Round 15 of the 2022 AFL season will see, for just the fifth time since the top-eight system was introduced in 1994, all eight teams play one another in what’s set to be a huge round of footy.
Thursday 23rd June, 19:20 (AEST)
|J.Harmes, H.Petty, S.May||B||J.Payne, H.Andrews, M.Adams|
|HB||J.Jordon, J.Lever, C.Salem||HB||B.Starcevich, D.Rich, N.Answerth|
|C||A.Brayshaw, C.Petracca, E.Langdon||C||J.Berry, T.Berry, H.McCluggage|
|HF||B.Brown, B.Fritsch, T.Sparrow||HF||C.Rayner, E.Hipwood, L.McCarthy|
|F||A.Neal-Bullen, S.Weideman, C.Spargo||F||D.McStay, J.Daniher, C.Cameron|
|FOL||L.Jackson, C.Oliver, J.Viney||FOL||O.McInerney, J.Lyons, L.Neale|
|I/C||T.Bedford, M.Hibberd, J.Bowey, K.Pickett||I/C||D.Robertson, M.Robinson, K.Coleman, J.Tunstill|
History: Played 49: Melbourne 27 v Brisbane 22
Last Meeting: AFL QF 2021: Melbourne 13.15 (93) dftd Brisbane Lions 9.6 (60)
Final Thoughts: The number one and two seeds in 2022 finally face off. But it hasn’t quite been the buildup most had expected. A month ago these two were far-and-away the best two teams in the land but since then Brisbane (two losses in last four) and especially Melbourne (three straight defeats) have come back to the pack. The Dees have been forced to deal with a series of off-field incidents in recent weeks which, combined with lacklustre on-field form and the loss of skipper Max Gawn, has seen their premiership defence cool from $2.45 out to $3.80.
For the Lions, though, their form has been better albeit without setting the world on fire. And they face a huge obstacle this week: Chris Fagan’s men will need to not only overcome a Melbourne side who comfortably beat them in last year’s finals series, but snap an MCG hoodoo that has seen them lose their last nine straight matches at the home of footy.
Tip: H2H, Brisbane Lions @ $2.20
Friday 24th June, 19:00 (AEST)
|E.Richards, R.Gardner, T.O’Brien||B||B.Hardwick, J.Sicily, J.Blanck|
|HB||C.Daniel, A.Keath, B.Dale||HB||C.Jiath, J.Impey, H.Morrison|
|C||B.Williams, J.Macrae, A.Scott||C||C.Nash, T.Mitchell, L.Bramble|
|HF||J.Johannisen, J.Ugle-Hagan, T.Liberatore||HF||L.Shiels, L.Breust, D.Moore|
|F||M.Bontempelli, A.Naughton, C.Weightman||F||J.Koschitzke, M.Lewis, C.Macdonald|
|FOL||J.Sweet, J.Dunkley, A.Treloar||FOL||N.Reeves, J.Newcombe, J.O’Meara|
|I/C||R.West, H.Crozier, R.McComb, J.Schache||I/C||J.Worpel, D.Howe, J.Scrimshaw, S.Butler|
History: Played 164: Western Bulldogs 78 v Hawthorn 84 (2 draws)
Last Meeting: AFL R22 2021: Hawthorn 9.10 (64) dftd Western Bulldogs 5.7 (37)
Final Thoughts: For all the relative positivity surrounding Hawthorn and their playing style under Sam Mitchell, the reality is that the Hawks have lost seven of their last eight matches. Amongst those losses sit some admirable efforts, but supporters from a club accustomed to success in the last decade will expect them to pick up further points in 2022 alongside blooding games into youngsters.
They face a Dogs outfit who, conversely, have hit form winning four of their last five. And unlike the Hawks, their season hangs in the balance, currently a game outside what has become an ultra-competitive fight for the Top 8 in 2022. Early losses this season has made games like these must-win for Luke Beveridge’s men.
