Round 10 of the 2021 AFL season was a truly mixed bag, with two one-point nail-biters and two huge blowouts that could have wider ramifications.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Dees run ends
After their best start to a season (9-0) since the 1950s, Melbourne looked almost certain to go 10-0 in Round 10. Up against an Adelaide side that had lost five in a row and were $5.30 outsiders to break the duck, Simon Goodwin’s men were highly-fancied on Saturday afternoon. But a brilliant (and controversial) final quarter saw the Crows home by the smallest of margins. The loss, however, has hardly affected AFL Futures markets. Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs are still two games clear of Geelong in third, and it leaves things nicely poised in premiership betting…
— AFL (@AFL) May 22, 2021
As it turns out, three of the top four are all equal in the flag market with Palmerbet at the conclusion of Round 10. Melbourne, Western Bulldogs and Brisbane are all $5.50 (as of Monday morning) to take home the 2021 AFL Premiership. Geelong sits only just behind the trio, at $6 with Palmerbet. The Lions were superb in their Friday night win over Richmond and competes a brilliant period where they’ve won six in a row. Chris Fagan’s side have come in from $15 in a stunning form reversal.
— Footy on Nine (@FootyonNine) May 21, 2021
At the other end of the spectrum is St Kilda, who were thrashed to the tune of 11 point by the Dogs on Saturday night. It was just 12 matches ago that the Saints beat the same opponent in an elimination final. But in half an AFL season, things have swung dramatically. The loss was their third by 75+ points this year, and underlined the side’s current output. One week okay, the next horrid. And it’s reflected in the markets. At one time $1.83 AFL Finals hopes, Brett Ratten’s men are now way out to $5.00.
"Something lacking mentally" 🤔
Kingy and Joey unravel St Kilda’s ‘blown season’ #FirstCrack
— Fox Footy (@FOXFOOTY) May 23, 2021
Bont goes clear
Star Dog Marcus Bontempelli, for the first time in 2021, has gone clear in Brownlow Medal betting. At the start of Round 10 the gun midfielder was equal with Melbourne’s Christian Petracca at $4.50. But another stellar performance on Saturday night (26 disposals, 4 goals) — with almost certain votes — has seen him shorten again, into $3.75.
Bont the best, "staggering" MRO findings, Hardwick on a whinge rant, and lost Saints https://t.co/D3F8aScX7O
— Damian Barrett (@barrettdamian) May 23, 2021