Round 13 of the 2021 AFL season was a tipster’s nightmare as a host of underdogs saluted, while a shock loss to the Swans kept the Top 8 door slightly ajar.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

One for the outsiders

Round 13 was one for the underdogs. Marginal outsiders West Coast ($2.25 head-to-head) and Adelaide ($2.00) edged nail biters, while $4.00 North Melbourne could and arguably should have defeated the Giants, but were forced to settle for the draw on Sunday night. Then on Monday, in the round’s biggest moment, $4.60 Collingwood saw off departing coach Nathan Buckley in style.

However the biggest underdogs of the AFL season’s second bye round to salute were Hawthorn. Few gave the $5.50 Hawks a shot against the Swans at home, but an Alastair Clarkson masterclass saw them salute in style. Not only did they claim the four points at the SCG, but in running out 38-point winners covered the pre-game line (+31.5) by more than 10 goals. And it was one performance that stood out on Friday night…

Swans open door…Giants fail to walk through

That lacklustre performance by Sydney appeared to have made things interesting in season 2021. The Swans were widely expected to go 9-4 as they started $1.15 favourites against the Hawks. Instead, they’ve gone 8-5 and appeared have opened the door for other AFL clubs to squeeze inside the Top 8. The most likely of these was crosstown rivals the Giants, who were widely tipped to ease past North Melbourne, and started as $1.25 favourites. But Leon Cameron’s men could only manage a draw on Sunday night in Hobart. And it was as good as a loss, as they remain two games and (considerable) percentage outside the AFL Top 8.

This is reflecting in futures markets; the Giants moved from $3.00 finals hopes (pre-game), now out to $4.00 with Palmerbet.

Jezza leads the way

It was Jeremy Cameron — again — that shone on the big stage for Geelong as they secured a key victory in Round 13. Cameron’s three goals in the last quarter saw the Cats overrun Port Adelaide on enemy territory. The win sent them a game clear inside the AFL Top 4. Chris Scott’s side are now $1.40 to remain there come season’s end.

And while they have shortened slightly in premiership betting on the back of the win ($6.50 into $5.50), it was Cameron who’s done some moving himself. After missing the first five games of 2021 with injury, the star forward was an outside $21 hope to claim the Coleman Medal. Now, after five goals against the Power, he is closing the gap, and into $12.