Round 10 of the 2022 AFL season kicks off with three huge contests that will each prove a litmus test for the travelling club.
Friday 20th May, 19:50 (AEST)
|Le.Young, J.Weitering, L.Stocker||B||P.McCartin, D.Rampe, C.O’Riordan|
|HB||N.Newman, L,Plowman, A.Saad||HB||J.Lloyd, T.McCartin, J.McInerney|
|C||L.O’Brien, P.Cripps, S.Walsh||C||I.Heeney, C.Warner, N.Blakey|
|HF||J.Motlop, C.Curnow, C.Durdin||HF||W.Hayward, L.McDonald, E.Gulden|
|F||M.Owies, J.Silvagni, Z.Fisher||F||T.Papley, L.Franklin, P.Ladhams|
|FOL||T.De Koning, M.Kennedy, G.Hewett||FOL||T.Hickey, C.Mills, L.Parker|
|I/C||A.Cerra, J.Carroll, M.Cottrell, S.Docherty||I/C||O.Florent, J.Kennedy, J.Bell, S.Wicks|
History: Played 231: Carlton 130 v Sydney 95 (6 draws)
Last Meeting: AFL R11 2021: Sydney 15.10 (100) dftd Carlton 11.12 (78)
Final Thoughts: Match of the round, without doubt, to kick-start things in Round 10. Not just because the winner secures a spot inside the Top 4 for at least another week, but because of the entertaining footy both are capable of playing. Under the roof at Marvel, on a fast deck, this could be a high-scoring encounter and punters will keenly follow the pre-match total points line.
It’s almost impossible to pick a winner in this one. Carlton has the advantage of being at home and in great form, however has the downsides of coming off just a five-day break and a mounting injury list (compounded by the injury to Zac Williams). The Swans, by contrast, have one of the AFL’s healthiest lists and have had an extra day break. However they’ve essentially only played well once – against a horrible Essendon last week – in over a month of footy. It’s anyone’s guess, and it’s shaping up as a beauty.
Tip: To kick 3+ goals, Isaac Heeney (Syd) @ $3.90
Saturday 21st May, 13:45 (AEST)
|T.Stewart, S.De Koning, M.O’Connor||B||T.Jonas, A.Aliir, D.Houston|
|HB||J.Kolodjashnij, M.Blicavs, J.Bews||HB||R.Burton, T.Clurey, D.Byrne-Jones|
|C||M.Duncan, C.Guthrie, Z.Tuohy||C||K.Amon, W.Drew, T.Dumont|
|HF||I.Smith, J.Cameron, G.Rohan||HF||Z.Butters, M.Georgiades, C.Rozee|
|F||B.Close, T.Hawkins, T.Stengle||F||R.Gray, T.Marshall, S.Powell-Pepper|
|FOL||R.Stanley, B.Parfitt, J.Selwood||FOL||S.Hayes, O.Wines, T.Boak|
|I/C||T.Atkins, Z.Guthrie, Q.Narkle, P.Dangerfield||I/C||S.Motlop, J.Finlayson, K.Farrell, L.Jones|
History: Played 37: Geelong 24 v Port Adelaide 12 (1 draw)
Last Meeting: AFL QF 2021: Port Adelaide 12.14 (86) dftd Geelong 5.13 (43)
Final Thoughts: The power is officially back on in Adelaide. At 0-5, Ken Hinkley’s men were arguably a win away from drawing the curtains on their 2022 season. But now, after four wins on the bounce, they can square the ledger at 5-5 in what would be a huge signal that they’re officially back. It’s no easy task grabbing four points at the Cattery, something Port Adelaide haven’t done since back in 2007. But they’ll perhaps draw inspiration not only from the fact the Dockers claimed four points there as recently as Round 7, but also that they last time they met Geelong — in last year’s Qualifying Final — the Power walked away 43-point victors. They may just represent value to some punters at the line.
