After a deep dive through the archives, we’ve found the top 10 upsets on head-to-head AFL markets from the last 10 years. Enjoy!

10. Geelong ($1.07) def by Sydney Swans ($8.35)

Margin: 13 points

Venue: Simmons Stadium

Date: August 27, 2011

By Round 23 of the 2011 season (one in which Geelong would eventually claim the premiership), the Cats had lost just two games. Perhaps the toughest task in AFL footy at the time was playing away to Chris Scott’s side. And given they had won their last two matches at the ground by a combined margin of 336 points, the Bloods had their work cut out. But a vintage performance by the Swans old guard, including Adam Goodes and Jude Bolton, would see them home in a famous win.

9. Hawthorn ($1.07) def by Port Adelaide ($8.64)

Margin: 22 points

Venue: Etihad Stadium

Date: August 21, 2015

Similarly to the Cats, the Hawks would go on to win the 2015 flag – but not after conceding what seemed an ‘unlosable’ game late in the home and away rounds. Led by a Chad Wingard special (four goals), the victory was bittersweet for Power fans, knowing their club was capable of an effort that had been glaringly lacking throughout the season. They would eventually finish only just outside the finals spots, in ninth.

8. Adelaide ($1.06) def by Melbourne ($8.79)

Margin: 3 points

Venue: Adelaide Oval

Date: May 3, 2014

Going into this clash, the Dees had incredibly lost their last 17 AFL games in Adelaide. But three crucial goals to Chris Dawes would see them home in a famous win.

7. GWS Giants ($10.17) def Sydney Swans ($1.05)

Margin: 32 points

Venue: Spotless Stadium

Date: Mar 15, 2014

Coming off two straight wooden spoons (and having won just three AFL games in those seasons), the Giants were given no chance again their cross-town rivals in the season opener. The last time they’d met, John Longmire’s side had towelled them up to the tune of 129 points. But the narrative shifted on this day; an upset that started a now testy rivalry between the two.

6. Port Adelaide ($1.05) def by Gold Coast Suns ($10.58)

Margin: 3 points

Venue: AAMI Stadium

Date: April 23, 2011

While some had predicted they’d go winless in their inaugural season of AFL football, the Suns claimed their first ever victory in Round 5 against the Power. Trailing by 40 points late in the third quarter, Guy McKenna’s side staged a stunning comeback. Port Adelaide’s Justin Westoff had the chance after the siren to snatch the win, but missed. While they would lose their next game to Essendon by 139 points, at least they had this win to savour…

5. Essendon ($1.04) def by Brisbane Lions ($10.82)

Margin: 10 points

Venue: Etihad Stadium

Date: May 18, 2013

With 18 lead changes, this was a modern day AFL classic that the Lions edged thanks to a match-sealing goal from Brent Staker. Playing his first game for two seasons following troublesome knee injuries, the Lions utility guided one through from 45m out on the boundary line to seal a famous win.

4. Essendon ($1.04) def by Melbourne ($10.88)

Margin: 6 points

Venue: MCG

Date: June 2, 2012

Staring down the barrel of a 0-10 start to the season – what would have been its worst since 1919 – the Dees and in particular new coach Mark Neeld were desperate for four points to ease the burden on the embattled club. And Neeld got his wish, edging past a wasteful Essendon where no one had given them a chance.

3. St Kilda ($11.96) def Fremantle ($1.03)

Margin: 58 points

Venue: Etihad Stadium

Date: July 19, 2014

In a monumental upset, AFL premiership fancies Fremantle were not only beaten but smashed to the tune of 58 points to eventual wooden spooners St Kilda. Managing just five goals to three-quarter time, Ross Lyon’s side were decidedly poor in Docklands. Even Saints coach Alan Richardson admitted post match: “I didn’t see that coming”.

2. Sydney Swans ($1.02) def b Gold Coast Suns ($12.27)

Margin: 24 points

Venue: SCG

Date: July 21, 2018

Starting the game as unbackable favourites and taking a 29-point lead into quarter time, not even the most optimistic of souls would think the Suns could keep the margin against the Swans below 10 goals, let alone come back and win. But they did, and many called it the upset of the decade. To this day it remains the Suns’ only win over the Bloods.

1. Gold Coast Suns ($13.60) def Carlton ($1.02)

Margin: 12 points

Venue: Metricon Stadium

Date: August 25, 2012

The biggest upset of the last decade of AFL saw the lowly Suns, who had registered just two wins leading into this Round 22 clash, face a Carlton side on the brink of finals footy. The question wasn’t whether the Blues would win, but rather how much they could boost their percentage. Their dreams, however, were dashed when an inspired Gold Coast side sealed their (then) most famous win to date. While Carlton was a club somewhat familiar with embarrassing efforts from prior seasons, this one took the cake.

*All odds correct prior to first bounce in each game, found here