Round 14 of the AFL season saw the premiership favourites toppled, while the Swans continued their strong recent form.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Bye hoodoo lives on
Going into Saturday evening’s clash, Geelong had lost its past seven games immediately following the mid-season bye. Was this sheer coincidence, or do the Cats genuinely have an issue coming off a break? Whatever it is, speculation will continue that it’s the latter, as they lost yet again following the layoff. Going in as $1.47 favourites with Palmerbet against Port Adelaide, the Cats lost just their second games of the year in an arm-wrestle with Ken Hinkley’s side. But despite the loss, Geelong’s AFL premiership price remained constant. They would start the clash as $3.60 flag hopes with Palmerbet, and remain there on Monday morning. And while it was a disappointing result, Cats fans are likely to be singing the song again very soon…
— Swamp (@sirswampthing) June 22, 2019
Young Swans continue charge
We posed a few weeks ago whether the Swans seemingly ultra-quick rebuild would happen in time for a finals berth. After a strong win over the Hawks on Friday night (in which they started as $1.54 favourites), the Swans’ outside chances for the top eight have shortened again (click here for updated market price). At 5-8, it’s still a very tough proposition, but with games against Gold Coast, Essendon and Carlton to come, 8-8 isn’t out of the equation.
John Longmire’s side have now won four of their last six games, including honourable losses to AFL premiership favourites Geelong and Collingwood. Their latest win was soured by an injury to star forward Buddy Franklin, but was tempered by the fact first-year gun Nick Blakey kicked two final-quarter goals to ice the win. With that (and a likely rising star nomination this round), Blakey has shifted into $29 for the 2019 AFL Rising Star award. An outside hope?
Lance Franklin was ruled out of the game at three quarter time, and then Nick Blakey just dominated the last quarter!
— AFL (@AFL) June 21, 2019
Pressure on Saints
For much of 2019, the Saints have belied pre-season predictions and injury troubles to receive a pass-mark from most quarters of the AFL world. And after a blistering start to the year at 4-1, they were even considerable chances to make the finals. At that stage, they were into $1.90 with Palmerbet to be there in September. But this has began to change in recent weeks as the losses have mounted (click here to see the Saints’ updated finals odds). And a 56-point loss to the Lions on the weekend has turned up the blowtorch. While the Saints went in as slight $2.15 outsiders with Palmerbet, few were expecting them to roll over like they did in the third quarter, conceding nine goals to one. Will the Saints now follow Carlton and North Melbourne in sacking their senior coach?
"I feel for Richo. It's a blood sport. The narrative is he's lined up. Their expectations are too high. Hopefully they don't fall off a cliff. I don't think their list is great. I think his papers have been stamped."
— RSN Breakfast Club (@RSNBreakfast) June 24, 2019