With nine rounds to go in the 2019 season, we take a look at the big movers in AFL futures markets. Who has shortened, and who has blown out?

Thirteen games down, nine to go. So, where do we sit?

With the bye rounds now out of the way, it’s time to have a look at the movers and shakers in Palmerbet’s AFL futures markets.

Premiership Winner

I suppose it’s no revelation to say that Geelong has been the biggest mover in this market. But a closer look at their price shifts reveals a telling story. After starting the season as $15 hopes with Palmerbet, the Cats have shortened almost every single week and, as of now, are into $3.30 – the shortest they’ve been all year.

A big mover in the other direction is Richmond. After a horror start to the year that saw star defender Alex Rance injured in the first round, the Tigers have suffered a host of injuries that has been accompanied with a loss in form. Damien Hardwick’s side started the season as $5 premiership favourites, but are now out to $18.

Other notable movers (pre-season to now)

  • Collingwood: $5 > $3.75
  • GWS: $15 > $5.50
  • Melbourne: $6.50 > $101

Top 8

We’ll start with one of the good news stories of the year, and that’s Brisbane. Chris Fagan’s young side have been a breath of fresh air in AFL season 2019. They started the year as $3.40 chances to make the finals but, at 8-5, are currently $1.30.

The side that has moved in the complete opposite direction is Melbourne. After an incredible 2018 that saw them make last season’s AFL preliminary final, they were a sure thing to make the eight in 2019. Or so we thought. From starting the season at a short $1.20, the Dees are way out to $13.

Other notable movers (pre-season to now)

  • Hawthorn: $2.10 > $8
  • Adelaide: $1.50 > $1.05
  • Fremantle: $3.80 > $1.85

Brownlow Medal

The overriding theme in the Palmerbet’s Brownlow Medal market is that many of the pre-season favourites have maintained their positions as the fancied players to take Charlie home. We’ll start with Blues skipper Patrick Cripps ($8.00). Cripps started the season as the $7 favourite, and he’s almost certain to claim three votes in memorable performances against Gold Coast, Collingwood and Brisbane respectively. He started alongside Nat Fyfe and ever so slightly ahead of Patrick Dangerfield at $7.50, who both remain as strong chances. Fyfe is now into $5, while Dangerfield trails him alongside Cripps at $8.

However undoubtedly the biggest mover of the season has been Geelong’s Tim Kelly. The superstar midfielder was oh-so-close to going back home to WA in the off-season, but remained at the Cats where he has gone from strength to strength. Kelly started the season at a juicy $71 with Palmerbet but has come right into $3.25 and is now outright favourite.

Other notable movers (pre-season to now)

  • Brodie Grundy (Collingwood): $41 > $10
  • Clayton Oliver (Melbourne): $20 > $81
  • Stephen Coniglio (GWS): $31 > $19

Coleman Medal

It’s all about one man in the Coleman Medal market. GWS star forward Jeremy Cameron has taken the market by the scruff of the neck after booting 30 goals in the opening seven rounds. He started the AFL season as a $18 chance with Palmerbet, and is now a strong $1.75 favourite. But his form has somewhat cooled in recent weeks, and the main men chasing him are Tom Hawkins ($15 into $2.75) and Ben Brown ($7 into $5).

Other notable movers (pre-season to now)

  • Josh Kennedy (West Coast): $4.20 > $10
  • Lance Franklin (Sydney): $5 > $151
  • Tom Lynch (Richmond): $9 > 21