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AFL – Round 17 in Review

Round 17 of the 2022 AFL season saw the premiership race tighten, before a huge sliding doors moment occurred on the Gold Coast.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Flag market tightens

It was billed as a potential precursor to the 2022 Grand Final. And given the result, Geelong fans have plenty to be excited about. The head-to-head market for Geelong vs Melbourne in Round 17 remained neck-and-neck from opening until the first bounce, as punters remained unsure who to back. The Cats were eased out to marginal $1.93 outsiders but delivered a stunning blow in the premiership race, running over the reigning AFL premiers by 28 points. Arguably, it could’ve been more.

The result has significantly tightened the flag market. Pre-game, the Dees were comfortably out ahead of the pack as $2.80 favourites with the Cats second-favourites at $6.00. By the end of the round, Melbourne had lengthened to $3.30 while Chris Scott’s men had come into $4.00. It’s neck-and-neck in 2022.

Sliding doors moment for Suns, Tigers

Just as we pondered Richmond’s Top 4 hopes, and their prospects of a fourth premiership in six seasons, they delivered one of the 2022 AFL season’s biggest chokes in losing to Gold Coast after the siren.  The Tigers ($1.87 pre-game) were more than comfortably on their way to four points on Saturday afternoon; up by 40 points in the third quarter, and 28 at the final change. But a series of horror mistakes late in the final term saw the Suns, via a Noah Anderson after-the-siren set shot, claim a dramatic two-point win. The result has huge ramifications firstly for the victorious Suns, who keep their outside finals hopes alive.

Four points sees them shorten from $4.50 into $4.00 in Palmerbet’s Top 8 market. It also has big ramifications on the Top 4 prospects of Damien Hardwick’s men. $3.50 pre-game, the Tigers are now two wins outside the double-chance spots and out to $5.00 with Palmerbet.

North almost pull off the impossible

After 11-straight losses of 40+ points – an AFL/VFL record – North Melbourne went in as huge $12.60 outsiders against a rampant Collingwood outfit on Saturday at the MCG. After Geelong easily covered an enormous -66.5 line by three quarter time against the Kangaroos last week, it was perhaps unsurprising that David Noble’s men again started with a hefty head-start of 56.5 in Palmerbet’s pre-game line.

And for the majority of the clash, it looked like North may just pull off a huge upset. Without a win since Round 2, they went into the final break with a 26-point lead. But the Pies reeled them back in the final term to run out seven-point winners. While it’s little solace, at the very least they covered the line this week.



Round 18 Preview

Lachie Neale in line for a third Brownlow as Magpies lose again

Round 17 Preview

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