerbet. Now, he’s already out to $34.

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