Round 10 of the AFL season again showed us the even-nature of this year’s competition, with all nine games decided by 31 points or less.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Blowout void

Usually at this stage of the season, the frontrunners put their foot down with commanding wins. And on the weekend, that threatened to be the case. Ladder-leaders Geelong went up to the Gold Coast expecting a big win (and gave up a 34.5 point headstart with Palmerbet), but the disciplined Suns kept them within that figure. And this was replicated throughout the round. Hawthorn’s 31-point win over the Power was the biggest of the weekend. The tightest victory, of course, was saved til last…

Giants buck MCG trend

We spoke last week about the Giants’ poor record at the MCG, where they’d won just two of 16 games in their short AFL history. But on Sunday, Leon Cameron’s boys ($1.53 pre-game with Palmerbet) made it three with a comprehensive win over Melbourne. Their 26-point win could have been much larger, only for the Dees to kick back in junk time. But by then the game was all but done – a first half mauling from the Giants proving the Dees undoing. They kicked 10 of the first 11 goals of the game, as Melbourne fans flooded the exit rows early. Harry Himmelberg (career best five goals) was the start for GWS, and there was no shortage of praise for the athletic forward.

The Giants move into $6.50 flag chances, as they firm as the biggest challenger (at this stage) to the Cats and Pies ($3.75 and $4 respectively).

Eagles sound warning

Speaking of the premiership, 2018 flag winners West Coast sounded a warning to the rest of the AFL competition with a brilliant win in Adelaide. The in-form Crows had won their last three at home, and at one stage shot out to a 33-point lead. But as good sides do, Adam Simpson’s troops pegged them back, and in the final minutes where they banged in a further two goals to seal a brilliant win. With it, they moved from $2 top-four hopes into $1.50.

Are the Saints still finals chances?

St Kilda’s win over Carlton on Sunday afternoon has put them back in the finals frame. But only just. The four points has shortened them from $6 into $5 to make the top-eight.

The Saints’ season can be characterised by two halves. After starting 4-1, Alan Richardson’s side surprisingly shifted into $1.90 finals’ hopes. But four-straight losses saw them out to the aforementioned $6 mark. They face a huge fight to squeeze into the top eight, but with Port Adelaide, Gold Coast and Brisbane to come, have a chance to continue accruing points in the coming weeks.

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