Round 15 of the AFL season saw a host of upsets that showed, yet again, that no result is safe in an even-natured year of footy.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Of the nine games over the course of Round 15, four were won by a considerable underdog in Palmerbet’s head-to-head market. They include: Carlton ($3.64 pre-game), Western Bulldogs ($3.42), North Melbourne ($3.23) and Essendon ($2.52). The biggest of these was saved for last. On Sunday evening, Carlton gave its long-suffering faithful the best moment of an otherwise dour season – a Marc Murphy goal with 35 seconds on the clock sealed just their third win. Cue scenes in Perth.
MARC MURPHY YOU STAR!
— AFL (@AFL) June 30, 2019
New coach bounce
Two of those upset wins were under interim coaches – Rhyce Shaw at North Melbourne and David Teague at Carlton. Both have had a huge impact since taking over their beleaguered clubs (Shaw three wins in four, Teague two wins in three). In beating second-placed Collingwood by an incredible 44 points, the Roos are suddenly – almost inexplicably – back in the finals hunt. After round nine they were $18 to finish in the top eight with Palmerbet, but after Saturday night’s result find themselves just one game out of the AFL finals’ spots and into $6.50. A sneaky chance?
In a similar vein, at 1-10 the Blues found themselves a short $1.35 in Palmerbet’s ‘least season wins market’. But the two wins under Teague, which has brought them level with Gold Coast on 12 points, sees that market change considerably. The Blues are now $5 in that market, with the Suns into $1.20.
Rhyce Shaw and David Teague have made an instant impact. Now Nick Riewoldt thinks North Melbourne and Carlton should consider them as full-time options, just like Sydney did when Paul Roos was a caretaker coach in 2002.https://t.co/1McX8KcSCq pic.twitter.com/i9BcdKMYkD
— FOX FOOTY (@FOXFOOTY) June 30, 2019
Log-jam for finals
That loss, at home nonetheless, has put a square dent in Freo’s AFL finals hopes. Before round 15 Ross Lyon’s side were $1.85 to make the finals. The last-gasp loss sees them now out to $2.68. Similarly for Port Adelaide, who went down to the Dogs in the wet, their hopes for September action were hit in what was pencilled down as four points. Ken Hinkley’s side have lengthened from $1.60 to $2.25.
Courageous win by the Blues…great scenes after the game. How much is that going to hurt Freo’s finals chances? Going to be a big buildup to derby 50 this week.
— Adam Papalia (@adampaps) June 30, 2019
The early market has the Dockers as $3.18 outsiders in the aforementioned Derby 50.
We have a new AFL Brownlow Medal favourite. With Carlton’s Patrick Cripps on the sidelines, Tim Kelly’s 33-disposal, two-goal effort against Adelaide – a performance that will almost certainly get him two or three votes – has moved into outright $3.25 favourite. The Cats midfield star is ahead of his nearest rivals at $5 (Lachie Neale and Nat Fyfe) with Palmerbet.
— SEN 1116 (@1116sen) June 28, 2019