We’re just three games into season 2020, but there’s already been some big movers in Palmerbet’s AFL futures markets. Who’s impressed and who’s blown out?
There’s only one club thus far into 2020 that punters truly ‘trust’. And that’s the Pies. Consistent output in the first three rounds has seen Nathan Buckley’s side deservedly shift into premiership favouritism, shortening from $6.50 at the season re-start now into $5.50. They’ve overtaken the Tigers, whose shaky effort against the Hawks on Thursday night sees them from $5 out to $6.50.
— AFL (@AFL) June 20, 2020
To Make the Grand Final
The biggest mover in this market is Port Adelaide, who are the only AFL club sitting pretty on three wins from three. The Power combined a Showdown stunner in Round 2 with a clinical effort in the wet on the weekend, and their hopes of making the Grand Final have shortened from $10 into $4.50. They’ve also more than halved their flag odds, from $21 (pre-Showdown) into $10.
— Kane Cornes (@kanecornes) June 18, 2020
It’s no secret who’s been the most lacklustre side this season – and their effort (or lack of) has been reflected in the markets. Adelaide went into AFL Round 2 at $10 in Palmerbet’s ‘Least Wins’ market but at the conclusion of Round 3, after being soundly beaten by the Gold Coast Suns, are now into $1.83. A horror start to the season for new coach Matthew Nicks.
Essendon: Well we've had the worst week.
Adelaide: Watch this.#AFLSunsCrows
— Titus O'Reily (@TitusOReily) June 21, 2020
Dead set witches hats, Adelaide.
— Daniel Harford (@HarfSerious) June 21, 2020
It’s neck and neck, probably unsurprisingly, at this early stage of the season in the Brownlow market. There’s a three-way tie for favouritism, with Nat Fyfe, Patrick Cripps and Lachie Neale all currently at $6. A relatively quiet start to the season, plus a rib complaint, has seen 2017 winner Dustin Martin lengthen from $8 to $13. But few will be surprised if (or even when) he comes back into the reckoning. Other keys moves (since the AFL season re-start) are:
- Tom Mitchell ($10 > $18)
- Marcus Bontempelli ($11 > $18)
- Tim Kelly ($15 > $34)
- Steele Sidebottom ($41 > $21)
Another BOG performance from Lachie Neale against the Eagles! He's unstoppable at the moment 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Sh5wV7yl9G
— Triple M Footy (@triplemfooty) June 21, 2020
Not a whole lot of movement in the Coleman Medal market, especially given the leading goalkicker is the Giants’ Harry Perryman on just eight. One below him in outright second is Lions livewire Charlie Cameron, who has come in from $17 to $7 – perhaps reflective of the fact he will get plenty of service this season such is the dominance of the Lions’ midfield. Tom Lynch remains favourite at $5, in front of Jeremy Cameron ($6), Ben Brown and Cameron (both $7).
Other key moves (since the AFL season re-start) are:
- Josh Kennedy ($9 > $10)
- Tom Hawkins ($13 > $17)
- Jake Stringer ($51 > $34)
- Tom Papley ($81 > $41)
— AFL (@AFL) June 11, 2020
Really, it’s all one man. Unsurprisingly, the Suns’ Matt Rowell has shortened to almost unbackable odds in the AFL Rising Star market. Already a $3 favourite at the season re-start, Rowell has come into $1.10 after performances in Round 2 and 3 that could very well see him poll six Brownlow Medal votes. A star has well and truly been born.
Fewest career games before polling perfect 10s in the @AFLCoaches votes twice
3 – MATT ROWELL
20 – Adam Cooney
21 – Patrick Cripps
24 – Tim Kelly, Dayne Zorko
27 – Dustin Martin, James Worpel
— Swamp (@sirswampthing) June 22, 2020
Is Matt Rowell going to get tagged in his 4th game 😂
— Mitch Robinson (@MitchRobinson05) June 21, 2020