Round 20 of the AFL season saw Geelong’s form slump continue while the in-form Brisbane and Richmond just keep on keeping on.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Sluggish Cats

What’s going on down at the Cattery? Since going into the bye at 11-1 – streets ahead of the competition – they’ve lost four of their last seven to be only just clinging to top spot on percentage. On the weekend they started $1.41 favourites with Palmerbet against a Fremantle side who had won just one game (a one-point thriller over the Swans) in their last six weeks.

But Geelong were completely overrun by the Dockers in the west, heaping more questions on their AFL premiership potential. At the aforementioned stage in the AFL season (where the Cats were 11-1), they were $3.00 premiership favourites. Now, however, they’ve been overtaken by both the Tigers and Eagles in that all important market, and are currently out to $4.50. Can they gather some momentum in the last three games before finals? The early market has them $1.30 favourites against North Melbourne back at home on Saturday night.

History repeating?

Speaking of Richmond, we’ve seen numerous stats in the last month that show some stark similarities between their 2017 and 2019 seasons. But this one (below) is almost getting ridiculous. If you believe in omens (and you support Richmond), it’s happy days. If you don’t, it’s a mere coincidence. Whatever the case, the Tigers remain $3.75 AFL premiership favourites  (now alongside West Coast) with Palmerbet after their comfortable 33-point win over the Dees on Saturday night.

Fagan’s youngsters march on

If the Cats have struggled post-bye, then the Lions have flourished. Their win against the Dogs on Sunday evening (which they started as $1.37 favourites with Palmerbet) was their SEVENTH on the bounce. The last time they did this, they won the AFL premiership. The Lions have come into genuine $7.00 AFL premiership chances on the back of the win (in from $8.50). They’re also now $1.09 to finish in the top four.

Brownlow watch

The big mover this weekend was the Dogs’ Marcus Bontempelli who (with 35 disposals, seven tackles, one goal) may have just snuck in another three votes for the AFL’s most prestigious individual honour. The performance moves him from $13 into $10 with Palmerbet. Is the smart money on the Bont now?

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