We’re just three games into season 2020, but there’s already been some big movers in Palmerbet’s AFL futures markets. Who’s impressed and who’s blown out?


There’s only one club thus far into 2020 that punters truly ‘trust’. And that’s the Pies. Consistent output in the first three rounds has seen Nathan Buckley’s side deservedly shift into premiership favouritism, shortening from $6.50 at the season re-start now into $5.50. They’ve overtaken the Tigers, whose shaky effort against the Hawks on Thursday night sees them from $5 out to $6.50.

The Giants, too, have failed to impress thus far this AFL season. They’re out from $7.50 into $10, while the impressive Lions have shortened from $15 into $10.

To Make the Grand Final

The biggest mover in this market is Port Adelaide, who are the only AFL club sitting pretty on three wins from three. The Power combined a Showdown stunner in Round 2 with a clinical effort in the wet on the weekend, and their hopes of making the Grand Final have shortened from $10 into $4.50. They’ve also more than halved their flag odds, from $21 (pre-Showdown) into $10.

Least Wins

It’s no secret who’s been the most lacklustre side this season – and their effort (or lack of) has been reflected in the markets. Adelaide went into AFL Round 2 at $10 in Palmerbet’s ‘Least Wins’ market but at the conclusion of Round 3, after being soundly beaten by the Gold Coast Suns, are now into $1.83. A horror start to the season for new coach Matthew Nicks.

Brownlow Medal

It’s neck and neck, probably unsurprisingly, at this early stage of the season in the Brownlow market. There’s a three-way tie for favouritism, with Nat Fyfe, Patrick Cripps and Lachie Neale all currently at $6. A relatively quiet start to the season, plus a rib complaint, has seen 2017 winner Dustin Martin lengthen from $8 to $13. But few will be surprised if (or even when) he comes back into the reckoning. Other keys moves (since the AFL season re-start) are:

  • Tom Mitchell ($10 > $18)
  • Marcus Bontempelli ($11 > $18)
  • Tim Kelly ($15 > $34)
  • Steele Sidebottom ($41 > $21)

Coleman Medal

Not a whole lot of movement in the Coleman Medal market, especially given the leading goalkicker is the Giants’ Harry Perryman on just eight. One below him in outright second is Lions livewire Charlie Cameron, who has come in from $17 to $7 – perhaps reflective of the fact he will get plenty of service this season such is the dominance of the Lions’ midfield. Tom Lynch remains favourite at $5, in front of Jeremy Cameron ($6), Ben Brown and Cameron (both $7).

Other key moves (since the AFL season re-start) are:

  • Josh Kennedy ($9 > $10)
  • Tom Hawkins ($13 > $17)
  • Jake Stringer ($51 > $34)
  • Tom Papley ($81 > $41)

Rising Star

Really, it’s all one man. Unsurprisingly, the Suns’ Matt Rowell has shortened to almost unbackable odds in the AFL Rising Star market. Already a $3 favourite at the season re-start, Rowell has come into $1.10 after performances in Round 2 and 3 that could very well see him poll six Brownlow Medal votes. A star has well and truly been born.