Tip: Margin, Western Bulldogs by 1-39 @ $2.12
Friday 24th June, 20:40 (AEST)
|S.Hurn, T.Barrass, L.Duggan||B||J.Kelly, J.Laverde, J.Ridley|
|HB||J.Jones, J.Rotham, E.Yeo||HB||M.Redman, D.Heppell, N.Hind|
|C||C.West, T.Kelly, J.Redden||C||W.Snelling, Z.Merrett, S.Durham|
|HF||J.Cripps, J.Darling, W.Rioli||HF||D.Shiel, K.Langford, M.D’Ambrosio|
|F||L.Ryan, J.Kennedy, J.Waterman||F||P.Wright, J.Stringer, H.Jones|
|FOL||B.Williams, L.Shuey, A.Gaff||FOL||S.Draper, J.Caldwell, N.Martin|
|I/C||B.Hough, J.Petruccelle, R.Bazzo, C.Jamieson||I/C||M.Guelfi, A.Perkins, B.Hobbs, N.Bryan|
History: Played 56: West Coast 26 v Essendon 30
Last Meeting: AFL R11 2021: West Coast 11.5 (71) lost to Essendon 12.15 (87)
Final Thoughts: Seemingly out of nowhere, the Bombers were back with a vengeance in Round 14, towelling up the Top 8 Saints despite starting $3.81 outsiders. It’s a tough position for supporters who know 2022 is done and dusted from a finals perspective; a case of ‘what might have been’. The development of young players would be particularly pleasing, and what Ben Rutten will focus on heavily in the back-end of the year, including the likes of Archie Perkins and latest Rising Star nominee Ben Hobbs.
They face a West Coast side who, while losing last weekend, showed signs of improvement. The 18-point loss to Geelong was the first time in nine rounds that the club had not been disposed of by over 30 points. And with a host of premiership players back (and now with a game under their belt), the Eagles — playing at home no less — have a huge chance to claim their long-awaited second win of the 2022 AFL season.
Tip: Margin, West Coast 1-39 @ $3.30
Saturday 25th June, 13:45 (AEST)
|A.Saad, Le.Young, B.Kemp||B||B.Walker, A.Pearce, H.Young|
|HB||N.Newman, L.Plowman, S.Docherty||HB||B.Cox, L.Ryan, E.Hughes|
|C||J.Newnes, P.Cripps, M.Cottrell||C||J.Aish, A.Brayshaw, J.Clark|
|HF||C.Durdin, C.Curnow, M.Owies||HF||L.Henry, L.Schultz, T.Colyer|
|F||J.Honey, H.McKay, Z.Fisher||F||N.Fyfe, R.Lobb, G.Logue|
|FOL||T.De Koning, S.Walsh, G.Hewett||FOL||S.Darcy, W.Brodie, C.Serong|
|I/C||J.Boyd, J.Silvagni, L.O’Brien, M.Kennedy||I/C||M.Taberner, D.Mundy, M.Frederick, B.Banfield|
History: Played 38: Carlton 17 v Fremantle 21
Last Meeting: AFL R6 2022: Fremantle 14.13 (97) dftd Carlton 9.8 (62)
Final Thoughts: With two losses in their last three games and a tough month to come — including three of four games against clubs inside the Top 8 — Carlton are under the pump. As they set themselves for at least another few weeks with a host of key defenders out, should they emerge out of that 1-3 their hopes of making a first finals series since 2013 will be in huge danger given the tight nature of the Top 8. Their skeleton crew of defenders however stood up well against Richmond despite the Round 14 loss, conceding 81 points on the back of a whopping 76 inside-50s.
The Dockers will move up into second with victory at Marvel Stadium. Four points here would be another huge step to securing a Top 4 finish in 2022, something they started the season as $6.50 outsiders to do. They’ll need to overcome a poor recent record at Marvel, however, having lost seven of their last nine at the venue.
Tip: Line, Fremantle -4.5 @ $1.90
Saturday 25th June, 16:35 (AEST)
|T.Stewart, S.De Koning, T.Atkins||B||D.Grimes, R.Tarrant, N.Broad|
|HB||J.Bews, M.Blicavs, J.Kolodjashnij||HB||L.Baker, N.Vlastuin, D.Rioli|
|C||M.Duncan, C.Guthrie, I.Smith||C||M.Pickett, J.Short, K.McIntosh|
|HF||Z.Tuohy, J.Cameron, G.Miers||HF||M.Rioli, J.Clarke, S.Bolton|
|F||B.Close, T.Hawkins, T.Stengle||F||J.Riewoldt, D.Martin, T.Lynch|
|FOL||R.Stanley, J.Selwood, M.Holmes||FOL||T.Nankervis, D.Prestia, J.Ross|
|I/C||J.Henry, M.O’Connor, S.Menegola, G.Rohan||I/C||J.Gibcus, S.Edwards, J.Graham, I.Soldo|
History: Played 200: Geelong 106 v Richmond 91 (3 draws)
Last Meeting: AFL R19 2021: Geelong 15.5 (95) dftd Richmond 8.9 (57)
Final Thoughts: A nail-biter is predicted in this one, with arguably the two most in-form clubs in the AFL facing off. The Cats are the only Top 8 club to have won their last four on the bounce, while Richmond have won six of their last seven (their only loss a game they were 33 points up against the Swans at the SCG). For opposition supporters, the familiar signs of Richmond success — manic pressure and territory game that drove them to the 2017, 2019 and 2020 flags — are clearly back. And their form is reflected in the markets, shortening from $2.10 into $1.28 Top 8 hopes with Palmerbet. Tom Lynch has kicked 3+ goals in four of his last five games and could prove the difference in this one.