Tip: Line, Port Adelaide +16.5 @ $1.90
Saturday 21st May, 13:45 (AEST)
|Western Bulldogs||Gold Coast|
|E.Richards, R.Gardner, T.O’Brien||B||R.Thompson, S.Collins, S.Lemmens|
|HB||C.Daniel, A.Keath, B.Dale||HB||W.Powell, C.Ballard, J.Farrar|
|C||B.Williams, J.Macrae, A.Scott||C||L.Weller, T.Miller, B.Ellis|
|HF||B.Smith, Z.Cordy, T.Liberatore||HF||B.Ainsworth, L.Casboult, I.Rankine|
|F||M.Bontempelli, A.Naughton, B.Khamis||F||D.Swallow, M.Chol, N.Holman|
|FOL||J.Sweet, J.Dunkley, A.Treloar||FOL||J.Witts, M.Rowell, N.Anderson|
|I/C||R.McComb, L.Cleary, R.West, L.McNeil||I/C||C.Budarick, B.Fiorini, J.Jeffrey, M.Rosas|
History: Played 14: Western Bulldogs 11 v Gold Coast 3
Last Meeting: AFL R18 2021: Gold Coast 11.13 (79) lost to Western Bulldogs 14.6 (90)
Final Thoughts: Another difficult one to pick, and what should be an exciting contest. A fortnight ago, at 2-5 and with two Top 4 aspirants to come, the Gold Coast Suns’ season appeared all but over. One more loss would’ve almost spelled curtains on another finals-less season. But in defeating the Swans and Dockers in back-to-back wins — at $5.25 and $2.38 outsiders respectively — Stuart Dew’s side have fired a crucial warning shot.
The Dogs were brilliant in their dismantling of Collingwood last Friday night, winning the contested ball by a whopping 40. But any excitement from that victory has to be tempered, with the Pies hardly the game’s toughest test right now. Aaron Naughton’s injury will be watched closely this week given Luke Beveridge’s current lack of talls. The Dogs have won eight of their last nine against the Suns. However two of the last three were decided by less than two goals.
Tip: Line, Gold Coast +15.5 @ $1.90
Saturday 21st May, 16:35 (AEST)
|K.Turner, A.Corr, L.McDonald||B||J.Hunt, H.Petty, T.Rivers|
|HB||B.Scott, J.Walker, La.Young||HB||J.Lever, S.May, J.Jordon|
|C||H.Greenwood, L.Davies-Uniacke, F.Perez||C||T.Sparrow, J.Viney, E.Langdon|
|HF||J.Horne-Francis, N.Larkey, P.Curtis||HF||A.Neal-Bullen, B.Brown, C.Petracca|
|F||J.Ziebell, C.Zurhaar, J.Anderson||F||T.McDonald, L.Jackson, B.Fritsch|
|FOL||T.Goldstein, J.Simpkin, T.Thomas||FOL||M.Gawn, C.Oliver, K.Pickett|
|I/C||C.Taylor, T.Powell, K.Hayden, T.Xerri||I/C||C.Spargo, A.Brayshaw, J.Bowey, J.Melksham|
History: Played 164: North Melbourne 77 v Melbourne 86 (1 draw)
Last Meeting: AFL R7 2021: North Melbourne 11.7 (73) lost to Melbourne 16.7 (103)
Final Thoughts: For a second straight week, the all conquering Demons grant their opponents a more-than-10-goals head start in the pre-match line. Few would be confident going against them, such is their current dominance. Palmerbet have even set up a ‘Melbourne’s first loss’ market. However they do face tricky encounters against Top 4 aspirants Fremantle, Sydney and Brisbane in three of the next four rounds.
Conversely, it’s a tale of woe for North Melbourne, who’ve been demolished by 50+ points for five straight weeks. The bare minimum ask from supporters will be for a competitive effort around the contests, and they’ll get no bigger test than against the Dees. This is the first time these two have squared off under the roof at Marvel Stadium since 2014.
Tip: Total score, Over 163.5 @ $1.88
Saturday 21st May, 19:30 (AEST)
|M.Hinge, N.Murray, T.Doedee||B||C.Wilkie, D.Howard, J.Battle|
|HB||C.Jones, L.Brown, B.Smith||HB||B.Paton, J.Sinclair, B.Long|
|C||J.Dawson, R.Laird, J.Soligo||C||D.McKenzie, S.Ross, B.Hill|
|HF||L.Murphy, J.Rachele, J.Rowe||HF||N.Wanganeen-Milera, C.Sharman, T.Membrey|
|F||S.McAdam, T.Walker, R.Thilthorpe||F||M.King, R.Marshall, J.Gresham|
|FOL||K.Strachan, B.Keays, S.Berry||FOL||P.Ryder, Z.Jones, B.Crouch|
|I/C||D.Fogarty, N.McHenry, J.Hately, W.Hamill||I/C||J.Webster, M.Wood, J.Billings, M.Windhager|
History: Played 46: Adelaide 29 v St Kilda 16 (1 draw)
Last Meeting: AFL R13 2021: St Kilda 8.12 (60) lost to Adelaide 9.12 (66)
Final Thoughts: The Saints continued their run as surprise-packets of 2022 with perhaps their biggest scalp of the season last week, coming from behind to beat the Cats. And while it always poses difficulty going interstate, they should have enough for a struggling Crows outfit here. Not least because the Saints’ pairing of Rowan Marshall and Paddy Ryder in the ruck should dominate around the clinches.
