Round 16 of the 2021 AFL season saw Richmond’s woes worsen, while West Coast’s horror record in Geelong continued – this time against the Swans.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Tiger troubles continue
We asked last week whether Richmond’s quest for a threepeat was done, and Round 16 provided more damning evidence to suggest it might be. The 10-point loss, to the lowly Gold Coast, in Melbourne, in a clash they started $1.14 favourites with Palmerbet, makes for grim reading for coach Damien Hardwick. Pre-game he said the clash was their most important match of the season. But the reigning premiers stuttered to a side that themselves have failed to impress in season 2021.
Not only is Richmond’s AFL premiership defence in trouble, but finals may be too. Less than a month ago, the Tigers were as short as $1.06 to make a fifth-straight finals series. Now? They’re at a much less certain $1.50. The dynasty might not be over yet, but it’s on very shaky ground. The Tigers are also out to $13 for the flag – the longest they’ve been all season.
Richmond are now out of the eight. And play Geelong, Brisbane, Freo away, GWS away plus improving Hawthorn and Collingwood as well as the Roos. It’s no cushy run home. With Prestia, Lambert, Balta, Broad, Houli out it’s hard to make the case they make the eight.
— Jon Ralph (@RalphyHeraldSun) July 3, 2021
Highway to hell
West Coast aren’t fond of going down the highway from Melbourne to Geelong. We knew this before they stepped out onto the track yesterday against the Swans in a Covid-forced fixture change. Prior to Sunday their last four performances at the venue resulted in losses of 97, 58, 44 and 75 points respectively to the Cats. Betting was more or less even prior to the first bounce, with Adam Simpson’s side marginal $1.95 outsiders. What was to come, however, was a brutal audit on where they’re currently at. The Swans dominated from the outset, winning the contested footy and when they got their hands one it, used it far cleaner than the Eagles. The Bloods had EIGHT multiple goal kickers. “They look a little devoid of confidence and very, very worried, West Coast,” Hawks great Jason Dunstall said during coverage on Fox Footy.
— AFL (@AFL) July 4, 2021
Brownlow-watch this week yet again focuses on Essendon’s Darcy Parish, who won a THIRD best-on-ground medal this year. You can all but pencil in nine votes for those games, plus more for his other performances in what’s been a brilliantly consistent season. It’s now without doubt he is the AFL’s most improved player in 2021, and perhaps the biggest improved player (in such a short period of time) in recent years. Let’s not forgot he was a $501 Brownlow shot at the start of the season. His Friday night effort brought him in even further, from $9 into $6 with Palmerbet.
Darcy Parish the first footballer in VFL-AFL history to win the Anzac Day Medal, Yiooken Award and the Tom Wills Medal in the one season. In all seriousness, what a big-game player. Truck forecast 30 per cent improvement this year and it has been more like 200. Well done, Darcy.
— Sam Landsberger 🗯 (@SamLandsberger) July 2, 2021
Slimmer than a glimmer?
Back-to-back wins for Carlton has provided much-needed relief for coach David Teague. Could they now even be an outside AFL Finals hope? The Blues have shortened from $21 into $5 to make the AFL Top 8 on the back of victories against Adelaide and, in Round 16, Fremantle — a clash they started as marginal $1.85 favourites in.
Carlton have kept their season alive and denied a surging Fremantle a golden opportunity to break into the top eight, with Sam Walsh kicking a brilliant winner with two minutes to play.@agerealfooty https://t.co/K6h9tlZD3I
— The Age (@theage) July 3, 2021