The Cats, too, are ticking along nicely and under the radar — just how they like it. Victory here (with a favourable run home to come) would put them in pole position to secure a sixth Top 4 finish in the last seven years.
Tip: H2H, Richmond @ $1.94
Saturday 25th June, 19:25 (AEST)
|D.Rampe, T.McCartin, P.McCartin||B||C.Wilkie, D.Howard, J.Battle|
|HB||J.McInerney, H.Cunningham, J.Lloyd||HB||H.Clark, J.Sinclair, J.Webster|
|C||O.Florent, L.Parker, N.Blakey||C||R.Byrnes, B.Crouch, J.Billings|
|HF||W.Hayward, E.Gulden, S.Reid||HF||B.Long, T.Membrey, J.Gresham|
|F||I.Heeney, L.Franklin, T.Papley||F||D.Butler, M.King, Z.Jones|
|FOL||T.Hickey, C.Mills, C.Warner||FOL||R.Marshall, J.Steele, S.Ross|
|I/C||R.Clarke, B.Campbell, L.McDonald, J.Rowbottom||I/C||M.Windhager, B.Paton, N.Wanganeen-Milera, C.Sharman|
History: Played 220: Sydney 138 v St Kilda 79 (3 draws)
Last Meeting: AFL R21 2021: St Kilda 14.9 (93) dftd Sydney 10.4 (64)
Final Thoughts: It’s hard to see the Swans as a real 2022 contender when the gap between their best and worst is so stark. Coming off their best win of the season — a come-from-behind victory against premiers Melbourne — they were poor against Port Adelaide in Round 14 in a loss that exposed their deficiencies. They do, however have a strong recent record against the Saints at the SCG, winning all six encounters since John Longmire took charge in 2011. Longmire should welcome back Tom Hickey for Peter Ladhams (suspended).
If the Swans were poor, the Saints were insipid last weekend in a 35-point trouncing to the lowly Bombers. Back-to-back losses has them on far shakier footing in their Top 8 quest, $1.25 out to $1.95 with Palmerbet. And with a tough draw to come, they’ll need to start winning these clashes they will start as underdogs in. In a huge in, the Saints are set to welcome back skipper Jack Steele for this one.
Tip: Margin, Sydney 1-39 @ $2.07
Sunday 26th June, 13:10 (AEST)
|L.McDonald, A.Corr, J.Walker||B||T.Doedee, J.Butts, P.Parnell|
|HB||J.Archer, B.McKay, K.Turner||HB||B.Smith, N.Murray, W.Hamill|
|C||A.Hall, L.Davies-Uniacke, H.Greenwood||C||J.Hately, R.Laird, J.Dawson|
|HF||T.Thomas, N.Larkey, P.Curtis||HF||N.McHenry, D.Fogarty, J.Soligo|
|F||C.Zurhaar, T.Xerri, C.Taylor||F||S.McAdam, T.Walker, J.Rowe|
|FOL||T.Goldstein, J.Simpkin, J.Anderson||FOL||R.O’Brien, B.Keays, S.Berry|
|I/C (from)||J.Stephenson, B.Scott, A.Bonar, C.Coleman-Jones, T.Powell, C.Lazzaro, K.Hayden, F.Perez||I/C (from)||M.Crouch, J.Rachele, E.Himmelberg, W.Milera, L.Murphy, M.Hinge, H.Schoenberg, C.Jones|
History: Played 47: North Melbourne 22 v Adelaide 25
Last Meeting: AFL R23 2021: Adelaide 13.20 (98) dftd North Melbourne 8.6 (54)
Final Thoughts: If North are going to win another game in 2022, they’ll hardly get a better chance to do so than here — at home against an Adelaide outfit who’ve won just one of their last seven. Ben McKay (concussion) and Cam Zurhaar (foot) are likely to return, in big ins for David Noble. While Matthew Nicks’ men start as fairly strong favourites, the reality is that they’re a side that’s struggling to score. The Crows have kicked over 75 points on just one occasion in their last eight games — a fairly damning statistic for a side whose output should be going up rather than plateauing. But this will present a better opportunity than most to buck the trend, with North having lost by 40+ points for nine straight games.
