Round 19 of the AFL season saw Richmond and Brisbane continue their charge towards September while Collingwood and Adelaide’s woes continued.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
New premiership favourite
Ladies and gentlemen, we have a new flag favourite. Richmond, in comprehensively brushing aside Collingwood on Friday night, have moved ahead of Geelong as outright favourites with Palmerbet. Last week the Tigers were $5 to lift the cup in AFL season 2019. But their latest win (in which they started as $1.56 favourites) has seen them shorten into $3.70. The Cats remain at $4.00 after easing past the Swans by 27 points on Sunday afternoon.
Duck believes Richmond will be back on top come the last Saturday in September! pic.twitter.com/gcxww1FeQl
— Triple M Footy (@triplemfooty) July 28, 2019
Pie slide continues
The biggest mover, albeit in the opposite direction, is the Pies. Before round 19 they were out to $7 premiership chances after three losses in four games. But yet another defeat for Nathan Buckley’s side now sees them incredibly out to $13. Is their September run over before it started? While their price is down to form, compounding that is one of the AFL’s longest injury lists in recent times. If you include Jaidyn Stephenson’s suspension, the Pies currently have 20 players on the sidelines.
Jordan De Goey minor hamstring, Quaynor foot stress fracture. Two more injury blows. Now half of Collingwood’s side out unavailable. Full blown injury crisis. Geoff Walsh and Buckley would be losing their head. Injury review inevitable
— Jon Ralph (@RalphyHeraldSun) July 28, 2019
While the last month could hardly have gone any worse for Buckley, at least he has an ally in Don Pyke. In succumbing to Carlton on Saturday afternoon – despite starting as $1.52 favourites – Adelaide are also in crisis mode. Underlining Adelaide’s predicament is this stat: After their bye in round 14, the Crows were a short $1.05 to finish in the top eight this AFL season. Four losses in five, and Pyke’s troops are out to $2.00. Their draw reads: St Kilda (home), West Coast (away), Collingwood (home) and Western Bulldogs (away). Their season, if it wasn’t official already, is on a knife’s edge.
This passage of play highlights exactly why the Crows are so easy to score against from an opposition’s back 50. No leg speed/pressure, Blues cutting through with ease. #AFLBluesCrows pic.twitter.com/mwnyyTkmKI
— Ben Waterworth (@bjwaterworth) July 27, 2019
King: If you haven't got a point of difference, you are vanilla and are easily defeated. Adelaide is vanilla. Fremantle is vanilla. Melbourne is vanilla.
— Whateley (@WhateleySEN) July 28, 2019
Big men cash in
It was certainly a weekend for the AFL’s big men, with key forwards dominating the headlines. Eagle Josh Kennedy kicked seven (including his 600th AFL goal), while in-form Tiger Tom Lynch and big Cat Tom Hawkins both kicked five. But Giant Jeremy Cameron (three goals) actually extended his lead in the Coleman medal tally. Eight ahead at the end of round 18, Cameron is now nine ahead after North Melbourne’s Ben Brown kicked just two between the big sticks. Cameron is now $1.10 in Palmerbet’s Coleman market. You can get on Brown ($10), Lynch and Hawkins (both $11) if you fancy them to rapidly chase down the deficit in the remaining rounds.
CONGRATULATIONS JOSH KENNEDY!!!!!! pic.twitter.com/XehvBCQGvS
— West Coast Eagles (@WestCoastEagles) July 27, 2019