If Round 2 of AFL season proved a testing one for punters, then Round 3 would prove even tougher, as the boilovers continued.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Upsets. Upsets everywhere
It started with the Hawks on Thursday night. Out by as much as $3, they turned the Tigers inside-out, prevailing by 32 points.
Then it was the Dogs; $2.30 head-to-head with the Giants, and another comfortable upset, this time by 24 points.
On Saturday afternoon the Swans ($2.50) accounted for North Melbourne and then came the biggest upset of AFL Round 3, as Carlton stunned the Cats in Geelong for the first time since 1996. David Teague’s side started as $5.50 outsiders yet held on in stunning fashion, no thanks to veteran Eddie Betts…
— AFL (@AFL) June 20, 2020
New flag favourite
There’s only one AFL club whose output has been consistently good in all three games in 2020, and that’s Collingwood. Nathan Buckley’s side were clinical in their 44-point win over the Saints on Saturday evening, and were one of just two sides to kick 80+ points over the course of the weekend. Deservedly, they’ve shortened from $6 into $5.50 in Palmerbet’s premiership market. Previous favourites Richmond moved from $5 to $6.50 after their loss to Hawthorn, meaning the Pies are the new top dogs with the bookies.
Final siren sounds. Solid afternoon at the office.
— Collingwood FC (@CollingwoodFC) June 20, 2020
We wrote last week that Adelaide were, after just two games, sudden AFL wooden spoon chances. Their clash against reigning spooners the Gold Coast Suns on Sunday was pitted as a real marker of where both sides were at. Could the Suns – who broke an 18-game losing streak with a win over the Eagles last week – turn it on again? Or would the Crows fight back after a week of intense media scrutiny? The answer was clear, as the young Suns outplayed their elder opponents all over the park. The 53-point margin was perhaps most pleasing as it was led by young stars Ben King (3 goals) and Matt Rowell (20 touches, 2 goals). Number one pick Rowell has been a revelation, and since the season restart has incredibly shortened from $3 to $1.10 for the AFL Rising Star award.
LEFT FOOT FROM OUTSIDE 50 🚀
Matthew Rowell is different. pic.twitter.com/zelybvTtxS
— 7AFL (@7AFL) June 21, 2020
While Round 2 saw seven of nine games finish above the ‘total points’ line, defensive structures certainly tightened in Round 3. Only ONE game finished higher than the line. That was Geelong v Carlton, where the 79-77 result comfortably covered the 130.5 total points line. Otherwise, all other games fell below. And by some margin. In six games across the weekend, total points were under 120. And while the shorter quarters this AFL season is one factor in this, the drop-off is still considerable.
We are going to see some obscenely low scores this year
— Daniel Cherny 📰 (@DanielCherny) June 11, 2020