Round 16 of the AFL season saw Geelong continue their dominance, the Dogs get a dream run of results, and the Brownlow favourite shorten yet again.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Cats’ killer instinct
Going into their Sunday afternoon clash against Essendon, most expected Chris Scott’s Geelong side to get the job done. And the markets reflected that – the Cats starting as $1.28 favourites with Palmerbet. Few, however, expected the game to be done halfway through the first quarter. Not many teams have shot out of the blocks like the Cats in Round 16, kicking five goals before the halfway point of the opening term. From there they cruised, easing to a sixth win on the bounce.
Quite simply, the Cats are purring. And they’ve shortened further in the AFL premiership market, now into $3.90.
Duck believes the Cats are outright flag favourites after today's performance 💪 pic.twitter.com/ZFoKBJQVsb
— Triple M Footy (@triplemfooty) September 6, 2020
The biggest question now for Geelong, while a good one to have, is just how they bring back their guns. With Joel Selwood, Gary Ablett, Zach Tuohy and Rhys Stanley still on the sidelines, how will Scott bring them back into a winning side? AFL legend Jonathan Brown said, with just two games to go, it was a “concern”. “The question mark for me with Geelong, and they’re a terrific side, but with Stanley, Tuohy, Ablett and Selwood, can you fit those boys back in?” Brown said on Fox Footy’s On The Couch. “Is that going to disrupt the Geelong team? That’s a slight concern for mine. They’re terrific players and I think they all come straight back in, but that’s for worry.”
Whatever Scott decides, what’s clear is that the Cats deserve their current top billing.
They start as strong favourites in Friday night’s blockbuster against second-favourites for the flag Richmond. Click here for all the markets on that clash.
It's tough to pick a winner on Friday night between Geelong and Richmond, such is the evenness of both sides.
— Footy on Nine (@FootyonNine) September 9, 2020
Dogs do a Bradbury
Things could hardly have gone better for the Dogs in AFL Round 16. Firstly, they overcame West Coast in a game they opened as underdogs (but by the first bounce were marginal favourites). But then, more surprisingly, their fellow Top 8 hopefuls crumbled around them. Melbourne went in as $1.45 favourites against Fremantle but, as they done time and time again, failed when the stakes were high. Then, to top off an incredible round for Dogs coach Luke Beveridge and his team, the Giants (who went in $1.31 favourites) lost out to the bottom-placed Crows.
In less than two weeks the Dogs have come in from $2.80 to now be $1.62 finals hopes.
A captain's goal by Marcus Bontempelli with just minutes to go gave the Dogs the lead and the win over the Eagles.
Match report 👇#AFLDogsEagles
— AFL (@AFL) September 6, 2020
Lion roars further ahead
Ahead of Wednesday night’s QClash, Brisbane midfielder Lachie Neale was already a $1.25 AFL Brownlow Medal favourite, having shortened almost every week of the 2020 season. And after a dominant 33-disposal effort against their nearby rivals, is now into $1.20 with Palmerbet. The shortest ever priced Brownlow favourite was Dustin Martin in 2017, who was an incredible $1.05 before the count. Second is Patrick Dangerfield, who the year before was $1.16 to salute.
Just how short will Neale be before football’s night of nights?
— 7AFL (@7AFL) September 9, 2020