Tip: Line, North Melbourne +20.5 @ $1.90
Sunday 26th June, 15:20 (AEST)
|B.Maynard, D.Moore, I.Quaynor||B||C.Idun, S.Taylor, I.Cumming|
|HB||S.Pendlebury, J.Howe, S.Sidebottom||HB||A.Kennedy, N.Haynes, L.Ash|
|C||N.Murphy, J.Crisp, J.Daicos||C||L.Whitfield, T.Green, C.Ward|
|HF||J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, B.McCreery||HF||S.Coniglio, H.Himmelberg, J.Riccardi|
|F||J.Ginnivan, D.Cameron, T.Adams||F||D.Lloyd, J.Hogan, T.Greene|
|FOL||M.Cox, P.Lipinski, N.Daicos||FOL||L.Keeffe, J.Kelly, X.O’Halloran|
|I/C (from)||T.Brown, J.Noble, O.Henry, T.Ruscoe, C.Poulter, W.Hoskin-Elliott, I.Chugg, A.Begg||I/C (from)||J.Wehr, T.Bruhn, K.Briggs, W.Derksen, J.Brander, T.Taranto, P.Davis, C.Brown|
History: Played 12: Collingwood 6 v GWS 6
Last Meeting: AFL R4 2021: Collingwood 9.6 (60) lost to GWS Giants 14.6 (90)
Final Thoughts: Alongside the Cats, Collingwood are the only AFL team to have won their last four games on the bounce. But the goodwill that has gone their way in recent rounds was largely undone after a horror week off the field in which they had to apologise for two separate incidents involving key players. It’s always difficult to quantify the impact this might have on the playing group, but what’s clear is that the club has wasted a heap of time and resources this week that should’ve been spent preparing for the Giants.
Nevertheless, Craig McRae’s men start as solid favourites and should make it five on the bounce. If they can nullify the brilliance of Toby Greene (seven-goal haul against the Dogs in Round 14) they will go a long way to bagging the four points that will see them back inside the Top 8. For GWS, being an underdog against the Pies doesn’t phase them, with the Giants have won their last four against the Pies in matches they started as underdog, including as $3.58 outsiders in the 2019 Preliminary Final.
Tip: Line, GWS +14.5 @ $1.90
Monday 26th June, 16:10 (AEST)
|Port Adelaide||Gold Coast|
|R.Burton, T.Jonas, D.Houston||B||S.Lemmens, S.Collins, C.Graham|
|HB||R.Bonner, A.Aliir, D.Byrne-Jones||HB||O.Markov, C.Ballard, J.Farrar|
|C||K.Amon, W.Drew, K.Farrell||C||D.Swallow, N.Anderson, B.Ellis|
|HF||J.Mead, T.Marshall, C.Rozee||HF||B.Ainsworth, M.Chol, N.Holman|
|F||M.Georgiades, C.Dixon, S.Powell-Pepper||F||I.Rankine, L.Casboult, S.Flanders|
|FOL||J.Finlayson, O.Wines, T.Boak||FOL||J.Witts, M.Rowell, T.Miller|
|I/C (from)||S.Motlop, X.Duursma, T.McKenzie, M.Bergman, L.Jones, J.Burgoyne, T.Schofield, M.Frederick||I/C (from)||R.Atkins, J.Bowes, C.Burgess, A.Davies, S.Day, B.Fiorini, E.Hollands, M.Rosas|
History: Played 13: Port Adelaide 12 v Gold Coast 1
Last Meeting: AFL R14 2021: Gold Coast 4.7 (31) lost to Port Adelaide 12.9 (81)
Final Thoughts: Missing the experienced Travis Boak and suffering two in-game injuries, the Power were brilliant in brushing aside the Swans last week. Ken Hinkley’s men are trying to do the unthinkable in 2022 and become just the second ever club to go 0-5 and make the finals. But their lacklustre start means there’s little room for slip-ups in what is an ultra-competitive fight for the Top 8, and that includes this Sunday twilight clash.
Gold Coast, too, are behind the eight-ball in a push for finals but come into this one on the back of some brilliant recent form, winning five of their last six. They will, however, have to overcome a Port side who they have traditionally fared poorly against. In fact, their win percentage against the Power (one victory in 13 encounters) is worse than any other AFL team.