Belted by 6+ goals in each of their last three games, this clash represents another huge test for the Crows. After a solid start to the season that saw them go 3-3, Matthew Nicks needs a spark from his side, or another bottom four finish looms.
Tip: Margin, St Kilda by 1-39 @ $2.10
Saturday 21st May, 19:30 (AEST)
|J.Gibcus, R.Tarrant, D.Grimes||B||J.Laverde, Z.Reid, J.Kelly|
|HB||D.Rioli, N.Broad, L.Baker||HB||D.Heppell, M.Redman, N.Hind|
|C||S.Edwards, J.Short, K.McIntosh||C||N.Martin, Z.Merrett, M.Guelfi|
|HF||J.Castagna, K.Lambert, S.Bolton||HF||S.Durham, A.Francis, A.Perkins|
|F||T.Lynch, D.Martin, J.Riewoldt||F||A.Waterman, P.Wright, D.Smith|
|FOL||T.Nankervis, D.Prestia, T.Cotchin||FOL||S.Draper, D.Parish, A.McGrath|
|I/C||N.Vlastuin, I.Soldo, J.Graham, M.Rioli||I/C||J.Ridley, D.Shiel, B.Hobbs, N.Bryan|
History: Played 205: Richmond 97 v Essendon 104 (4 draws)
Last Meeting: AFL R12 2021: Essendon 12.12 (84) lost to Richmond 19.9 (123)
Final Thoughts: One of the highlights of the AFL calendar, this season’s Dreamtime At The ‘G clash sees Richmond yet again go in as strong favourites. The Tigers are red hot after three convincing wins on the bounce. And with league star Dustin Martin back in the mix, the club’s huge fan base now have their eyes fixed on a return to Finals footy in 2022.
Conversely, Essendon are in turmoil. In skipper Dyson Heppell’s 200th AFL game last week, the Bombers were insipid against a Swans outfit who were able to slice and dice at will. It means the season is all but over for coach Ben Rutten. At 2-7, they are lengthening $9 finals hopes. “Everybody’s on notice,” club legend Tim Watson said this week. “When you’re the coach and the performances are subpar and you’re not getting the effort, you are on notice if you’re not winning enough games. You have to change that.”
Tip: Total score, Under 175.5 @ $1.88
Sunday 22nd May, 14:10 (AEST)
|A.Kennedy, S.Taylor, I.Cumming||B||A.Witherden, T.Barrass, J.Rotham|
|HB||L.Ash, C.Idun, H.Perryman||HB||L.Duggan, J.McGovern, J.Jones|
|C||J.Riccardi, T.Green, J.Kelly||C||A.Gaff, T.Kelly, C.West|
|HF||T.Taranto, H.Himmelberg, B.Hill||HF||G.Clark, J.Waterman, S.Petrevski-Seton|
|F||Z.Sproule, J.Hogan, T.Greene||F||C.Jamieson, J.Darling, I.Winder|
|FOL||B.Preuss, S.Coniglio, C.Ward||FOL||B.Williams, J.Redden, L.Shuey|
|I/C (from)||J.Brander, T.Bruhn, J.Peatling, J.Fahey, J.Stein, M.Flynn, J.Wehr, M.de Boer||I/C (from)||B.Hough, Z.Trew, J.Nelson, R.Bazzo, J.Williams, H.Dixon, H.Edwards, P.Naish|
History: Played 13: GWS 4 v West Coast 9
Last Meeting: AFL R10 2021: GWS Giants 13.15 (93) dftd West Coast 11.11 (77)
Final Thoughts: A hugely disappointing loss last weekend in Leon Cameron’s final game as coach has all but spelled curtains on the Giants’ season. Well backed heading into what was an emotional day, GWS were smashed in the final term by Carlton and now a Top 8 finish — somewhere they’ve finished for five of the last six AFL seasons — is slipping (now $7.50 with Palmerbet). Nothing short of victory will be accepted in the first game of the Mark McVeigh era.
The Eagles continue to plunge to new depths, and have now been defeated by an average of 81 points for five weeks straight. Perhaps the only slice of positivity they’ll take into this one is that they’ve beaten the Giants on four of the last occasions.
Tip: Anytime goalscorer, Josh Kelly (GWS) @ $1.72
Sunday 22nd May, 15:20 (AEST)
|J.Sicily, S.Frost, W.Day||B||D.Gardiner, H.Andrews, J.Payne|
|HB||J.Impey, J.Scrimshaw, B.Hardwick||HB||B.Starcevich, D.Rich, D.Zorko|
|C||L.Bramble, J.Newcombe, C.Jiath.||C||N.Answerth, J.Berry, H.McCluggage|
|HF||H.Morrison, L.Breust, J.O’Meara||HF||Z.Bailey, E.Hipwood, L.McCarthy|
|F||D.Moore, M.Lewis, J.Koschitzke||F||D.Fort, R.Lester, C.Cameron|
|FOL||M.Lynch, T.Mitchell, C.Wingard||FOL||O.McInerney, J.Lyons, L.Neale|
|I/C (from)||N.Long, C.Nash, D.Grainger-Barras, K.Hartigan, L.Shiels, D.Howe, S.Butler, J.Callow||I/C (from)||D.Robertson, C.Ah Chee, M.Robinson, T.Berry, C.Rayner, K.Coleman, J.Prior, T.Fullarton|
History: Played 52: Hawthorn 32 v Brisbane 20
Last Meeting: AFL R20 2021: Hawthorn 14.8 (92) dftd Brisbane Lions 12.8 (80)
Final Thoughts: After a promising start to the season, four straight losses has any faint hopes of Hawthorn returning to finals footy fading by the week. Up against an in-form Brisbane outfit — the clear number two seed thus far in 2022 — they’ll need to pull out something special to avoid that going to five. They don’t have to look far for a precedent though; the Hawks upset the Lions in Round 20 last season.
Yet the Hawks will be no easy beats for the Lions, something Chris Fagan will know better than most. Brisbane are the league’s most dangerous side going forward, and have comfortably scored the most points of any club. A dominant 9-1 start to 2022 looms.
Tip: Brisbane Total Goals, Over 13.5 @ $1.74
Sunday 22nd May, 17:20 (AEST)
|H.Young, A.Pearce, G.Logue||B||B.Maynard, D.Moore, J.Howe|
|HB||B.Cox, L.Ryan, J.Aish||HB||S.Pendlebury, I.Quaynor, J.Crisp|
|C||B.Acres, A.Brayshaw, J.Clark||C||S.Sidebottom, J.De Goey, J.Noble|
|HF||M.Frederick, M.Taberner, B.Banfield||HF||M.Cox, W.Hoskin-Elliott, T.Adams|
|F||S.Switkowski, R.Lobb, L.Schultz||F||B.Mihocek, J.Elliott, J.Daicos|
|FOL||S.Darcy, W.Brodie, C.Sarong||FOL||D.Cameron, P.Lipinski, N.Daicos|
|I/C (from)||D.Tucker, D.Mundy, H.Chapman, N.Erasmus, B.Walker, L.Meek, T.Colyer, M.Walters||I/C (from)||B.McCreery, C.Poulter, J.Ginnivan, N.Murphy, O.Henry, R.McInnes, T.Brown, T.Ruscoe|
History: Played 33: Fremantle 14 v Collingwood 19
Last Meeting: AFL R15 2021: Collingwood 12.7 (79) lost to Fremantle 14.7 (91)
Final Thoughts: The Dockers had a rare slip against the Suns last week but start solid favourites to return to winning ways on home soil. The league’s second-best defensive side (Fremantle have conceded one more point than leaders Melbourne) have a good recent record against the Pies, winning their sole encounter in each of the last three seasons.
Back-to-back losses has seen Collingwood’s Top 8 hopes slip from $3.00 to $4.50. Craig McRae should have two big Ins in Jack Ginnivan and Scott Pendlebury for this one, though. Despite their poor recent record against the Dockers, each clash has been decided by two goals or less.